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Obamacare, Florida and the elections

Presented by Uber: Kimberly Leonard's must-read briefing on what's hot, crazy or shady about politics in the Sunshine State
Nov 01, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Kimberly Leonard

Presented by 

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Sami Jamaleddine, left, signs up for health insurance offered under the Affordable Care Act with insurance agent Michael Khoury, right, Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2017, in Miami.

A patient signs up for health insurance offered under the Affordable Care Act with an insurance agent in Miami. | Lynne Sladky/AP

Good morning and welcome to November. 

Today is the first day of the Affordable Care Act’s open enrollment, the time of year when people can sign up for health insurance that’s partially — or even fully — financed by the federal government.

Under President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, people are paying less in premiums for these “Obamacare” plans because the federal government chips in more than it used to toward monthly premiums. The result in Florida is that more than 4.2 million people who otherwise wouldn't get coverage through a job or a government program — like Medicare or Medicaid — can now pay for health care.

But open enrollment isn’t the only thing putting the health care law in the spotlight. Former President Donald Trump still talks about improving the law, but has offered no specifics other than promises to give people more options and increase transparency. He raised Obamacare again during a rally in New Mexico Thursday, saying, “If we come up with something better that’ll be great; and everybody wants that because Obamacare sort of sucks.”

Trump and Republicans tried to repeal Obamacare when he was president, but fell short by one vote. So he only ended up razing some of its taxes and changing regulations that were then restored under President Joe Biden. Now, Trump calls claims that he wants to “end Obamacare” a “lie.” But if reelected, he would have several ways to alter the law, not the least of which would involve staring down a deadline of 2025, when the extra Inflation Reduction Act money that helps people pay for health insurance expires.

Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign declared his week that “health care is on the ballot” after House Speaker Mike Johnson promised medical reforms if Trump wins that would “take a blowtorch to the regulatory state.” House members and the Florida Democratic Party warned that Republicans would “make major changes to health care law” under Trump.

Democrats accused Johnson of planning to try to repeal the ACA again after a video recording showed him repeating a “no Obamacare” question asked by a person in the audience. But Johnson then goes on to say that the health care law is “deeply engrained.” The speaker said in a follow-up statement that he wanted to reduce costs and improve quality and that the video contained “no such promise to end Obamacare.”

Republicans have failed to coalesce behind health care reform plans, though every GOP member from Florida who’s been in Congress since 2017 when Trump was president voted in favor of repeal. Since then, Democrats have credited defense of the law and its growing popularity to electoral success in many parts of the country. And if the new Congress and president can’t unite behind a way to extend the IRA subsidies that are set to run out in 2025, then millions will lose health care coverage.

Harris has pledged if elected to permanently extend the extra money. She also promised to lower prices for more prescription drugs for seniors (who comprise more than 20 percent of Florida’s population) through government negotiation.

It won’t be easy: The pharmaceutical industry successfully beat back such measures when Obamacare first passed. And Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act policy letting Medicare negotiate drug prices is a scaled-back version from what Democrats ran on in 2020. It applies to just 10 drugs for seniors in its first year, with more planned in subsequent years, but prices won’t actually fall at the pharmacy counter until 2026.

Have a tip, story, suggestion, birthday, anniversary, new job, or any other nugget in the campaign reporting that Playbook should look at? Get in touch at: kleonard@politico.com.

 

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AC PUSH — “Prison reform advocates sue in federal court for air conditioning in Florida prisons,” reports Elena Barrera of USA Today Network-Florida . “On behalf of three inmates from Dade Correctional Institution — Dwayne Wilson, Tyrone Harris and Gary Wheeler — and all those incarcerated, the Florida Justice Institute wants to require the Department of Corrections to mitigate inmates' ‘risk of harm due to the heat index and lack of ventilation. This plan could include (but not be limited to) the installation of air conditioning or other measures that maintain the heat index in the Dade CI dormitories at safe levels,’ the complaint says.”

