😎Inflation’s Down, But Not Out Yet

Good morning. Inflation rates came in at a 7.1 percent annualized rate for November, giving...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Inflation rates came in at a 7.1 percent annualized rate for November, giving markets a big initial jump higher. The best news comes behind the headline number. Individual components such as energy and used car prices dropped considerably. And the data for rents in the past few months should start showing up soon as well. But we're not out of the woods yet. Inflation in the post-World War II era has averaged closer to 3-4 percent, nearly twice as high as today's rates. And interest rates are still negative in real terms, meaning the Federal Reserve will likely continue with raising rates… even if it's slowly. Traders can continue to expect some market volatility, and likely more downside pressure as long as rates continue to rise. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content 2 Stocks Paying Dividends Every Week Hi, I'm Tim Plaehn. I've been studying two new stocks carefully and they've both been paying dividends every week — regular as clockwork. One's more aggressive and pays a nickel per share every Friday. The second is expected to yield 3% - 4% in the first year. And it also pays every Thursday. We can use these two new ETFs to pay for our groceries, gas or restaurant bills. Or, reinvest the dividends and quickly snowball our nest eggs to help meet our retirement goals. Today, I want to share this information with you, absolutely free. Click here for details. MARKETS DOW 34,108.64 +0.30% S&P 4,019.65 +0.73% NASDAQ 11,256.81 +1.01% *As of market close • Stocks traded higher on Tuesday, following the latest inflation report. • Oil jumped 3.1 percent, closing at $75.44 per barrel. • Gold rose 1.7 percent, hitting $1,823 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies soared, with Bitcoin going for $17,765 at the market close. Today's TOP TIPS Market Share Trumps Market Fears A great company is one that comes to dominate its market. Some industries may have an oligopoly, with a few big players dividing the space up somewhat evenly. Others may have one or two big players that dominate the market. Either way, when there's a bear market, these industry leaders will sell off with other stocks. And short-term hits to profitability can lead to enough fear to make for a compelling value moving forward, particularly for patient investors. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Edie Ames, a director at Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), recently added 4,000 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 47 percent, and came to a total cost just over $129,000. Insiders have previously been buyers going back to last August, all from company directors. Going further back, there have been some insider sales by company executives in 2021, at prices about 50 percent higher than where the stock trade today. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: Paramount Global (PARA) Shares of media conglomerate Paramount Global (PARA) have struggled in the past year, with a 37 percent drop in shares. One trader sees a further decline ahead. That's based on the February 2023 $20 put. With 65 days until expiration, 12,703 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 274, for a 36-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $2.05 to make the bearish bet. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Inflation Slows to 7.1 Percent Inflation rates slowed to 7.1 percent year-over-year for November, growing at a 0.1 percent rate compared to the prior month. That's in line with the past few months, and shows that inflation is starting to finally cool after hitting a multi-decade high. It's also a sign that indicates the Federal Reserve will slow its rate hike increases. • Yellen Sees Inflation Cooldown Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sees inflation continuing to slow down in 2023, and that a recession won't be needed to get prices back down as a result. The Treasury Secretary cited declining gas prices and shipping costs as big indicators for inflation's decline. • United Airlines to Buy At Least 100 Dreamliners United Airlines (UAL) is buying 100 Boeing (BA) 787 Dreamliners, and also has an option to buy 100 more. That's a big order for Boeing, and a sign that older planes will be replaced at a steady rate in the years to come. The Dreamliners are to be delivered between 2024 and 2032. • Musk Disbands Twitter Trust and Safety Council Twitter is disbanding a Trust and Safety Council. Made up of a number of civil-society groups, the council advised the social media network on enforcing policies such as hate speech. The disbanding is the latest move by new owner Elon Musk, and amid revelations that Twitter was censoring or shadowbanning users who were not violating policies. • Sam Bankman-Fried Charged with Fraud FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried has been arrested by authorities in the Bahamas, citing fraud. Further charges have been made in the United States, by the SEC, CFTC, an SDNY attorney's office. The charges primarily relate to the defrauding of investors. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP MRNA  20.732% MTCH  7.899% HAL 7.566% EPAM 5.471% DISH 5.292% BOTTOM UAL 7.324% TRMB 6.116% AAL 6.092% DAL 4.674% CNC 4.19% Quote of the Day Financial conditions have eased dramatically since the October CPI reading released last month, so the Fed will likely use the December FOMC meeting to walk those back. We think the markets are too sanguine on rates after the first quarter and we expect Powell to take a more hawkish tone and for the dots to indicate higher rates for a longer period of time than what is currently being priced in by the futures markets. - Cliff Hodge, chief investment officer for Cornerstone Wealth, on why the markets may trade weakly, as a lower pace of interest rate hikes going forward likely mean higher rates for longer persisting well into 2023. Sponsored Content 2 Stocks Paying Dividends Every Week Hi, I'm Tim Plaehn. I've been studying two new stocks carefully and they've both been paying dividends every week — regular as clockwork. One's more aggressive and pays a nickel per share every Friday. The second is expected to yield 3% - 4% in the first year. And it also pays every Thursday. We can use these two new ETFs to pay for our groceries, gas or restaurant bills. Or, reinvest the dividends and quickly snowball our nest eggs to help meet our retirement goals. Today, I want to share this information with you, absolutely free. Click here for details. Not sure the best way to get started? 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