Heading into 2023, the outlook for the Canadian consumer in particular suggests a further downshift in growth may be forthcoming. Amid rapid inflation, real household disposable incomes are falling, which should restrain consumer spending. Rising interest rates should also weigh on the housing sector and broader consumer activity. The outlook for business activity and investment has also become more uncertain. Altogether, we forecast a mild recession in Canada in the first half of 2023.
Our Analysis:
As long as the price is below 0.8620 follow the recommendations below: - Time frame: D1
- Recommendation: short position
- Entry point: 0.8533
- Take Profit 1: 0.8350
- Take Profit 2: 0.8250
Alternative scenario:
If the level of 0.8620 is broken-out, follow the recommendations below: - Time frame: D1
- Recommendation: long position
- Entry point: 0.8620
- Take profit 1: 0.8730
- Take profit 2: 0.8800
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