Read POLITICO’s previous reporting on prison air conditioning in Florida and across the South.

ET TU? — “This Democrat could challenge DeSantis’ campaign against abortion, pot amendments,” reports Lawrence Mower of the Tampa Bay Times . “As the state attorney in Leon County, the seat of Florida government where billions in taxpayer dollars are assigned each year, Jack Campbell can prosecute crimes against state officials. … Campbell has made no public statement about it and didn’t return calls and text messages from the Times/Herald over the last week. Any investigation could take months. The statute of limitations expires in two years. The silence has led some critics to wonder whether Campbell is trying to avoid the political fray — or avoid becoming the third state attorney to be suspended by DeSantis.”

INFANT MORTALITY TICKED UP — “Infants died from birth defects at higher rates after abortion ban was imposed in Florida,” reports Cindy Krischer Goodman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel. “Infant mortality attributed to congenital anomalies in Florida jumped to its highest level in at least six years in October 2023, a little over a year after the state’s initial abortion ban went into effect, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.”

Gov. Ron DeSantis greets a member of the media as he takes questions during a roundtable discussion with condominium owners at the Roberto Alonso Community Center in Miami Lakes, Florida, on Sept. 9, 2024.

Gov. Ron DeSantis greets a member of the media as he takes questions during a roundtable discussion with condominium owners at the Roberto Alonso Community Center in Miami Lakes, Florida, on Sept. 9, 2024. | Wilfredo Lee/AP

POLICY IMPLICATIONS — “Florida’s condo sales falling fast as reforms approach,” reports WLRN’s Tom Hudson . “Statewide, the pace of the sale of condominiums and townhouses fell almost 21 percent in September compared to a year earlier. The number of units looking for buyers shot up by 65 percent. The sharp increase in condos for sale and fall-off in sales activity comes in response to reforms passed after the 2021 collapse of the Champlain Towers South building in Surfside killed 98 people.”

SHAPING EDUCATION — “A Florida school board candidate lost his race. DeSantis appointed him to the board anyway,” by The Associated Press’ Kate Payne. “Derek Barrs will take an open seat on the Flagler County School Board in northeast Florida, succeeding a member who resigned in September, allowing DeSantis to appoint a replacement rather than the seat going on the ballot for voters to decide. … He won DeSantis’ endorsement in his bid for the board but lost his Aug. 20 race by 290 votes to Janie Ruddy, a former teacher in the district.”

RELOCATION NATION — “Millions of movers reveal American polarization in action,” reports The New York Times’ Ronda Kaysen and Ethan Singer . “California has contributed to this trend in a different way: by exporting Republicans en masse. More Republicans have moved out of California than any other state. And those who did have made other states redder in the process — particularly Texas, Arizona, Florida and Nevada. … Once a critical swing state, [Florida] has become more reliably Republican. Out of the 3.5 million voters we tracked, more than 200,000 registered Republicans have moved in over the past four years, more than twice the number of Democrats.”

 

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LOCAL VOTE — “Top House Republican warns Gainesville could be dissolved over utility ‘clashes,’” reports POLITICO’s Bruce Ritchie. “An outgoing state House Republican leader is warning that the Legislature could vote to dissolve the city of Gainesville if a municipal utility dispute — now headed for the ballot box on Tuesday — is not resolved. Gainesville voters on Tuesday will decide whether the city's charter should be amended to remove language inserted by the Legislature in 2023 removing the utility from City Commission oversight.”

WORKFORCE REDUCTION — “Spirit to furlough another 330 pilots at the end of January as part of plan to cut costs by $80 million,” by the South Florida Sun Sentinel’s David Lyons . “Spirit Airlines is following through on a sweeping $80 million cost reduction plan, which includes the furlough of another 330 pilots by the end of January 2025, the pilots union and company confirmed Thursday. The move, first reported by Reuters, comes after the airline dropped 186 pilots from its roster in early September. The latest round of furloughs would be accompanied by the demotion of 120 other pilots.”

