Tuesday, November 26, 2024

WHO membership on the line with Trump’s return

Delivered daily by 10 a.m., Pulse examines the latest news in health care politics and policy.
Nov 26, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Chelsea Cirruzzo and Ben Leonard

With Sophie Gardner

PROGRAMMING NOTE: We’ll be off for Thanksgiving this Thursday and Friday but back to our normal schedule on Monday, Dec. 2.

Driving the Day

The World Health Organization sign.

President-elect Donald Trump could renew an attempt to withdraw U.S. membership in the World Health Organization when he returns to office. | Fabrice Coffrini/AFP via Getty Images

COULD TRUMP PULL THE U.S. FROM WHO? The United States’ future in the World Health Organization is again in flux with President-elect Donald Trump returning to the White House, POLITICO’s Carmen Paun reports.

If the U.S. withdraws from the global health body, as Trump attempted to do in his first term, the WHO could lose its top government donor and hundreds of millions of dollars in contributions.

In exchange, America could lose access to the global network that sets the flu vaccine’s composition every year, and U.S. drugmakers could lose the WHO’s help in selling their products, current and former U.S. government officials say.

How it would work: The president can end U.S. membership in the WHO, an arm of the United Nations, without Congress’ consent as long as he gives a one-year notice and continues paying dues in that year, according to a 1948 resolution.

Trump’s transition team declined to comment directly to an inquiry about his plans.

Why it matters: The U.S. provides about a quarter of the WHO’s core annual budget as a mandatory membership fee but often gives more — with the figure ranging from $163 million to $816 million in recent years, according to health policy think tank KFF.

The WHO could lose all that money at a time when it finds itself stretched by health emergencies around the world, from ongoing mpox and cholera outbreaks in Africa to the diseases spreading as a consequence of war in Gaza and Sudan, among other places.

In July 2020, Trump sent a letter to WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus notifying him of the U.S. intention to withdraw within a year. Trump accused the WHO at the time of helping China mislead the world about the spread of Covid-19.

But Trump was defeated in that year’s election, and when President Joe Biden took office in January 2021, he reversed Trump’s decision.

Should Trump decide to withdraw again, he has the time.

What’s next? Unlike in 2020, the WHO could offset some of the financial losses if Trump decides to withdraw.

In May, it launched an investment round seeking some $7 billion “to mobilize predictable and flexible resources from a broader base of donors” for the WHO’s core work between 2025 and 2028.

The WHO did not respond to a request for comment on a potential U.S. withdrawal and its implications.

WELCOME TO TUESDAY PULSE. If you’re traveling for the holidays today or tomorrow, we wish you safe travels! While you’re waiting for your flight or train, send your tips, scoops and feedback to ccirruzzo@politico.com and bleonard@politico.com and follow along @ChelseaCirruzzo and @_BenLeonard_.

 

REGISTER NOW: As the 118th Congress ends, major decisions loom, including healthcare appropriations. Key focus: site neutrality. Can aligning hospital and clinic costs cut federal spending, reflect physician costs, and lower patient expenses? Join policymakers and providers to discuss.

 
 
AROUND THE AGENCIES

Jim O'Neill arrives at Trump Tower.

Jim O'Neill, shown here in 2017 visiting Trump Tower, is being considered for an HHS deputy secretary role. | Drew Angerer/Getty Images

TRUMP EYEING O’NEILL — President-elect Donald Trump is considering a former HHS staffer under George W. Bush to be HHS deputy secretary next year, three people familiar with the deliberation granted anonymity to discuss transition planning told POLITICO’s David Lim, Adam Cancryn and Lauren Gardner.

Jim O’Neill, who held several roles at HHS during the Bush administration, including principal associate deputy secretary, is an associate of billionaire investor and early Trump backer Peter Thiel. He doesn’t have formal medical training.

What to know about him: O’Neill has advocated for people to be allowed to take medicines once the FDA reviews their safety — but without first establishing their effectiveness.

“We should reform FDA so that it is approving drugs after their sponsors have demonstrated safety ... let’s prove efficacy after they’ve been legalized,” O’Neill said in a 2014 talk.

Trump’s team considered O’Neill to lead the FDA in his first term before picking Dr. Scott Gottlieb. Eric Hargan, a Bush-era health official who Trump subsequently nominated to fill the HHS deputy secretary role, won Senate confirmation by a 57-38 vote.

A longtime close adviser to Thiel with ties across Silicon Valley, O’Neill reentered the mix in recent days for the No. 2 HHS spot as transition officials race to fill out the remaining senior health roles.

Why it matters: One former administration official granted anonymity to discuss the transition argued that HHS secretary pick Robert F. Kennedy Jr. should enlist a deputy who knows how to navigate the sprawling health department and implement administration policy priorities.

WEIGHT-LOSS DRUG BLOCKBUSTER — The Biden administration is making a last-ditch effort to expand coverage of popular weight-loss drugs.

The administration today proposed to require Medicare and state Medicaid programs to cover obesity drugs, a move that would dramatically expand access to the popular treatments. This would mark the first time Medicare could cover the popular weight-loss drugs known as GLP-1s solely for weight loss.

