| | | | |  | | By Garrett Ross | Presented by Zelle® | |  | THE CATCH-UP | | DANS WITH THE ONE WHO BROUGHT YOU — PAUL DANS, the “former director of the right-wing policy and personnel blueprint known as Project 2025 is condemning what he sees as ‘violent rhetoric’ from Heritage Foundation President KEVIN ROBERTS and calling on Republican vice-presidential nominee JD VANCE to retract the foreword he wrote for Roberts’s book,” WaPo’s Isaac Arnsdorf reports. What he said: “If we’re going to ask the left to tone it down, we have to do our part as well,” Dans told WaPo in an interview. “There’s no place for this sort of violent rhetoric and bellicose taunting, especially in light of the fact that President Trump has now been subject to not one but two assassination attempts.” POLL POSITION — A new national Marist Poll offers the latest entry in the horse-race tracking between VP KAMALA HARRIS and DONALD TRUMP. The topline: Harris leads Trump 52% to 47% among likely voters nationally. In the middle: Trump leads Harris 54% to 44% among likely independent voters. The gender divide: Among likely male voters, Trump leads Harris 53% to 47%. Among likely female voters, Harris holds a 57% to 42% advantage. See the full polling WHAT TRUMP SAID — In his Fox News town hall that aired this morning, Trump “vowed to end sanctuary cities and restore ‘normalcy’ as he took questions from female voters concerned about a variety of issues ahead of Election Day, including the economy, crime and abortion,” Fox News’ Bailee Hill writes. GOOD VISUALIZER — “Paths to Victory in the 2024 Election,” by WSJ’s James Benedict
|  Trump's rhetoric risks his position with a key demographic in Nevada. | Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP Photo | SPINNING THROUGH THE SWING STATES — With just 19 days left until Election Day, every day will be dominated by coverage of the few opportunities that Harris and Trump have to tip the scales in their favor across the handful of true swing states left across the country. Here’s a check-in on where things stand in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan and … Nebraska? — A rhetorical question in Nevada: Trump’s increasingly racist and vitriolic attacks against immigrants are animating his base — but his comments also risk alienating a critical segment of Latino voters who could prove to be a tipping point in a tight election in swing states like Nevada, NYT’s Benjamin Oreskes reports from Las Vegas. “Interviews with nearly two dozen such voters, of various ideological stripes, reveal similar rifts between friends and family over whom to support. For some, despite the financial concerns that might otherwise sway them toward Mr. Trump, his incessant attacks on immigrants are too much. Still, many appear prepared to look past his escalations and back a candidate they believe will help their livelihoods.” Related read: “Trump Escalates Threats to Political Opponents He Deems the ‘Enemy,’” by NYT’s Lisa Lerer and Michael Gold
|  Pennsylvania will go a long way in deciding the outcome of the election. | Dustin Franz/AFP via Getty Images | — Key to the Keystone: In all-important Pennsylvania, one of the few states with the power to decide the the election, the outcome could be defined by a shifting reality in the state: “the partisan realignment trends that benefit Mr. Trump, or the demographic changes that help the Democrats,” NYT’s Campbell Robertson and Robert Gebeloff report. While Trump’s strength comes from the blue-collar voters that litter the state, there’s a segment of small-town voters that Harris could tap to put her on a path to 270. “Rural counties across western and northern Pennsylvania have lost population and are expected to shrink further in the coming years. But the state’s southeast has flourished, with population growing and pushing out from the suburbs of Philadelphia and Harrisburg into counties that were once mostly rural and conservative. Many of the jobs drawing newcomers are not in factories but in hospitals and universities.” — The showdown in Motown: In Detroit, Democrats see real gaps in the Harris campaign’s Michigan strategy, “including a failure to involve Detroit leaders whose influence and organizing ability could shift votes in her favor. Others say she is still finding the right message and surrogates to appeal to the black community,” The Washington Examiner’s David Sivak reports . “In a state Clinton lost by 10,000 votes in 2016, Detroit leaders are cautioning that turnout in their communities could decide whether Harris becomes the first black female president.” Coming attractions: Former President BARACK OBAMA is heading to Detroit to campaign for Harris on Tuesday, her campaign announced this morning. That same day, former Rep. LIZ CHENEY (R-Wyo.) will be in town to speak to the Detroit Economic Club. — Nebraska’s dipping dot: In perhaps the most dramatic scenario imaginable for the election, there remains a real possibility that Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District could single-handedly deliver the presidency for either candidate. In Omaha, the Democratic hope is signified by blue-dot signs that litter the city, “transforming its liberal neighborhoods into nightmare fuel for Republicans and trypophobes alike,” WaPo’s Kara Voght writes in a look at the district and the effort to win it. More from the Cornhusker State: “Nebraska voters to choose between historic, dueling abortion questions,” by WaPo’s Annie Gowen … “Nebraska Supreme Court orders voter registration to resume for those with felony convictions,” by Irie Sentner NEWS YOU CAN USE — “AI is spawning a flood of fake Trump and Harris voices. Here’s how to tell what’s real,” by WaPo’s Pranshu Verma, Rekha Tenjarla and Bishop Sand Good Wednesday afternoon. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Drop me a line at gross@politico.com.