CAMPAIGN MODE

Former President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton stand on stage before presenting President Joe Biden with the Global Citizen Award at the Clinton Global Initiative in New York on Sept. 23, 2024.

Former President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton stand on stage before presenting President Joe Biden with the Global Citizen Award at the Clinton Global Initiative in New York on Sept. 23, 2024. | Manuel Balce Ceneta/AP

CAMPAIGN ROUNDUP — Former President Donald Trump won’t be voting early after all, The Associated Press reported … The Chuck Schumer-aligned Senate Majority PAC recently put $500,000 into digital ads (via an affiliated committee) for the Senate race this week to help elect Democratic candidate Debbie Mucarsel-Powell … Rep. María Elvira Salazar is voting early today — on her birthday — with her mother … The Harris-Walz campaign’s Florida operation and the Florida Democratic Party are hosting a “Get Out the Vote Drag Spectacular” in Tampa today … Hillary Clinton is doing a Get Out the Vote event in Tampa on Saturday (and promoting her new book that night) … Former President Bill Clinton will campaign for Harris-Walz in Orlando on Sunday … Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) is holding a “Get Out the Vote” rally in Plant City today … Gov. Ron DeSantis is in Ohio today for GOP Senate hopeful Bernie Moreno.

ON SIRIUS XM LAURA COATS SHOW —  Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Chair Gary Peters (D-Mich.) called Florida one of the party's “offensive states” during the satellite radio interview on Thursday. “We have already talked about Texas but also Florida,” he said. “Those are two states that are looking increasingly good for us. They are getting tight, and we are just trying to push it through into the end of the season here.” (There’s been no new cash infusion from DSCC toward Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell’s campaign since the group put just over $1 million to help pay for a TV ad that ran the week of Oct. 15 against GOP Sen. Rick Scott, AdImpact shows.)

BALLOT BOX — USA Today Network — Florida assembled voting guides about Justice Meredith Sasso and Justice Renatha Francis , the Gov. Ron DeSantis-appointed state Supreme court justices on the ballot. According to the reports: “Every voter in the state is being asked whether the two should be retained on the state's highest court. It's a yes or no question, with a yes vote keeping them on the bench and a no vote removing them.”

HELPING IN PA — “Florida personal injury attorney behind pro-Trump billboards lining Western Pennsylvania,” reports the Tribune News Service. “It’s hard to miss the dozens of pro-Trump billboards lining Western Pennsylvania highways with slogans such as ‘Protecting the Children of Pennsylvania’ or ‘Endorsed by Kanye West,’ or the trucks roving around Downtown Pittsburgh proclaiming Donald Trump to be ‘a champion for equal rights.’ Those ads are the work of Dan Newlin, a personal injury attorney based in Orlando, Florida, who has committed millions of his own money to help the Republican nominee and former president carry swing states — such as Pennsylvania — on Tuesday.”

ODDS, ENDS AND FLORIDA MEN

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) hasn’t given up on making daylight saving time permanent, reports USA Today’s Natalie Neysa Alund.

BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar … former state Rep. Cary PigmanJesse Panuccio of Boies Schiller Flexner … (Saturday) former state Sen. Alex Villalobos (Sunday) state Rep. Susan Valdes … former University of Florida President W. Kent Fuchs … former state Rep. Delores D. Hogan Johnson … Former state Sen. Jack Latvala.

 

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It’s NO-vember, for Eric Adams critics

Presented by Uber: POLITICO's must-read briefing informing the daily conversation among knowledgeable New Yorkers
Nov 01, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Jeff Coltin, Emily Ngo and Nick Reisman

Presented by 

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With Timmy Facciola

A rallygoer holds a sign urging a no vote on New York City ballot proposals 2 through 6

“The mayor is trying to trick New Yorkers into giving him a treat,” No Power Grab NYC spokesperson Mark Winston Griffith said in a statement on Halloween. | Jeff Coltin/POLITICO

Opponents of ballot proposals 2 through 6 in New York City have been clear: Vote yes if you support Mayor Eric Adams. (Unpopular. Untrustworthy.) Vote no if you stand with the City Council. (Democratic. Righteous.)

