Tuesday, November 26, 2024

A controversial crypto firm’s friend in Trump’s Cabinet

Presented by Financial Technology Association: Delivered daily by 8 a.m., Morning Money examines the latest news in finance politics and policy.
Nov 26, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Jasper Goodman and Sam Sutton

Presented by Financial Technology Association

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PROGRAMMING NOTE: We’ll be off for Thanksgiving this Thursday and Friday but back to our normal schedule on Monday, Dec. 2.

QUICK FIX

One of the world's most controversial cryptocurrency companies could have a major ally near the top of the incoming Trump administration.

Howard Lutnick, the billionaire Wall Street CEO tapped by President-elect Donald Trump to serve as Commerce secretary, is a leading U.S. booster of Tether, the offshore crypto firm that issues a stablecoin pegged to the value of the dollar. He is now poised to give the company, long the subject of scrutiny over its reserves and alleged links to illicit finance, a powerful supporter in Washington.

The firm’s sudden influence is alarming some crypto lobbyists and raising a potential conflict of interest for Lutnick. Cantor Fitzgerald, the financial services firm he has led as CEO since 1991, manages reserves for Tether, which issues the world's largest stablecoin, with a market capitalization of more than $132 billion.

While Lutnick would not have direct oversight of digital assets as Commerce secretary, he serves as co-chair of Trump’s transition team, leading efforts to vet personnel, and is a longtime friend of the president-elect. Lutnick said in a statement last week that he would step down and divest his interests in his companies if he is confirmed by the Senate.

“Just given his past connections and being a proponent of crypto and specifically Tether, it would help his credibility if he’s not in any way directly involved in decisions that would benefit them,” said John Pelissero, the director of government ethics at Santa Clara University’s Markkula Center for Applied Ethics. He added that it is “good that Lutnick has decided to divest himself of his interests in Cantor Fitzgerald.”

A Trump transition spokesperson said in a statement that "Howard Lutnick, like all those who serve in the Administration, will follow the laws and regulations for public service."

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino told CoinDesk last month that the firm “doesn't expect any political favors by anyone.”

Cantor holds most of Tether’s assets, according to a report over the weekend in the Wall Street Journal, and it collects tens of millions of dollars in fees each year under the arrangement. The firm also struck a deal in the past year to receive about a 5 percent ownership stake in Tether, the paper reported.

Lutnick has been Tether’s highest-profile proponent in the U.S. business community, defending the company against claims that its token is used in illicit finance and vouching for the legitimacy of its reserves. He has also touted stablecoin adoption as a way to promote dollar hegemony, which he calls “fundamental to the United States of America.”

Some in the crypto space expect his selection to be a boon for Tether — and it comes as the firm is facing potential scrutiny from U.S. law enforcement. The Treasury Department has for months been considering sanctioning Tether over its alleged role in facilitating illicit finance and money laundering, according to a person with direct knowledge of the matter. Prosecutors at the Manhattan U.S. attorney’s office are also probing whether the firm’s crypto token has been used by third parties to fund illegal activities, according to a report last month in the Wall Street Journal, which also first reported that Treasury was weighing sanctions.

Tether said in a statement to MM that it has “no indication” it “is under investigation by the DOJ or Treasury for sanctions violations or AML issues,” adding the suggestion is “false.”

“To suggest that Tether is somehow involved in aiding criminal actors or sidestepping sanctions is outrageous,” the company said. “We work actively with U.S. and international law enforcement to combat illicit activity, as we’ve publicly demonstrated many times.”

Tether has touted its efforts to work with law enforcement, including in the U.S. The Justice Department has acknowledged working with the company in the past, including in an August press release that credited Tether “for its assistance in effectuating the transfer of” seized assets.

While Lutnick is seen as an ally of the crypto sector, some industry lobbyists have expressed concern about legitimizing Tether. “Tether’s been seen as the poster child of how not to operate a stablecoin,” said one Washington crypto lobbyist, granted anonymity to speak candidly about sensitive dynamics within the sector.

