Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Crypto’s risky bet in Ohio

Presented by Georgetown University / Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy: Delivered daily by 8 a.m., Morning Money examines the latest news in finance politics and policy.
Sep 04, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO Morning Money

By Jasper Goodman

Presented by 

Georgetown University / Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy

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QUICK FIX

The cryptocurrency industry has its sights set on remaking a key Senate committee that regulates it. To do so, it’s taking a multimillion-dollar risk in battleground Ohio.

A super PAC funded by crypto firms has begun pumping money into Buckeye State television markets to boost the Republican who is challenging Senate Banking Chair Sherrod Brown, a longtime critic of the digital asset sector. The PAC, Defend American Jobs, went up with a $12 million ad buy last month, and could spend more in the months to come.

The effort carries high stakes for all involved: If Republican Bernie Moreno succeeds in toppling Brown, it would all but guarantee a GOP majority in the Senate next year. The prospect of Brown losing is appealing to crypto firms, which are pushing hard for legislation enacting lighter-touch regulations that he would likely block if he survives. Brown has long warned that digital assets are used in illicit finance and present dangers to consumers.

But overtly taking on Brown in his home state carries significant perils for the crypto industry, and it’s starting to make some lobbyists in Washington nervous.

“I would not want an openly hostile, revenge-seeking Sherrod Brown coming for us,” said one crypto lobbyist, who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive dynamics within the sector.

Brown has built his political identity as a populist progressive who takes on corporate power — including from his influential perch as chair of the Banking panel, where he has been a critic of big banks. An interest group spending money to try to topple him could help bolster his populist bona fides, and some Ohio Democrats hope his campaign uses the crypto sector’s efforts as ammunition.

“I would make an issue of the fact that he’s always stood up to special interests,” said Jerry Austin, a longtime Democratic strategist in Ohio. “Here’s a multibillion-dollar special interest that’s spending all sorts of money in Ohio for the purpose of defeating him because they know that he’ll stand up to them.”

To be sure, the crypto-funded ad campaign is still likely to ultimately benefit Moreno. Other campaigns facing candidates backed by the crypto industry have sought to make an issue of the spending from the super PACs — but all have lost.

Brown campaign spokesperson Reeves Oyster said in a statement that “outside groups are spending record amounts to try to defeat Sherrod because they know he will always fight for Ohio, not special interests.”

Moreno, a former car dealer, is a digital asset evangelist who once spearheaded an initiative to turn Cleveland into a hub for startups using blockchain, the digital ledger technology behind crypto. He has slammed Brown for his approach to crypto, saying he doesn’t understand the technology and is “against individual freedom and liberty.”

Defend American Jobs is one of three affiliated crypto super PACs that are spending money to help elect industry allies and eliminate potential critics. Its first Ohio TV spot, a biographical commercial that focuses on economic issues and Moreno’s background, went on the air last month.

The crypto super PACs have raised more than $160 million, and with just nine weeks to go until Election Day, they could pump more into the closely watched Ohio race.

Still, Brown is currently leading in the polls: An AARP survey released last month showed him beating Moreno by four points, despite former President Donald Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris by nine points in the presidential race.

Crypto lobbyists worry that if Brown survives and Democrats hold the Senate, the industry’s spending will have backfired by alienating the leader of the committee that oversees it.

“It scares me a ton,” the crypto lobbyist said. “If you shoot, you better not miss.”

IT’S WEDNESDAY — Sorry, Sam — today, MM is Boston Red Sox territory. Send your thoughts on the Sox’s (dwindling) chances in the American League Wild Card race to jgoodman@politico.com. If you’ve moved on to football season, find Sam at ssutton@politico.com.

 

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You are invited to the 2024 Financial Markets Quality Conference hosted by the Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy on September 17, convening leaders at the intersection of finance and policy. This year’s keynote speakers include Jamie Dimon, JPMorganChase; Nellie Liang, U.S. Department of the Treasury; Patrick McHenry, U.S. House Financial Services Committee; David Schwimmer, LSEG; Rostin Behnam, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission; and more. Get event details and RSVP to secure your spot.

 
Driving the day

Michael Schmidt, the director of the CHIPS Program Office, and Laurie Locasio, the director of the National Institute of Standards and Technology, will hold a virtual discussion on outstanding work on the CHIPS and Science Act at 9 a.m. … Job openings data for July will be released at 10 a.m. … The Fed’s Beige Book will be out at 2 p.m. …

Harris preps new rollout of economic policies Our Elena Schneider reports that Kamala Harris is set to roll out a new plan for small business tax breaks, as she looks to contrast her economic agenda with Trump’s before next week’s debate.

Harris’s proposal calls for significantly expanding the tax deduction for start-up expenses from $5,000 to $50,000, while also setting a goal of 25 million new small-business applications during her first term, according to a campaign official granted anonymity to describe details of the plan. The plan also proposes reducing barriers to getting occupational licenses and developing a standard tax deduction for small businesses.

Harris is expected to further detail her new policy in a speech on Wednesday in Portsmouth, New Hampshire.