“Two through 6 is literally trying to say that the first Black speaker who runs the first woman-led City Council should have less power, that should go to him,” Public Advocate Jumaane Williams said at a City Hall rally Wednesday. “So I ask New Yorkers, do you trust Mayor Adams, from what you've seen?”

A crowd with the No Power Grab NYC coalition responded with boos.

No Power Grab NYC’s message is all in the name. Need more? The associated PAC is called New Yorkers Defending Democracy.

Their argument is that the mayor rushed a Charter Revision Commission to block the council from expanding its power to vote down mayoral appointments AND to amend the charter to muck up the lawmaking process to benefit the mayor.

There’s little focus on the actual impact of the five proposals. In short:

  • #2 would enshrine the Department of Sanitation’s practice of cleaning highways and streets outside parks
  • #3 would let the mayor’s budget office assess the cost of bills introduced in the council
  • #4 would require the council to give a 30-day notice ahead of hearings on public safety bills
  • #5 would adjust the process for the city’s 10-year plan for infrastructure spending
  • #6 would shift film permitting to a different agency

But Speaker Adrienne Adams would tell you it’s about the process, not the content.

“No one person should have this much power,” she said at the rally, referring to the mayor. “I don’t know about you, but I don’t want a king, I want a democracy!”

The mayor’s response? Silence, pretty much. He praised the proposals when they were finalized in July, saying in a statement they’ll address “cleaner streets, fiscal responsibility, public safety, capital planning, and minority- and women-owned business enterprises.” Since then, supporters have been coasting, not spending any money to promote a yes vote, and expecting they will pass by inertia.

“They’re spending about as much in favor as the Equal Rights people are spending,” a supporter joked, referring to POLITICO’s report on how little of the money raised for the statewide Prop 1 has gone to advertising.

“The mayor is trying to trick New Yorkers into giving him a treat,” No Power Grab NYC spokesperson Mark Winston Griffith said in a statement on Halloween. “New Yorkers tend to assume that what is placed on the ballot is in our best interest.”

Opponents have reported spending $123,000 on leaflets and videos — a paltry amount for a citywide campaign — with the majority of that funding coming from the Working Families Party.

The money is accompanied by grassroots organizing on social media, and the council has sent out mailers citywide criticizing the proposals, earning complaints about illegal electioneering — but it’s hard to say it has broken through in a busy election year.

Still, Adams’ indictment and sub-30 percent approval rating, have given vote no-ers a glimmer of hope.

“The community that is working to defeat the questions is portraying this as the mayor's questions,” said Ben Weinberg of government reform group Citizens Union. “I think it increases the chances of them to be defeated.” — Jeff Coltin

HAPPY FRIDAY. There’s four days until Election Day. Got news? Send it our way: Jeff Coltin , Emily Ngo and Nick Reisman.

 

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WHERE’S KATHY? Making a public safety announcement in Syracuse.

WHERE’S ERIC? Delivering remarks at the Milan Cultural Association’s Diwali Celebration.

QUOTE OF THE DAY: “The nature of my job is to work with whomever occupies the White House.” — Gov. Kathy Hochul on whether she would be able to work with former President Donald Trump if he returns to the presidency.

ABOVE THE FOLD

Rep. Anthony D'Esposito (R-N.Y.) was boosted at a Nassau County GOP campaign rally on Oct. 30, 2024 featuring House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.).

Rep. Anthony D’Esposito was a Town of Hempstead council member and part of the Republican majority when Laura Gillen was at its helm. | Emily Ngo/POLITICO

LONG AT ODDS: Rep. Anthony D’Esposito and Laura Gillen have a history of hostility stretching back six years to their time together in local government.