The tension illustrates the looming power struggle within the crypto sector as Washington gears up to radically overhaul digital asset regulations after a slate of election wins for industry-friendly candidates, including Trump.

Others in the industry view Tether more favorably and see Lutnick as an influential friend. A second crypto lobbyist told MM that Lutnick’s presence in the administration “is going to be good for crypto” and added that Tether is “not necessarily the bad actor that people think they are.”

Adam Zarazinski, CEO of the crypto intelligence firm Inca Digital, said Tether has “made mistakes” in the past, but added that “they’re working diligently to do a better job now.”

“I think what you’re going to see within the next year is a broad maturing and a broad … movement toward more risk management,” he said.

At a crypto conference in July, Lutnick said Cantor thoroughly vetted Tether’s assets and helped onboard it with law enforcement agencies around the world.

“Tether does what it says it does,” he said.

IT’S TUESDAY — Send crypto and Capitol Hill tips to Jasper at jgoodman@politico.com. As always, you can reach Sam at ssutton@politico.com and @samjsutton.

 

A message from Financial Technology Association:

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Driving the day

The Consumer Confidence Index will be released at 10 a.m. … The Federal Reserve will release the minutes from its November meeting at 2 p.m. …

The big unwind — Trump promised to pull the plug on President Joe Biden’s efforts to cancel student debt for tens of millions of people. It’s going to be a heavy lift, Michael Stratford reports.

The transition team and the president-elect’s allies are discussing ways to quickly unwind the various Biden-era initiatives that offered new or easier paths to loan forgiveness for borrowers, according to two people familiar with the discussions. But while dismantling Biden’s most sweeping plans for erasing debt is likely to be relatively straightforward, other programs that affect millions of borrowers will be harder to undo.

“It’s going to be insanely complicated,” said Michael Brickman, who was a senior Education Department official during the first Trump administration. “You really can’t overstate the mess that this new administration is inheriting.”

The Bessent bounce — Treasuries rallied and yields fell on Monday after Trump’s nomination of hedge fund executive Scott Bessent calmed investors who were alarmed at the president-elect’s plans to raise tariffs, The FT’s Ian Smith, Mari Novik, Harriet Clarfelt and Arjun Neil Alim report. “Everyone has been positioning for ‘America First’, but now I think you start to understand that this is not a one-way call,” Hugh Gimber, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, told The FT.

— Also worth considering, Transition co-chair Lutnick has also suggested that Trump 2.0 may not be as protectionist as some had feared. The NYT’s Alan Rappeport and Ana Swanson note that Lutnick in September told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” team that “tariffs should not be placed on “stuff we don’t make.” He also described tariffs as a ‘bargaining chip’ that would ultimately force other countries to lower their own tariffs and lead to freer markets.”

— Then again: “On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous Open Borders,” Trump posted on his social network, Truth Social, on Monday night. “This Tariff will remain in effect until such time as Drugs, in particular Fentanyl, and all Illegal Aliens stop this Invasion of our Country!”

The WSJ’s Peter Rudegeair and Gregory Zuckerman: “In his first interview following his selection, Bessent said his policy priority will be to deliver on Trump’s various tax-cut pledges. Those include making his first-term cuts permanent and eliminating taxes on tips, social security benefits and overtime pay. Enacting tariffs and cutting spending will also be a focus, he said, as will be ‘maintaining the status of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.’”

— ICYMI, from Sam: “Why Wall Street likes Trump’s pick for Treasury

 

Want to know what's really happening with Congress's make-or-break spending fights? Get daily insider analysis of Hill negotiations, funding deadlines, and breaking developments—free in your inbox with Inside Congress. Subscribe now.

 
 
On the Hill

Brown blasts credit reporting agencies — Senate Banking Chair Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) on Monday slammed the largest U.S. credit reporting agencies for not appearing at a committee hearing last week.

In letters to the CEOs of TransUnion, Experian and Equifax, Brown and other top Banking Democrats wrote that the firms pulled out of a hearing on Nov. 14 after previously agreeing to participate.

“It is shortsighted and shameful to fail to honor the commitment to testify at the hearing,” the lawmakers wrote.