| | | | A message from Zelle®: 99.95% of Zelle® transactions in 2023 were completed without any report of fraud or scams. Learn more. | | | MORE ELECTION BITES …
- MICHELLE OBAMA will hit the trail in Atlanta at the end of October for a rally with her “When We All Vote” initiative. Though the announcement specifies that the Oct. 29 rally will be officially nonpartisan, one of Democrats’ strongest messengers appearing in a critical swing state so close to Nov. 5 is sure to be a boost for Harris, Andrew Howard writes.
- The Harris campaign brought in children who were separated from their families under a Trump administration policy ahead of the former president’s Univision town hall in South Florida, Myah Ward notes.
Keep up with all the latest 2024 news with POLITICO’s live blog
| | 5 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW | | | 
Democrats are lining up a new ad campaign to turn out Black voters in seven battleground states. | Francis Chung/POLITICO | 1. RACE FOR THE SENATE: The DSCC is “launching a new advertising campaign in local Black media outlets in seven battleground states to help churn out a key demographic as Election Day is just a few weeks away,” The Hill’s Jared Gans reports . The ads will be placed “in outlets in Florida, Maryland, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin.” A DSCC aide told The Hill that they will “promote why voters need to participate in Senate elections and encourage them to make a plan to vote. The ads will also include the website IWillVote.com for voters to find the information they need to have their plan. The website includes information like voter registration status, each state’s deadlines for voting and links to register to vote or vote by mail.” 2. REVIEWING THE RECORD: The Trump campaign has made transgender rights a prominent piece of its campaign against Harris, with an ad that tries to blast the vice president for “supporting taxpayer-funded transgender surgeries for prisoners and migrants,” NYT’s Glenn Thrush writes . But the Trump administration’s “record on providing services for transgender people in the sprawling federal prison system, which houses thousands of undocumented immigrants awaiting trial or deportation, is more nuanced than the 30-second spot suggests. Trump appointees at the Bureau of Prisons, a division of the Justice Department, provided an array of gender-affirming treatments, including hormone therapy, for a small group of inmates who requested it during Mr. Trump’s four years in office.”
| | | | REQUEST AN INVITATION: 13TH ANNUAL MERIDIAN SUMMIT: Executives, diplomats, and policymakers are working to anticipate shifts shaping the future. The 2024 Meridian Summit highlights trends, risks, and opportunities shaping our world, empowering decision-makers like you to navigate a complex geopolitical landscape. Request an invitation here. | | | | | 3. I’M READY FOR MY CLOSE-UP: Although House Oversight Chair JAMES COMER (R-Ky.) fell short of his stated goal to impeach President JOE BIDEN , his tenure delivered on drumming up “content creation for his fellow GOP lawmakers and conservative media,” The Bulwark’s Joe Perticone writes. Comer was all over Fox News over the past year, but just how prolific was he? Media Matters for America broke down the data for The Bulwark: Comer “appeared on weekday broadcasts for Fox News 149 times since the start of the 118th Congress,” the second-highest number in that period behind Rep. MIKE WALTZ (R-Fla.), who got on 169 times. “Comer appeared on Fox three times during the week in which there was no speaker of the House. From the moment KEVIN McCARTHY assumed the gavel until his ultimate ouster and the succession drama that followed, Comer went on the network 102 times: an appearance nearly every three days. After MIKE JOHNSON’s speakership began, Comer’s Fox appearances slowed down. He made just 40 appearances between October 25, 2023 and July 21 of this year — slightly less than once a week. That latter date is significant, because it’s when Biden — Comer’s primary political target for the last two years — dropped out of the presidential race. Since then, Comer has made just four appearances on Fox News.” 4. HURRICANE LATEST: “Why North Carolinians probably won’t take the federal buyouts after Hurricane Helene,” by Zack Colman: “Congress has poured billions of dollars into programs to buy out homeowners and help them relocate to safer areas after natural disasters. But they’re not expected to win over many residents in flood-ravaged rural North Carolina. Powerful storms, worsened by climate change, are causing more frequent flooding and destroying communities once considered safe — including those wiped out by Hurricane Helene, which killed more than 230 people across the Southeast.” 5. WAR IN UKRAINE: Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY for the first time this morning publicly acknowledged that Western allies “are ramping up pressure to negotiate with Russia, hinting that such talks may not be favorable to Kyiv, as he unveiled to lawmakers the main points of his victory plan — his blueprint to pave the way for a just peace for Ukraine,” AP’s Samya Kullab and Hanna Arhirova report from Kyiv. “Zelenskyy told the Verkhovna Rada, Ukraine’s parliament, that in ‘non-public communication with Ukraine,’ partners are increasingly mentioning ‘negotiations’ and much less frequently using the word ‘justice,’ he said addressing lawmakers in Ukraine’s Parliament.”
