In January 2024, Ares reduced its quarterly dividend to $0.25 per share, from $0.33. It was the first time the company lowered the dividend since it began paying one in 2012. Ares Commercial Real Estate has $2 billion in outstanding loans across 40 properties. Office space makes up the largest percentage of loans at 36%, followed by multifamily housing at 24% and industrial properties at 13%. The Mid-Atlantic Northeast is its largest geography with 36% of outstanding loans, followed by the Southeast at 24% and Midwest at 21%. This year, Ares is forecast to increase NII, but barely, to $93 million, just $4 million ahead of last year's total. However, this isn't the first time Ares' NII is forecast to grow... (The previous forecast was about as accurate as a political pollster.) Can the company deliver this time? If so, is Ares' dividend safe for now? |
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