Monday, August 19, 2024

Toe-to-toe on the CTC

Presented by the Coalition to Preserve American Jobs: Delivered every Monday by 10 a.m., Weekly Tax examines the latest news in tax politics and policy.
Aug 19, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Bernie Becker

Presented by the Coalition to Preserve American Jobs

EVERYBODY LOVES THE CHILD TAX CREDIT: Vice President Kamala Harris hasn’t even been the Democrats’ standard-bearer for president for a month, and already she and former President Donald Trump are going toe-to-toe on multiple tax fronts.

The latest example: The Child Tax Credit, as both Pro Tax’s Benjamin Guggenheim and Pro Labor’s Eleanor Mueller reported on Friday, after Harris rolled out a set of economic proposals.

Harris particularly wants to ramp up the CTC for families with infants, floating the idea of a maximum incentive of $6,000 for a child’s first year. This larger child credit would also be refundable and, in a flashback to the Democrats’ 2021 expansion of the CTC, available to families in monthly installments.

(Speaking of flashbacks: The maximum credit for children between the ages of 1 and 6 would be $3,600 under Harris' proposal, just like with that 2021 expansion.)

That all adds up: The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates that the larger CTC would cost more than $1 trillion over a decade, accounting for more than half of the benefits the vice president laid out in her broader plan.

At the same time, Trump — or more to the point, his running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio) — is having his own expansive thoughts on the child credit. A Trump campaign official told Semafor that Trump would consider backing an idea that Vance floated about a week ago — a CTC of up to $5,000 per child.

MORE ON ALL THIS in a bit, but we first thank you for coming to this Democratic National Convention version of Weekly Tax. Speaking of Chicago: Why, Simone Biles? Why?

Since we’re hearing a lot about San Francisco: Today marks an even six decades since The Beatles launched their first ever tour of North America, with a date at northern California’s Cow Palace (which, technically it seems, is right on the border of Daly City and San Francisco).

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A message from the Coalition to Preserve American Jobs:

Mistakes by the IRS are mounting for small businesses. The IRS’s September 2023 moratorium on new Employee Retention Credit (ERC) claims has caused more harm than good, leading to a backlog of 1.4 million claims. Now, the IRS has wrongly sent denial letters to thousands of small businesses, according to recent reporting by the WSJ. Job creators are forced to pay the price for the IRS’ missteps. Tell Congress to hold the IRS accountable.

 

MORE ON THE CTC: To put it bluntly, there would be some dissonance in the Trump-Vance ticket fully embracing a much larger child tax credit.

After all, a large group of Senate Republicans just joined together to block bipartisan legislation that included a comparatively modest expansion of the CTC.

To be fair, some of the GOP senators’ motivation was driven by political tactics. Republicans believe they have a quite good chance to regain the Senate in November, which would put them more in the driver’s seat for a wide range of tax issues in 2025.

But a good number of Senate Republicans also took issue with how the CTC expansion crafted by Senate Finance Chair Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) and House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-Mo.) was constructed, arguing that it would chip away at incentives for recipients to work.

So it’s interesting to note that Vance has said a bigger child credit should be available to “all American families,” which at the very least leaves the implication that he could be open to making the CTC fully refundable. (The Trump campaign official’s statement to Semafor merely said it should “apply to American families.”)

The stance hinted at by Vance would be far from a majority position among Republicans, though it also remains to be seen whether the Trump camp actually follows through on a CTC proposal and how much detail they might be prepared to offer.

In any event, the progressives who have been pushing for a larger CTC for these last several years don’t see any downside to getting support from major party candidates, even if they’re skeptical about how sincerely the Trump-Vance ticket is in backing an expanded child credit or their potential follow-through.

And also not for nothing: Democrats do seem to have more common ground, when all’s said and done, about where they want to go with the child credit.

For instance, a House bill to expand the CTC that was introduced last year by Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.), and has gained the support of the vast majority of the Democrats in the chamber, also includes larger payments for newborns, though not quite to the $6,000 level proposed by Harris.

DRIP, DRIP, DRIP: Virginia’s two Democratic senators have added themselves to the list of lawmakers urging the IRS to move more quickly to process Employee Retention Credit claims.

A letter from Sens. Tim Kaine and Mark Warner to IRS chief Danny Werfel strikes a similar note to what other lawmakers from both parties have told the IRS — that they understand the agency is facing a difficult task, given the potential number of improper claims the agency might be sitting on.

But still, actual companies with legitimate applications are still waiting, so get moving, as Kaine and Warner told the IRS, in essence.

Kaine and Warner told Werfel that lots of businesses in their state couldn’t get an answer from the agency about the status of their claims, while the two senators’ offices didn’t have much better luck.

“Simply put, this is unacceptable,” they wrote.

The IRS announced earlier this month that it was pulling back on a moratorium on processing new claims of the ERC, which was intended to help companies that kept paying employees even after business was suspended during the coronavirus pandemic.

The agency then said last week that it was launching another round of its voluntary disclosure program for the credit — allowing recipients who now think they might not have been eligible, perhaps because of aggressive promoters, to pay back most of what they received and avoid any future audits.

Next up: Checking to see if more lawmakers nudge the IRS to move more swiftly on the credit, particularly now that it looks like Congress won’t be swooping in to give the agency much assistance on the ERC. (The Wyden-Smith plan proposed ending the incentive as of Jan. 31, to help pay for the expansion of the CTC, the revival of key tax breaks for businesses and other provisions.)

 

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Around the World

Pro Tax: “UN forges ahead with international tax framework

Bloomberg Tax: “Chile Tax Bill Would Aid Compliance But Hike Costs.”

Financial Times: “UK property developer sues PwC alleging ‘negligent’ tax advice.”

 

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Around the Nation

Portland Press-Herald: “Wicked good: How ‘sin taxes’ are contributing to Maine’s healthy budget outlook.”

Denver Post: “Is an end to Colorado’s property tax wars in sight? Maybe — if distrust and frustrations don’t get in the way.”

Daily Montanan: “Montana Property Tax Task Force delivers recommendations to Gianforte.”

 

DON’T MISS OUR AI & TECH SUMMIT: Join POLITICO’s AI & Tech Summit for exclusive interviews and conversations with senior tech leaders, lawmakers, officials and stakeholders about where the rising energy around global competition — and the sense of potential around AI and restoring American tech knowhow — is driving tech policy and investment. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
Also Worth Your Time

Pro Tax: “IRS, industry launch new coalition to battle tax scams.”

Washington Post: “IRS can take more than a decade to pay whistleblowers who report tax cheats.”

Iowa Capital Dispatch: “U.S. House Ways and Means Committee highlights Trump tax law at Iowa State Fair.”

Did you know?

Both the 1956 and 1964 Republican conventions were held at the Cow Palace.

 

A message from the Coalition to Preserve American Jobs:

Mistakes are mounting for small businesses. When the IRS began struggling to administer the Employee Retention Credit (ERC) program back in September of 2023, it halted processing new claims. Since then, it’s let a backlog of 1.4 million claims build. As recently reported by the WSJ, the IRS wrongly sent denial letters to thousands of American job creators. Worse still, the IRS wants small business owners to pay for the process of appealing those incorrect decisions.

Frustration is felt all around the country as small businesses are forced to pay the price for the IRS’ missteps. As one accountant told The Journal, “When there are errors in what is intended to be the easiest to identify… concern is through the roof.” Congress must hold the IRS accountable for its missteps. Tell Congress to act.

 
 

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