Tuesday, August 9, 2022

Assessing our 2022 US PE predictions

SoftBank warns of Vision Fund cuts; charting public PE earnings; Vista inks $8B+ deal for tax specialist; Betr scores $50M for sports betting
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The Daily Pitch: VC, PE and M&A
August 9, 2022
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Today's Top Stories  
Assessing our 2022 US PE predictions
At the start of 2022, PitchBook PE analysts made their predictions amid several tailwinds.

Now, midway through the year, inflation is raging as supply chains adjust to pandemic-related shocks, while Russia's invasion of Ukraine has escalated supply chain disruptions and further lifted inflationary pressures. This significant market volatility has dampened PE's previously fervent pace.

A few of the predictions we revisit in our latest analyst note:
  • Mega-funds will raise $250 billion in 2022, including the three largest-ever buyout funds.

  • The big five US public alternatives managers' AUMs will eclipse $3 trillion in 2022.

  • At least 30 GP stakes deals will close, thereby setting a record.

  • PE firms will close at least 400 middle-market software deals.
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SoftBank CEO laments losses, warns of Vision Fund cuts
SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son (Tomohiro Ohsumi/Getty Images)
As the Vision Fund group turns into a money loser for SoftBank, CEO Masayoshi Son is preparing for widespread cuts to headcount and other operating costs.

SoftBank reported a loss of 2.93 trillion yen (about $21.7 billion) in Q2, following a similarly large loss in the prior quarter. Some of the companies that appeared to be its biggest winners more than a year ago—such as Coupang and Doordash—have seen their share prices plunge.

Our SoftBank's Vision Fund Dashboard breaks down the latest trends.
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A message from Twin Brook Capital Partners  
The state of the mid-market with Twin Brook's Chris Martin
Chris Martin, Partner at Twin Brook Capital Partners, recently joined Middle Market Growth's Conversations podcast to discuss the state of the mid-market and working with PE sponsors and borrowers as they navigate the evolving macroeconomic environment.

Listen here
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US private equity earnings dashboard
Publicly traded US private equity firms reported mixed financial results for the second quarter of this year after continuing to navigate a volatile market—hit by rising interest rates, inflation and geopolitical turbulence.

Our US private equity earnings dashboard, updated quarterly, breaks down trends in key performance metrics for Blackstone, Apollo Global Management, KKR, The Carlyle Group, TPG and Blue Owl from company filings and PitchBook data.
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Macquarie adds Suez unit to growing European infrastructure portfolio
(DedMityay/Shutterstock)
Macquarie has reportedly agreed to buy Suez's UK waste activities unit for more than $2.4 billion, as the Australian asset manager adds to its infrastructure portfolio in Europe.

Amid high inflation, infrastructure remains a hedge for investors, and Macquarie is among many firms making deals across the sector.
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Recommended Reads
Investors are selling stakes in private equity and venture capital funds at the fastest pace on record as the downturn in equities spreads to the private markets. [Financial Times]

Apple, which used to acquire a company every three or four weeks, has dramatically slowed its dealmaking in the past two years. [Bloomberg]

Crypto and the US government are headed for a decisive showdown to settle the question of whether most digital assets are illegal securities offerings. [Wired]
 
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Quick Takes  
  The Daily Benchmark  
  2015 Vintage Global Real Assets Funds  
  VC Deals  
  Sports-betting specialist Betr rakes in $50M  
  InBrace lines up $45M in debt  
  Black Buffalo picks up $30M  
  Project Solar secures $23M  
  Forage bags $22M  
  Epigenic Therapeutics gathers $20M  
  BCV, Tiger Global lead $7M round for Mexico's Miferia  
  PE Deals  
  Vista Equity to acquire Avalara for $8.4B  
  Clearlake-backed FloWorks International acquires Flotech  
  Exits & IPOs  
  One Equity to offload Brush Group power generation business  
  Fundraising  
  EnCap Flatrock seeks $3B for latest oil and gas fund  
  StepStone Group raises over $2.3B for co-investment fund  
  Sinovation Ventures reaches $200M first close of Fund V  
  Corporate M&A  
  Cox Enterprises to buy Axios Media for $525M  
 
 
The Daily Benchmark  
2015 Vintage Global Real Assets Funds
Median IRR
9.17%
Top Quartile IRR
12.53%
1.34x
Median TVPI
Select top performers
Carnelian Energy Capital
Appian Natural Resources Fund
Partners Group Direct Infrastructure 2016
*IRR: net of fees
38 Funds in Benchmark »
Check out the latest version of PitchBook Benchmarks
 
