Monday, March 11, 2024

The GOP members staying away from Trump

Presented by Californians Resources Corporation: Inside the Golden State political arena
Mar 11, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Mia McCarthy, Lara Korte and Dustin Gardiner

Presented by Californians Resources Corporation

COME TALK DRUGS Join POLITICO March 19 at the Elks Tower in Sacramento for a conversation on prescription drug affordability with Caitlin Berry, of pharmacy benefit management company Prime Therapeutics; Robin Feldman, UCSF law professor; Anthony Wright, executive director of Health Access California; and state Sen. Scott Wiener. How might officials find savings in the drug supply chain ecosystem? Doors open at 8:30 a.m. RSVP here for “Corrective Action: How to Address Prescription Drug Cost.”

Michelle Steel a press conference in Huntington Beach, Calif.

Rep. Michelle Steel in October 2021. | Patrick T. Fallon/AFP via Getty Images

THE BUZZ: THE HOLDOUTS — The majority of California's Republican congressional delegation plans to back former President Donald Trump this year, now that Nikki Haley has suspended her campaign. But four of the 11 members have yet to extend their support — and they aren’t eager to discuss their thinking.

Rep. David Valadao, one of the few Republicans who voted to impeach Trump in 2021 and who faces a tough reelection battle in a Central Valley swing district, was the only member to definitively tell Playbook he’s not endorsing a presidential candidate this year.

Rep. Michelle Steel’s office and campaign didn’t respond to at least four calls and emails spanning six weeks requesting for comment on a Trump endorsement. When approached by a POLITICO reporter at the Capitol last week, she promptly darted away in heels.

Rep. Young Kim, in a brief interview in the halls of Congress, initially sidestepped the endorsement question — and then, when pressed, said she wasn’t sure.

California Republicans in swing districts have for years had to proceed delicately on the Trump question. Full-throated support of the former president, who is deeply unpopular in much of the state, risks alienating moderate voters, while breaking with Trump could come at a political cost with the Republican base.

Kim and Steel both sit in purple seats that include a portion of Orange County — a famously swingy region whose voters often behave outside the realm of conventional political wisdom. Mike Madrid, an veteran anti-Trump Republican consultant who is studying voter trends in the county, said voters there are “extremely discerning” and generally don’t like either party. In recent cycles, Orange County voters have shown a willingness to check the power of Trump in Washington.

“The Republicans were very disaffected and don't like the party under Trump. But they're not Democrats,” he said, adding that Kim and Steel are “calculating, probably quite accurately, that their voters are going to vote against Donald Trump as opposed to for Biden.”

There’s also concern about Trump’s negative comments about Asian-Americans — which have long been a source of private angst for Republicans. In 2022, the former president posted that Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin’s name “sounds Chinese” and spelled it similarly to Kim’s name. Both Kim and Steel represent significant Asian American and Pacific Islander populations.

Rep. Tom McClintock, who represents a safe Republican district southeast of Sacramento that includes Modesto and Yosemite National Park, said he’s not endorsing right now, and doesn’t know about the future. He endorsed Ron DeSantis last year, before the Florida governor dropped out of the race.

But the rest of the delegation has already jumped on the Trump train — or intends to once the former president gets the GOP nomination. That includes other Republicans facing some of the toughest reelection campaigns in the state, like Reps. John Duarte and Mike Garcia, for whom Trump could similarly be a liability.

“Donald Trump's going to be a candidate, and we're gonna get this country turned around,” Duarte, who said he plans to endorse Trump once he gets the nomination, said at the Capitol last week. “I'm glad to be a part of that.”

As Trump glides towards the nomination, others will likely fall into line soon, said Rep. Doug LaMalfa, who confirmed to Playbook in February that he had endorsed Trump.

But, he said, "Not everyone has to do it. At the end of the day, what is smart in order to keep you around?”

GOOD MORNING. Happy Monday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

Now you can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts now. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte.

WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced.

 

A message from Californians Resources Corporation:

California Resources Corporation (CRC) is committed to advancing the energy transition and empowering California to reach carbon neutrality by 2045. CRC’s Carbon TerraVault provides innovative carbon management solutions that will enable the capture and permanent storage of carbon dioxide, helping deliver the deep emissions reductions needed to decarbonize California’s local economies and achieve its ambitious climate goals. CRC's Carbon TerraVault

 
ELECTION UPDATES

Steve Garvey.

Republican Senate candidate Steve Garvey speaking with reporters Tuesday. | Gregory Bull/AP

WAITING GAME — California counties had 2.5 million ballots left to count as we went into the weekend. We’re still waiting on final calls in some of the most-watched races, and it appears Republican Steve Garvey is now within spitting distance of Adam Schiff for first place in the Senate primary.

Schiff, joining NBC’s Meet the Press on Sunday, defended his method of contrasting himself with Garvey in TV ads, saying that “the challenge I think my Democratic colleagues had was less Garvey consolidating Republicans and more their inability to gain Democratic support.”

He also argued that, without a costly Dem-on-Dem fight in the Senate race, the party can instead focus attention on turning out voters in November.

“Frankly, not having one Democrat spend millions to bash another Democrat is probably helpful in those down ballot races,” Schiff said. “Because a lot more of those resources will now go to winning over Democratic seats.”