D’Esposito was a Town of Hempstead council member and part of the Republican majority when Gillen was at its helm — the first Democrat elected to the supervisor post in a century.

The venom is still there in a heated Long Island rematch that could help determine control of the House.

“I campaigned for town supervisor to fight cronyism and nepotism and to bring transparency and sunlight to the Town of Hempstead,” Gillen told reporters at a recent campaign rally, alleging that D’Esposito did the opposite on the town council and also in Congress.

D’Esposito, meanwhile, invokes her 2019 budget proposal hiking taxes — with an offset — and subsequent vote against a counterproposal she had scant time to read. It’s also the central attack of a Congressional Leadership Fund ad.

“First of all, nobody should be commenting on taxes, especially when she had an opportunity to vote for a bipartisan tax cut, and she proudly voted no,” he said at their News 12 debate.

The blood between them in Hempstead was so bad that D’Esposito skulked out of the room when Gillen was being farewelled at her last meeting in 2019.

Gillen was often outvoted six to one in Hempstead, including by the other Democrat there, Dorothy Goosby, now the deputy supervisor. Goosby recently endorsed Gillen’s bid for Congress, but she commended both her former colleagues in a brief interview with Playbook.

Gillen did have a fragile alliance with some Republicans including Bruce Blakeman, who is now Nassau County executive and an ally of D’Esposito’s.

“Congressman D’Esposito had sharp differences with Laura Gillen, but he was able to act in a very professional manner and articulate his feelings,” Blakeman told Playbook. — Emily Ngo

CITY HALL: THE LATEST

Mayor Eric Adams listens during a press conference.

The Campaign Finance Board's audit of Mayor Eric Adams’ 2021 campaign is still ongoing. | Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

NO MONEY, MO PROBLEMS: Progressive organizations opposed to Mayor Adams’ reelection are calling on the Campaign Finance Board to withhold public funds from his current campaign and claw back money from the last one.

The Working Families Party, Democratic Socialists of America, the People’s Plan and 26 other groups signed onto a letter saying the board should open an investigation into the alleged exploitation of public funds, and take action if they find wrongdoing.

The CFB’s audit of Adams’ 2021 campaign is still ongoing, and the federal trial won’t get underway for months, so the signees are asking for quicker action.

The CFB didn’t respond to a request for comment but released a statement after Adams’ indictment saying the board would review his eligibility for public funds ahead of the first scheduled payment in December.

“You mean this same WFP?” Adams’ campaign attorney Vito Pitta responded to the letter, sharing a link to a news story about criminal charges alleging WFP operatives gave discounted campaign work to former City Council Member Debi Rose in 2009. The case cast a shadow over the party but was dropped eight years later, regarded as an instance of overzealous prosecution. — Jeff Coltin

More from the city:

CityFHEPS, one of the city’s biggest and most important rental aid programs, has been “plagued with problems” that make it harder for people to leave the city’s overburdened homeless shelters, per a state audit. (New York Times)

Adams said aerial drones have saved 114 subway surfers’ lives this year, despite a tragic six fatalities. ( New York Post)

Women who say they were sexually abused by staff at the Rikers Island jail complex urged officials to take their allegations seriously at a City Council oversight hearing. (Gothamist)

 

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Letitia James

Attorney General Letitia James is popular with New York Democrats and some party leaders have quietly assessed her as a potential candidate for governor of mayor. | Frank Franklin II/ AP

LETITIA ON THE TRAIL: Attorney General Letitia James has become an in-demand surrogate for House candidates.

That will continue on Saturday when she is set to appear with Gillen in the battleground Long Island race Democrats are confident they will be able to flip next week. She is also expected to appear alongside Democratic Assembly candidate Kwani O’Pharrow.

She has previously appeared with Rep. Pat Ryan, whose Hudson Valley district is being targeted by Republicans.

At the Saturday event with Gillen, James will push for the passage of the so-called equality amendment to the state constitution, which is meant to bolster LGBTQ+ and abortion rights.

