| | | | |  | | By Eli Okun | | Presented by |  | | | |  | THE CATCH-UP | | | BET ON IT — A federal appeals panel revived election betting in the U.S. today, dealing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission a blow — at least for now — in refusing to stay a lower-court green light while a full appeal proceeds, Declan Harty reports. That could allow Kalshi to bring back its market for Americans to bet on which party will control Congress next year, with more (including the presidential race) potentially on the way. Though the CFTC can continue trying to prove irreparable harm suffered by Americans or regulators as it argues the markets break the law, the three judges said it hadn’t done so yet.
|  Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz is ramping up his schedule with high-profile appearances. | Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO | DEBATE FALLOUT — The KAMALA HARRIS campaign has quickly cut an ad from last night’s climactic debate exchange between Sen. JD VANCE (R-Ohio) and Minnesota Gov. TIM WALZ on Jan. 6 and the 2020 election, per CNN’s MJ Lee and Priscilla Alvarez. Vance refused to acknowledge that JOE BIDEN fairly won the election and maintained that the transfer of power was peaceful. Watch it Walz is ramping up his schedule: The campaign said he’ll travel through Pennsylvania, Nevada and Arizona and add more media hits, sitting for two national TV interviews, a podcast and a late-night TV appearance. DONALD TRUMP, meanwhile, told Fox News’ Brooke Singman that he was satisfied with Vance’s “fantastic” performance, saying that it “reconfirmed my choice,” while Walz “embarrassed himself.” And Haley Voters for Harris is launching a new seven-figure ad campaign to boost her with center-right voters in the seven swing states. The digital spots argue that Harris is the more fiscally disciplined candidate — and that she’ll likely be checked by a Republican Senate and conservative Supreme Court. Watch one of the ads SURVEY SAYS — A new set of swing-state polls from the Cook Political Report shows all seven toss-ups within the margin of error, though Harris leads in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Amy Walter and Jessica Taylor report. Trump is ahead in Georgia, and they’re tied in North Carolina. The survey shows Trump’s advantage on inflation and immigration eroding, though Harris’ lead with independent voters has shrunk. It also finds Democrats leading in all the corresponding Senate and gubernatorial races, though Republicans have made up ground in Michigan and Wisconsin. HURRICANE HELENE — On Fox today, Speaker MIKE JOHNSON said Congress “will have to address” passing more disaster aid at some point in the wake of the devastation across the Southeast. Biden announced today that he’s ordered as many as 1,000 active-duty troops to be deployed to the region to assist with recovery efforts. FOR YOUR RADAR — The Daily Mail’s Josh Boswell published a new allegation that second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF slapped his ex-girlfriend “so hard she spun around” in 2012 in Cannes, France, citing three of the woman’s friends. Two of them said the woman told them about the incident at the time, and they provided photos and itineraries to confirm that the couple was in Cannes for the film festival that year. The woman declined to comment to the Daily Mail, and Emhoff didn’t respond. We reached out to his official and campaign spokespeople this morning for a response, but didn’t hear back. Good Wednesday afternoon. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Drop me a line at eokun@politico.com. AFTERNOON WATCH — In case you missed this morning’s edition of the Playbook Daily Briefing, you can now watch it on YouTube! Check out Rachael and Eugene breaking down the highlights from the VP debate.
| | | | A message from USAFacts: Want to know the facts on immigration, taxes and spending? Steve Ballmer, former Microsoft CEO and owner of the LA Clippers, shares facts and data, you make up your mind! | | | | | 6 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW | | |  Public trust in the Supreme Court is reaching new lows in polling. | Francis Chung/POLITICO | 1. SCOTUS WATCH: The Supreme Court returns for oral arguments next week, and it’ll have a big case right away as the justices take up restrictions on “ghost guns” in a case Tuesday, Reuters’ Andrew Chung previews. Other notable topics on the docket include banning gender transition-related medical care for minors, requiring age verification for online pornography and banning flavored vapes. And then there’s the big looming question of whether the Supreme Court will get involved in questions related to the presidential election. Meanwhile, a new Annenberg Public Policy Center poll finds public trust in the Supreme Court dropping to a record low since 2005, when they first began asking. Fifty-six percent of Americans now say they don’t trust the high court much to act in the best interest of people like them. Just 19 percent say they have a great deal or a lot of trust that the justices will do so. There’s a massive partisan gap, as Republicans feel much more favorably toward a court dominated by conservatives. 2. THE DECIDERS: In Ann Arbor, Michigan, CNN’s John King finds that young voters have grown more enthusiastic about voting for Harris. But big tensions remain on college campuses around the Israel-Hamas war, and some Arab American and Muslim students say they may not be able to bring themselves to support Harris. In Nevada, the Harris campaign is working hard to woo Filipino voters, who make up the biggest bloc of Asian Americans in the state, NBC’s Kimmy Yam reports. Both campaigns have engaged the community with organizing events and cultural connections. Though Filipino American political power is growing in the state, community leaders say misinformation and barriers to entry remain obstacles. And in Philadelphia, warning signs keep flashing for Democrats as working-class Latino voters move rightward, the Philly Inquirer’s Anna Orso, Layla Jones, Julia Terruso and Aseem Shukla report. In 2020, their analysis finds, the city’s poorest and least educated areas swung the most toward Trump. Local Democrats argue that enthusiasm has picked back up for Harris. 3. LONG READ: “How Two Billionaire Preachers Remade Texas Politics,” by Ava Kofman in the NYT Magazine: Oil magnates TIM DUNN and FARRIS WILKS “have built the most powerful political machine in Texas … Cycle after cycle, their relentless maneuvering has pushed the Statehouse so far to the right that consultants like to joke that KARL ROVE couldn’t win a local race these days. … Their endgame, however, is more radical: not just to limit the government but also to steer it toward Christian rule. … The duo’s ambitions extend beyond Texas.”