Our colleagues Melanie Mason and Christopher Cadelago had a great read Sunday on how Katie Porter’s campaign went so wrong. This line says it all: “The bookends of her ill-fated campaign are quintessentially Katie Porter: allergic to political niceties, relishing a fight with the old guard and then punching the gas on her messy minivan as she peels out of the D.C. swamp — possibly for good.”

SACTOWN SUSPENSE — It’s still anyone’s game in the race to become Sacramento’s next mayor.

The latest vote dump on Friday gave progressive epidemiologist Dr. Flojuane Cofer the biggest boost of the four serious contenders, leaving her and former state Sen. Richard Pan with a slight edge in the tight race to advance to a November runoff election.

But with the pair only leading former City Councilmember Steve Hansen and Assemblymember Kevin McCarty by a few hundred votes, the order could change again before results are clear.

All told, only 1.5 percentage points separate the four, and no one is on pace to get over 50 percent of the vote and win the office outright, as is possible under local election rules in Sacramento County.

The slow trickle of election results is par for the course in Sacramento County, and a county spokesperson said there will be more votes to count in the coming days. — Sarah Grace Taylor

 

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Rudy Salas votes at the Kern County Fairgrounds in Bakersfield, California.

Democrat Rudy Salas votes at the Kern County Fairgrounds in Bakersfield, California, on March 5,2024. | Alex Nieves/POLITICO

CENTRAL VALLEY — Democrat Rudy Salas is maintaining a comfortable second-place position in his Central Valley House race — which would allow him to advance to a rematch against incumbent Valadao in November. Salas had 29.2 percent of the vote behind Valadao, who was leading with 33.7 percent as of Saturday night, the last drop expected before today. “MAGA conservative” Chris Mathys remains in third with 22.1 percent, and Democratic state Sen. Melissa Hurtado is in fourth with 15 percent.

Kern County, where Salas is doing the best, had the largest amount of unprocessed ballots left — about 41,000 as of Friday night — and we’re expecting another vote drop on Tuesday.

SILICON VALLEY — The crowded battle for Rep. Anna Eshoo’s Silicon Valley seat is still too close to call.

Former San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo and Santa Clara County Supervisor Joe Simitian lead the pack, but Assemblymember Evan Low isn’t far behind. The most recent vote count had him trailing Simitian by just 1.1 percentage points. We’re expecting more ballot drops today.

PROP 1 DRAGS ON — The fate of Gov. Gavin Newsom’s mental health bond is still unclear, with support hovering at 50.3 percent. Low turnout has plagued the measure, which is a key pillar of Newsom’s homelessness strategy. For a refresher on Prop. 1 and the campaign, check out Rachel Bluth’s coverage.

 

DON’T MISS AN IMPORTANT TALK ON ACCESS TO AFFORDABLE PRESCRIPTION DRUGS IN CA: Join POLITICO on March 19 to dive into the challenges of affordable prescription drugs accessibility across the state. While Washington continues to debate legislative action, POLITICO will explore the challenges unique to California, along with the potential pitfalls and solutions the CA Legislature must examine to address prescription drug affordability for its constituents. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
Top Talkers

— While other Republicans rushed out of the State of the Union address to bash President Joe Biden on cable television, Rep. Doug LaMalfa waited patiently at the back of the chamber, where he had three minutes to make his pitch to the leader of the free world. (The Washington Post)

— Assemblymember Matt Haney’s proposal to allow more renters to have pets lifts the curtain on how Sacramento lawmakers try to gain leverage by strategically dangling far-reaching mandates only to walk them back during negotiations. (POLITICO)

— California lawmakers used non-disclosure agreements in their negotiations over a fast food minimum wage law. Republican Assemblymember and congressional candidate Vince Fong has introduced a bill to prohibit the practice. (KCRA)

— Newsom’s claim about 65,000 births from rape is not as conclusive as he made it sound. (Politifact)

 

A message from Californians Resources Corporation:

California Resources Corporation (CRC) provides innovative solutions to reduce emissions while powering California's communities with reliable local energy. CRC is committed to our net zero future and helping California reach carbon neutrality by 2045. CRC’s 2045 Full-Scope Net Zero Goal for Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions places us among a select few industry peers to include scope 3 emissions in their Net Zero goal.

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PLAYBOOKERS


TRANSITIONS — Gov. Gavin Newsom on Friday named Adam E. Silver as the new chair of the Fair Political Practices Commission. Silver has been chief counsel for the Legislative Ethics Committee in the Assembly since 2018 and now takes over as head of the state’s top political watchdog. He replaces Richard C. Miadich, who was appointed by Newsom in January to the Sacramento County Superior Court bench.

BIRTHDAYS — Courtni Pugh, chief political strategist for Gov. Gavin Newsom … LA-based consultant Drexel HeardNick Shapiro

(was Friday): former Rep. Alan Lowenthal (D-Calif.) … (was Thursday): Michael Eisner

 

In celebration of Earth Month, the USC Wrigley Institute for Environment and Sustainability and the USC Dornsife Center for the Political Future, in collaboration with POLITICO, host “Climate Forward 2024: Climate at the Crossroads” on April 4, 2024 at USC. Top experts from politics, government, media, and academia will discuss climate change issues with a focus on finding practical policy and business solutions as well identifying ways to remove political obstacles to implementing those changes. Register to attend in person or virtually.

 
 


CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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