Crypto allies plan Harris fundraisers — Crypto industry leaders are planning to hold a series of fundraisers in major cities around the country supporting Harris, including a Washington event on Sept. 13, according to Cleve Mesidor, who is helping to lead the Washington fundraiser.

The initiative is part of an effort by Democrats in the digital asset industry to sway Harris to adopt crypto-friendly policies. It is being coordinated in part by the group Crypto4Harris, which also hosted a pro-Harris town hall last month, but the events are being organized by separate individuals in each city.

Mesidor, who is the founder of the National Policy Network of Women of Color in Blockchain, said she hopes to raise at least $100,000 at the Washington fundraiser. Guests can attend for a minimum contribution of $500.

The Washington event is “an opportunity for Democrats within crypto to not just express support for Kamala Harris … but also to call for specific priorities to be included in her agenda,” she said.

On the Hill

House GOP plans votes on anti-ESG, diversity bills — Our Eleanor Mueller scoops that House Republicans are gearing up to spend a week of floor time this month on bills targeting environmental and social investing, campus free speech and other hot-button social issues, said an aide granted anonymity to discuss the unannounced plan.

White House details stopgap funding priorities — The Biden administration sent Congress a 30-page list of extra funding it wants lawmakers to include in a short-term spending patch lawmakers must pass to stave off a government shutdown at month's end, our Caitlin Emma and Joe Gould report.

The list, known as "anomalies," details funding exceptions the White House is seeking amid otherwise stagnant budgets under a continuing resolution.

 

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The Economy

Deficit — An Aug. 19-21 survey of registered voters commissioned by the Peterson Foundation found that 91 percent want Harris and Trump to discuss their plans to address the national debt at next week’s debate, according to results shared with MM. Nearly three-quarters of those surveyed said they would support a candidate who would ensure that any reforms stemming from the expiration of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts don’t add to the debt.

Crypto

Trump relatives hacked over family crypto venture — Multiple members of the Trump family were apparently hacked late Tuesday before their accounts on X posted fake information about the Trump family’s forthcoming crypto venture. Accounts for Republican National Committee Chair Lara Trump and Tiffany Trump both posted apparently fake plans for World Liberty Financial, a crypto project that Trump’s eldest sons — Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump — have been teasing on social media.

Eric Trump wrote on X following the posts that his relatives’ accounts had “been compromised,” and World Liberty’s account bio late Tuesday read: “Beware of Scams! Fake tokens & airdrop offers are circulating. We aren’t live yet!”

Meanwhile, CoinDesk reports that Trump allies are quietly shopping around a white paper for the crypto project. They write: “The document and other reporting describe a borrowing and lending service strikingly similar to Dough Finance, a recently hacked blockchain app built by four people listed as World Liberty Financial team members. Other participants include all three of Trump's sons (including 18-year-old Barron, who is identified as the project’s ‘DeFi visionary’), financiers and e-commerce influencers.”

“According to a person familiar with the plans, the project will also include a new cryptocurrency: WLFI, a non-transferable governance token. A transfer restriction could make the asset difficult for speculators to trade.”

As for who is behind the project, CoinDesk reports that “the project's figurehead is Donald J. Trump, who has taken the title of ‘Chief Crypto Advocate.’ His sons, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. – who seem to be the driving force behind the project – are also involved as ‘Web3 Ambassadors.’”

Regulatory Corner

Hsu pushes for more scrutiny of large non-GSIBsActing Comptroller of the Currency Michael Hsu on Tuesday said regulators should consider having a process for officially designating banks as important to the domestic financial system, as certain firms continue to grow in size, Victoria Guida reports.

In a speech in Germany, Hsu said it is important that oversight remains rigorous for the eight banks deemed important to the global financial system, but he argued that proper supervision of other large banks is also key.

Jobs report

Former Assistant Secretary of State and Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) alum Mary Elizabeth Taylor has taken on an expanded role at Robinhood. As vice president for global government and external affairs, she will now oversee the company’s engagement with U.S. policymakers and international governments. … Diana Banks Thompson has been promoted to vice president and assistant general counsel at Discover Financial. She is an alum of the American Bankers Association. … Matt VanKuiken is joining BlackRock as director of government affairs and lead Democratic lobbyist. He previously was chief of staff for Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.)

 

A message from the Georgetown Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy:

Don’t miss the annual Financial Markets Quality (FMQ) Conference on September 17, hosted by the Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy on Georgetown University’s campus. This year’s conference theme is Future of Financial Markets: Innovation and Uncertainty. Attendees will hear from key experts and leaders as they discuss timely issues and the future of finance and policy.

FMQ 2024 is an unparalleled opportunity to gain perspectives from leaders shaping global financial practice and policy. Hear from our keynote speakers and panelists on topics including market structure, innovation in ETFs, financial market regulation, and cryptocurrency.

You will network, collaborate, and gain actionable knowledge on everything from regulatory trends to technological advancements. Secure your place at FMQ 2024 to be at the forefront of what’s next for financial markets. Register now to reserve your spot.

 
 

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