TransUnion’s head of U.S. government relations, Allison Shuster, said in a statement that the firm “is always excited to hold constructive dialogue about how to improve the consumer financial environment.”

“Recent scheduling conflicts made a hearing impossible, however we look forward to engaging with the Committee in the future,” she said.

An Experian spokesperson said the firm appreciates Brown’s invitation and will “continue to work with the Committee and its members on important public policy issues that relate to our business.”

“While we were unable to secure a quorum of representatives from the three nationwide credit reporting agencies last week to testify, we testified before this committee in 2023,” the spokesperson said.

Equifax did not respond to a request for comment Monday evening.

Meeting on the wings — With Trump headed back to the White House, progressives in Congress are planning to hold the president-elect to populist campaign promises that included capping credit card interest rates and cracking down on corporate consolidation, Holly Otterbein, Brittany Gibson and Meredith Lee Hill report. If he doesn’t follow through? “Then he should be held accountable,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) said in a statement.

No cap? — Even if Trump and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) both support capping credit card rates, Natasha Sarin of Yale – a former top adviser to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen — warns in the Washington Post that “when it comes to helping the poorest Americans, capping interest rates could end up doing more harm than good.”

Ernst’s pitch to DOGE — Sen. Joni Ernst has some ideas for where Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy can start slashing the federal budget, according to a copy of a letter she wrote to the leaders of Trump’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency, Jordain Carney reports. Her pitches include consolidating government office space and auctioning off unused space, changing the composition of the penny and curbing payments to the United Nations.

Hong Kong banking Leaders of the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party Chair John Moolenaar (R-Mich.) and ranking member Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-Ill.) are demanding that Yellen address money laundering and sanctions-evasion risks posed by Hong Kong’s banking sector, Ari Hawkins reports. The special administrative region of Hong Kong is now a key avenue for exporting restricted Western technology to Russia, establishing front companies to purchase banned Iranian oil and to operate so-called ghost ships that illegally trade with North Korea.

 

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The Economy

Is it still Bidenflation? The so-called “Trump trade” that sent stocks soaring after the election will put upward pressure on the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures index, which will be released on Wednesday. Bloomberg’s Augusta Saraiva reports that the stock market rally “will register as an increase in the cost of portfolio management and investment advice services, a category within the personal consumption expenditures price index that largely follows swings in the market.”

Goolsbee sees more cutsChicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee told Fox Business that he doesn’t “see the case for not continuing to have the fed funds rate decline” barring “convincing” evidence the economy is overheating, per Bloomberg’s Amara Omeokwe.

Oil declines — Citing sources in Lebanon, Reuters reports that President Joe Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron are expected to announce a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel within 36 hours. Israel’s ambassador to the U.S., Michael Herzog, has also said that the parties are “close to a deal,” per Bloomberg.

— News of the impending cease-fire pushed down oil prices, Bloomberg’s Mia Gindis and Maggie Eastland report.

 

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Odds and Ends

New ticker — Americans for Financial Reform has launched a tracker tallying the late fees that have been collected since 5th Circuit Court of Appeals stopped the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s limit on credit card late fees from taking effect. The new ticker, dubbed “Wall Street Ripoff Counter,” estimates the hold-up has cost Americans $317 per second — based on the CFPB’s projection that capping fees at $8 would save consumers $10 billion each year.

 

A message from Financial Technology Association:

Online shopping makes it easier and more convenient than ever to buy holiday gifts for your family and friends. But shoppers must also be on the lookout for scammers who might try to obtain personal information to access email, bank, or online payment accounts.

FTA, Cash App, PayPal, and Venmo encourage shoppers to be Smarter than Scams this holiday season by following these simple yet powerful steps to safely transact on payment apps:
● Do not share your personal information, including your social security number or login information with anyone.
● Keep your information up to date. Remove any old email addresses and phone numbers.
● Keep any sign-in codes or “magic links” sent to your phone or email private.
● Use different passwords across your email and banking accounts, and make sure to update your password regularly.
● Don’t click links in unsolicited emails or text messages.

 
 

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