Congress banned Medicare from covering such treatments in a 2003 law, and many state Medicaid programs and private insurers do not cover the drugs. Medicare can cover the drugs for other indications like diabetes and heart conditions.

If the proposal in the waning weeks of the Biden administration is finalized and survives expected court challenges and the Trump administration, it would be a significant win for drugmakers, who are fighting new Medicare drug price negotiations in court. It would also likely increase premiums.

With less than two months remaining in the Biden administration, there likely won’t be sufficient time to finalize the rule through the traditional process. While it’s not clear how the Trump administration will handle the proposal, the drugs’ popularity could pressure them to continue the policy.

However, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump’s pick to run HHS, has been skeptical of the weight-loss drugs.

ORGAN, DATA RULES AT OMB — As the clock runs down on the Biden administration, several rules still linger or have recently been cleared and could be released soon from the Office of Management and Budget.

Here are the ones we’re watching:

Interoperability: A final rule proposed by the HHS’ Office of the National Coordinator for Health IT was received at OMB on Nov. 22.

While the details of the rule, known as HTI-2, are unclear, it builds on previous HTI-1 regulations on artificial intelligence and interoperability. The agency has said it would improve public health IT through technology certification requirements and have new provisions meant to prevent information blocking.

Organ care: A proposed mandatory program to improve access to kidney transplants cleared OMB on Nov. 22. The model would incentivize hospitals to increase the number of kidney transplants they perform. However, CMS recently said it would delay indefinitely the proposed January start date. Another rule that would loosen requirements for transplanting kidneys and livers from HIV-positive donors to HIV-positive recipients has also recently cleared OMB.

Payment rules: A rule from CMS would enact changes to Medicare Advantage — the privately run alternative to Medicare — and Medicare Part D, the program’s prescription drug benefit. The rule, which has cleared OMB and could drop as soon as this week, would codify provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act that capped out-of-pocket costs in Medicare Part D.

The Biden administration could also use the rule to crack down on Medicare Advantage insurers, as the industry has come under scrutiny from lawmakers over allegations of excessive care denials.

Abortion

ABORTION 2024 Small but key groups of people in swing states who voted to enshrine or expand abortion rights also voted for President-elect Donald Trump, according to a KFF analysis, Sophie reports.

In Missouri, about a third of those who voted in favor of abortion access also voted for Trump. Three in 10 votes in Nevada and Arizona were for both Trump and the abortion-rights ballot measures.

Our colleague Alice Miranda Ollstein reported that some abortion-rights activists worried that the ballot measures allowed voters to support abortion rights while also voting for Trump, who installed the conservative Supreme Court majority responsible for overturning Roe v. Wade.

Other key findings:

Support for abortion rights is still prevalent, especially among women: About 30 percent of women voters said abortion policy was the “single most important factor” in how they cast their votes, with the largest share being Black women, at 44 percent. Hispanic and Black women were also more likely to say that abortion policy affected whether they turned out. However, economic factors were more of a motivator, with 4 in 10 voters of either gender saying “the economy and jobs” were the most important issues facing the country.

Abortion-rights voters were more passionate about ballot measures: Voters who opposed an abortion-rights ballot measure were less likely to say the outcome was “very important to them, except voters in Nebraska and South Dakota.

Opioids

TRUMP TARIFF — President-elect Donald Trump said Monday night he would tack an additional 10 percent tariff on Chinese products due to what he says is China’s inaction to stop fentanyl and other drugs from coming into the U.S. He also promised a 25 percent tariff on Canada and Mexico for similar reasons.

“[D]rugs are pouring into our Country, mostly through Mexico, at levels never seen before. Until such time as they stop, we will be charging China an additional 10% Tariff, above any additional Tariffs, on all of their many products coming into the United States of America,” he wrote on Truth Social.

Trump has promised to crack down on fentanyl overdoses largely by targeting drug traffickers, especially those operating across the Southern border.

However, the health care industry has worried that more tariffs could threaten hospitals and raise costs for consumers.

HEALTH INSURANCE

FIRST THREE WEEKS OF ACA SIGNUPS — Three million people have signed up for an Affordable Care Act marketplace plan since enrollment opened on Nov. 1. That includes 496,000 new consumers and 2.5 million returning consumers.

3 million people have signed up for ACA plans, a data visualization shows.

Why it matters: This is the Biden administration’s final open enrollment season and possibly the final year of enhanced premium subsidies started in 2021. The administration saw record-high enrollment last year, with nearly 22 million people choosing ACA plans. This year’s data — compared with the early weeks of ACA enrollment in the administration’s first three years — is slightly lower than in past years.

 

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WHAT WE'RE READING

Endpoints reports that the Trump team asked Operation Warp Speed leader Moncef Slaoui to head the NIH, but he declined.

NPR reports that long Covid patients are pushing for more federally funded research.

 

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Chelsea Cirruzzo @chelseacirruzzo

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Ben Leonard @_BenLeonard_

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