The ballot question has come under criticism from the right over what critics have alleged are unintended consequences, such as trans people participating in women’s sports.

James is popular with New York Democrats and some party leaders have quietly assessed her as a potential candidate for governor of mayor. James has insisted she wants to remain attorney general, a post she’s held since 2019. — Nick Reisman

More from Albany:

New York’s top court rejected a Republican appeal that challenged a 2021 absentee ballot counting law. (Spectrum News)

A Democratic state Senate candidate billed her campaign for thousands of dollars in meals and fundraising events. (Buffalo News)

Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo is staring down a criminal referral after being accused of lying to Congress. (POLITICO)

KEEPING UP WITH THE DELEGATION

More from Congress:

A politically powerful Hasidic voting bloc is set to endorse Rep. Mike Lawler. (Jewish Insider)

Fat Joe asks House Minority Leader House Hakeem Jeffries why politicians can’t seem to pass the torch. (Huff Post)

GOP claims “election interference” after 200 stamped mailers for Republican Alison Esposito were found strewn near a creek ( New York Post)

NEW YORK STATE OF MIND

Getting rid of the cap on state and local tax deductions may be easier said than done. (Newsday)

Lawyers are allowed into Rudy Giuliani’s Manhattan apartment after he misses a deadline for turning over his assets. (AP)

Wearing political merch in the voting booth? Some of it might not pass muster. (LoHud)

 

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SOCIAL DATA

Edited by Daniel Lippman

MAKING MOVES: Dr. Ashwin Vasan is now a James McCune Smith Distinguished Fellow for the School of Global Health at Meharry Medical College. He most recently served as commissioner of the New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, managing the city’s Covid-19 response … Catholic Charities of the Archdiocese of New York has promoted Paola Martinez to director of strategic program development and special initiatives, and Tom Dobbins Jr. as interim director of public and community engagement.

Suzanne Nossel will be president and CEO of Freedom House. She most recently has been the longtime CEO of PEN America.

Peter George, the CEO of Evolv, firm behind NYC’s controversial subway gun scanners, fired amid investigations (New York Daily News)

WELCOME TO THE WORLD: Catherine Vaughan, co-founder of New York political non-profit Abundance New York and a Swing Left alum, and Rich Le Page, a partner at Sullivan & Cromwell, recently welcomed Chloe Le Page-Vaughan, who joins big sister Julia. Pic ...

Another pic 

— Lucien Zeigler, managing partner at RedSalt Advisory Co. and CEO of RedSalt Arabia, and Sophie Pyle Zeigler, who does operations for RedSalt Advisory Co., on Tuesday welcomed George Lucien Zeigler, who came in at 8lb 1.4oz and 20 inches. Pic

SPOTTED on Wednesday night at a party at the Beach Cafe in Manhattan for Bianca de la Garza’s new book “Incoming: On the Front Lines of the Left’s War on Truth” ($17.43): Elliot Jacobson, Valeria Riccioli, Rep. Victoria Spartz (R-Ind.), Betsy McCaughey, Kelly Jane Torrance, Jon Levine, Rita Cosby, Greg Kelly, Bob Brooks, Tom DelBeccaro, Deneen and Tom Borelli, Rebecca Karabus, Anthony Ziccardi, Mike Davis, Evan Warner, Marc Lotter, Vish Burra, Doug Dechert and Dave Goodside.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Via’s Jeremy TillungerYvette Buckner … NYT’s Carlos Lozada … Apple’s Tim Cook … Business Roundtable’s Liz Dougherty … CNN’s Marshall CohenAlex Byers John Oxtoby of Ariel Investments … Ram Sivalingam (WAS THURSDAY): Steven Allen Rosenberg ... Richard G. Leibovitch

Missed Thursday’s New York Playbook PM? We forgive you. Read it here.

 

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Upstart Holdings: Can AI Transform the Consumer Lending Industry?

Artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping industries worldwide, and consumer finance is no exception. Traditional credit assessments, ofte...