😲Don’t Get too Bearish Ahead of this Big Move

Good morning. It may take until early next year, but central banks will stop raising interest...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. It may take until early next year, but central banks will stop raising interest rates. While they may claim that the data supports it, the real fact is that there's too much debt today. The US government has nearly two-thirds of its debt in short-duration notes and bonds. When those roll over at higher rates, the cost of funding the existing $31 trillion deficit will top $1 trillion in funding per year. That's just one reason why any sign that inflation is starting to meaningfully come down will lead to a pause, or even reversal, in central bank policy. And it's why stocks are prone to some big rallies, even as the trend this year has been down. For now, investors looking to buy for the long term may want to pick up some shares on big down days for the market. And after mini-rallies, look for opportunities to target the next down move. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content Why the Rich Pick Stocks with A.I. Before checking your investments, just know that you're not alone in these markets. 2022 has not been kind. But some traders, with their ability to "predict market trends" are dominating the markets... With the best forecasting platform that enables them to anticipate trends 1 - 3 days ahead with up to 87.4% proven accuracy. It's all because of a simple, powerful tool called artificial intelligence. Tune in to watch and learn in real-time by saving your seat for our upcoming (and free) Live Training. No replays are made available for this one-hour class. MARKETS DOW 31,499.62 +1.34% S&P 3,797.34 +1.19% NASDAQ 10,952.61 +0.86% *As of market close • Stocks rose on Monday, ahead of several big-name earnings reports this week. • Oil dipped 0.5 percent, closing at $84.66 per barrel. • Gold dropped 0.1 percent, last going for about $1,654 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies traded mixed, with Bitcoin at $19,345 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS The Future Takes Time – Capitalize on that Delay with Well-Performing Stocks Today The past few years has seen tremendous growth in alternative energy plays. And in a push for more environmentally-friendly ways of doing business. That's led some to see the end of old-school energy companies like big oil plays. But most renewable technology can't scale well or still remains ineffective for areas such as transportation. That's why it's likely that oil and natural gas will still be valuable commodities for some time. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Coinbase Global (COIN) Tobias Lutke, a director at Coinbase (COIN), recently picked up 5,349 shares. The buy increased his stake by about 7 percent, and came to a total cost of just under $390,000. This is the eighth buy made by the director since the end of August. Each buy has been for a similar price, ranging from 4,482 shares to nearly 6,000 shares at a time. Overall, insiders have tilted towards buying in recent months, following massive selling after the company's IPO last year. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: B&G Foods (BGS) Shares of packaged food company B&G Foods (BGS) have been cut in half in the past year. One trader sees further downside in the months ahead. That's based on the January 2023 $12.50 puts. With 87 days until expiration, the options saw a volume of 5,061 contracts, a 42-fold surge in volume from the prior open interest of 121. The buyer of the puts paid $0.85 to get into the trade. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Oil Imports to China Decline Oil imports to China have declined 2 percent compared to one year ago, although overall shipments of 9.83 million barrels per day are at the highest level since May. This points to a continued slowdown in demand in China, even as the country's economy grew at a faster-than-expected rate in the most recent quarter. • Corporate Economists See Recession Next Year Two-thirds of corporate economists surveyed see the potential for a recession in the next year. 11 percent see the USA as already in a recession, in line with data showing GDP declines in the first two quarters of the year. Economists also see rising interest rates as the biggest negative risks for corporate America going forward. • 63 Percent of Americans Live Paycheck to Paycheck 63 percent of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck, a number up from 57 percent one year ago. The rising financial pressure has occurred as inflation has outpaced gains in wages. About half of those earning over $100,000 per year also report living paycheck to paycheck. • Builders Say They're Prepared for a Housing Slowdown With mortgage rates more than doubling this year and signs of a slowdown in the housing market already underway, home builders say they're prepared. Unlike in prior housing market booms, the past few years didn't see companies get as aggressive with building, or taking on as much debt. • Merge Raises $55 Million in Series B Merge, a startup company offering API integration services, recently raised $55 million in Series B funding. The company has now raised $75 million in total. The company was launched in 2020, and reports that its ARR has increased 30-fold in the past 12 months. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP HCA  6.966% TSCO  5.3% RF 5.277% GPC 5.051% KEY 4.911% BOTTOM TCOM 14.954% JD 13.025% BIDU 12.584% LVS 10.289% NTES 9.851% Quote of the Day We really need a Fed pause. Not so much that they would just outright disavow future rate hikes, but that they would just say every meeting is live, and if the data go our way then after the first half of '23 we don't have to do more. - Barry Bannister, Stifel chief equity strategist, on what it will take for a sustainable rally in the stock market rather than a relief rally followed by another swing lower. Sponsored Content What Can A.I. Do For My Trading? If you're an overachiever, then you're going to love learning about what artificial intelligence could do for your trades. You don't even have to think outside the box (we're bringing all the information to you) through a Free Live Training where our Pro Trader will demonstrate the simple tool step-by-step. Sounds great, let me save my seat right now. Not sure the best way to get started? Follow these simple steps to hit the ground running. › Step #1 - Get These FREE Reports: Warren Buffett's Top 5 Stocks | 10 Great Stocks Under $10 | 7 High Yield Dividend Stocks › Step #2 - Join Our Premium Advisory: The Next Superstock › Step #3 - Claim Your Free Copy Of: Big Book Of Chart Patterns | How to Trade Weekly Options For Weekly Income We just wanted to take a moment and say thank you so much for being part of our family! We are dedicated to teaching people how to make the world a better place so we can all thrive, together. We love sharing stories and featuring past learners who have applied our teachings and changed their situations. It's our passion to build a strong community centered around fun and mindset! We love to discover extraordinary and useful tools and share them with the world! We create a space where people can discover how to enjoy their lives by simply choosing to learn. 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