VC Deals  
Sports-betting specialist Betr rakes in $50M
Betr, a sports-betting and media company, has raised a $20 million Series A1 co-led by Aliya Capital Partners and Fuel Venture Capital, in addition to $30 million secured in a Series A led by Florida Funders earlier this year. Betr focuses primarily on micro-betting, which allows users to bet on specific moments in a sporting event in real time.
View details
 
View 78 investments »
 
InBrace lines up $45M in debt
Orthodontic company InBrace has raised $45 million in debt financing led by Horizon Technology Finance Corporation.
View round
 
View 11 competitors »
 
Black Buffalo picks up $30M
Black Buffalo has raised a $30 million Series A co-led by The Pritzker Organization and Listen Ventures. The Chicago-based company offers tobacco-free smokeless products.
View round
 
View 9 competitors »
 
Project Solar secures $23M
Project Solar has raised a $23 million Series A led by Left Lane Capital. The direct-to-consumer company offers solar equipment and installation.
View round
 
View similar company »
 
Forage bags $22M
Forage has raised a $22 million Series A led by Nyca Partners. The payment processing specialist helps grocers accept SNAP EBT payments online.
View round
 
View similar company »
 
Epigenic Therapeutics gathers $20M
Epigenic Therapeutics has raised $20 million from investors including Morningside Venture Capital, Kingray Capital, Trinity Innovation Fund and TigerYeah Capital. The Shanghai-based company specializes in next-generation gene editing therapy.
View round
 
View similar company »
 
BCV, Tiger Global lead $7M round for Mexico's Miferia
Miferia, based in Mexico City, has raised $7 million in seed funding co-led by Bain Capital Ventures and Tiger Global. The company offers a B2B marketplace that connects independent Mexican retailers with domestic brands.
View round
 
View similar company »
 
 
PE Deals  
Vista Equity to acquire Avalara for $8.4B
Vista Equity Partners has agreed to acquire Avalara, a provider of tax compliance automation, for $8.4 billion. Under the public-to-private deal, Vista will pay $93.50 per share, representing a 27% premium to Avalara's July 9 closing price, the trading day prior to the first media reports of a potential deal.
View deal
 
View 20 competitors »
 
Clearlake-backed FloWorks International acquires Flotech
Clearlake Capital-backed flow control distribution platform FloWorks International has acquired Flotech, a distributor and servicer of industrial valves. Founded in 1961, Flotech serves customers throughout the Southeastern US.
View deal
 
View similar company »
 
 
Exits & IPOs  
One Equity to offload Brush Group power generation business
One Equity Partners has agreed to sell the power generation business of Brush Group, a UK-based supplier of turbogenerators and power management systems, to Baker Hughes.
View details
 
View 354 investments »
 
 
Fundraising  
EnCap Flatrock seeks $3B for latest oil and gas fund
EnCap Flatrock Midstream is targeting $3 billion for its latest fund dedicated to backing developers of oil and gas infrastructure, The Wall Street Journal reported.
View fund
 
View 62 investments »
 
StepStone Group raises over $2.3B for co-investment fund
StepStone Group has raised $2.36 billion for its fifth co-investment fund, which will invest in buyout, growth equity and recapitalization transactions.
View fund
 
View 95 investments »
 
Sinovation Ventures reaches $200M first close of Fund V
Sinovation Ventures has completed a first close of its fifth namesake fund on $200 million, The Wall Street Journal reported. The firm, which is targeting $500 million for the fund, invests in sectors such as AI, robotics and automation, semiconductors, and healthcare technology. The vehicle's predecessor closed on $500 million in 2018.
View fund
 
View 352 investments »
 
 
Corporate M&A  
Cox Enterprises to buy Axios Media for $525M
Cox Enterprises has agreed to acquire Axios Media, an Arlington, Va.-based digital media and news company. The deal is said to value the company at $525 million. Axios Media, formed in 2017, operates a number of newsletters and offers a variety of digital media content.
View details
 
View 12 competitors »
 
 
Chart of the Day  
"A bright spot in the venture market has been the returns of smaller funds. Vehicles under $250 million in size have outperformed the broader market in recent quarters. These funds are instrumental in bringing companies into the venture lifecycle, and an increase in small-fund vehicles due to outperformance will continue to move the VC market forward."

Source: PitchBook's 2022 Global Fund Performance Report (as of Q4 2021 with Preliminary Q1 2022 Data)
 
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