| | | | A message from USAFacts: All Americans are shareholders in this democracy: we contribute to the nation's coffers through tax dollars and elect representatives to write its laws. Like any shareholders, we deserve to know where the money goes and how lawmakers' policies affect society. Government data has those answers.
Founded by Steve Ballmer, USAFacts guides you through the maze that is government data. We’re a team of career researchers, data analysts, statisticians, and communication professionals. We track down government metrics in digital reports or the occasional Freedom of Information Act request. We standardize the numbers, consult designers to make clear visuals, and we refine our reports so that we share just the facts. | | | 4. BIG MONEY: Former Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY’s America Fund super PAC is sending $14 million to support Republicans in Senate and House races and Trump’s MAGA Inc., NOTUS’ Reese Gorman reports. “It’s a bigger hole than I thought would happen,” McCarthy says of Republicans’ fundraising disadvantage, “so I want to help fill that hole.” 5. SPY GAMES: “CIA Boosts China Recruiting Effort to Exploit Discontent With Xi,” by Bloomberg’s Peter Martin: “The agency issued Chinese-language instructions on Instagram, Facebook, LinkedIn, YouTube, Telegram, and X on Wednesday, detailing how individuals can securely contact it on its public and dark web sites.” 6. MEGATREND: “Why legacy admissions bans have exploded in the US,” by Blake Jones in Sacramento, California: “The [Supreme Court affirmative action] decision supercharged efforts to outlaw legacy admissions at universities, which had eluded every state but Colorado. Now, four more states … have banned giving preference to the children of alumni, several more have introduced proposals to prohibit the practice, and members of Congress from both parties have floated a federal prohibition.”
| | PLAYBOOKERS | | Tammy Baldwin landed the Wisconsin Farm Bureau’s endorsement, the first statewide Democrat to get it in decades. Lina Khan is going on the road. ON THE LIST — This year’s Time100 Next 2024 package includes Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, Solicitor General Elizabeth Prelogar, Maryland Gov. Wes Moore, RNC Co-Chair Lara Trump, Kaitlan Collins, U.S. Attorney Damian Williams, Emma Brown, Hal Brands, Anna Wolfe, Ian Bassin and Justin Florence. OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED at RIAA on Monday night for a Harris campaign/DNC fundraiser, featuring Rohini Kosoglu: Susan Brophy, Mike Iger, Tricia Engle, Anne Gearan, Carolyn Gluck, Jennifer Loven, Lauren Marshall, Megan Moore, Catharine Ransom, Gregg Rothschild, Jacqlyn Schneider, Sarah Trister, Ryan McConaghy, Libby Greer, Rich Lopez, Michael Williams, George Cooper, Trevor Hanger, Arthur Sidney, MJ Kenny, Lori Denham, Kira Alvarez, Joyce Brayboy, Nora Connors, Charlie Ellsworth, Susan Fox, Matthew Haller, Sarah Kyle, Lucy Panza, J.R. Robinson, Grace Rodden and Anna Taylor. TRANSITIONS — Steve Yates is returning to the Heritage Foundation as a senior research fellow for China and national security policy in the Davis Institute’s Asian Studies Center. He most recently was chair of the America First Policy Institute’s China Policy Initiative, and is a Radio Free Asia alum. … Megan Lewis is now a partner at McGuireWoods. She previously was an assistant chief of the Washington criminal section of the antitrust division at DOJ. … … Samantha Gildea is now special assistant for China and Taiwan affairs at the NSC. She most recently was associate director of space policy at the National Space Council. … Olivia Brochu is now deputy White House liaison at the Interior Department. She previously was senior policy associate at Scholars Strategy Network, and is a Ron Wyden alum. … The U.S. Travel Association is adding Allison O’Connor as SVP for strategic comms, Kevin Hinton as managing director for group travel and Courtney Mesmer as VP for event programming and experience. Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn’t happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and Playbook Daily Briefing producer Callan Tansill-Suddath. | | | | Follow us on Twitter | | | | Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family Playbook | Playbook PM | California Playbook | Florida Playbook | Illinois Playbook | Massachusetts Playbook | New Jersey Playbook | New York Playbook | Ottawa Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook View all our politics and policy newsletters | | Follow us | | | | |
No comments:
Post a Comment