| | | | A message from Zelle®:   Pay it safe with Zelle®. https://www.zellepay.com/safety-education | | | | | PLAYBOOKERS | | Liz Cheney is backing two Dems for the House: John Avlon and Susan Wild. Sherrod Brown and Bernie Moreno are sparring over canaries in Ohio. IN MEMORIAM — “Megan Marshack Dies at 70; Was With Nelson Rockefeller at His Death,” by NYT’s Alex Traub: “Megan Marshack, who as a young aide to Nelson A. Rockefeller found herself at the center of sensational conjecture about the circumstances of his sudden death in 1979, died on Oct. 2 in Sacramento. She was 70. Her death, at a live-in medical facility, was announced in an obituary that her brother, Jon Marshack, said she had written herself last year and that was posted by a Sacramento funeral home on its website. … The obituary represented Ms. Marshack’s first public comment about Mr. Rockefeller, the former Republican vice president and New York governor, since she witnessed his death, also at 70, on Jan. 26, 1979.” Read her self-written obituary OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED at a party celebrating Craig Unger’s new book, “Den of Spies: Reagan, Carter and the Secret History of Treason That Stole the White House” ( $23.99), yesterday evening hosted by Robbie and Nina Kaufelt at their West Village townhouse in NYC: Kim Dempster, Calvin Trillin, Craig Newmark, David Andelman and Pamela Title, Eric Alterman, John Anderson, Leon Falk, Joan Sorkin, Michael and Ali Klebnikov, Hamilton Fish, Katie Ford, Kim Dempster, Joan Sorkin, Russ Baker, Ann Banks, Laurie Weltz, Nina Burleigh, Peter Petre and Sara Nelson. TRANSITIONS — Diego Ortega is joining Faegre Drinker’s international trade and customs team as government and regulatory counsel. He previously was a sanctions regulations adviser for the Office of Foreign Assets Control. … Dana Pirrotta is joining Sen. John Boozman’s (R-Ark.) office as press secretary. She previously was deputy press secretary for the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee under ranking member John Barrasso (R-Wyo.) and is a John Joyce and David Rouzer alum. WEEKEND WEDDINGS — Meghan Pianta, SVP for communications at Ro and a Glover Park Group and NBC News alum, and Tristan Cotter , global head of defense and aerospace at Varjo, got married on Saturday in Charlottesville, Virginia. Pic … Another pic — Joe Bartlett, director of federal policy at Skydio, and Arielle Mobayen, senior consultant at Booz Allen Hamilton, got married on Saturday at Chateau de Baronville in France. Pic … Another pic … SPOTTED: James Rockas, Jim Robertson, Kevin Preskenis, Maxwell Huntley, Bernadette Breslin, Eli Mansour, Jack Emmer and Devon Murphy. WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Allison Varricchio Iannarino, director for East Asia policy at the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation and an NSC and State alum, and Anthony Iannarino , a senior performance therapist for the Washington Wizards, welcomed August Michael Iannarino on Oct. 4. Pic … Another pic Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn’t happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and Playbook Daily Briefing producer Callan Tansill-Suddath. | | | | Follow us on Twitter | | | | Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family Playbook | Playbook PM | California Playbook | Florida Playbook | Illinois Playbook | Massachusetts Playbook | New Jersey Playbook | New York Playbook | Ottawa Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook View all our politics and policy newsletters | | Follow us | | | | |
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