Monday, December 23, 2024

[Best of 2024] These Sectors Are About to Surge

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These Sectors Are About to Surge

A Note From Amanda: It's Christmas week... which means we are just days away from the end of the year. It's time for us to revisit some of our most popular essays from 2024... chock-full of great investing and trading advice to set you up for success in 2025.

Today, we revisit Shah's piece on identifying seasonal trends... for big gains. Like the 132% we snagged after just 45 days with ANF!

It's all thanks to Shah's monthly "Undefeated Plays"... and he's about to release January's ticker. Be among the first to receive it right here.


Shah Gilani

Shah Gilani
Chief Investment Strategist

There's a season for everything... especially stocks.

Seasonality and cyclicality in trading and investing are not merely trends or passing fads...

They are the heartbeat of the markets, pulsing with predictable opportunities for smart investors.

Cyclical investing reflects the ebb and flow of economic cycles. Investors who understand these cycles rotate into sectors poised for growth during specific phases. That gives them an opportunity maximize their portfolio returns over time.

As a 40-year market veteran, I've witnessed firsthand how these patterns can unlock substantial profits.

You can find these seasonal surges and cyclical upturns in many sectors.

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Nature's Rhythm

Seasonality is huge in the commodities sector.

The prices of certain commodities correlate with specific times of the year. Those prices are driven by factors such as weather patterns, agricultural planting and harvesting cycles, and global demand shifts.

For instance, corn and soybean prices are influenced by planting and harvest seasons.

As spring approaches, farmers prepare their fields and plant crops, which in turn drives up prices as demand for these commodities spikes.

Then during harvest time in the fall, increased supply can lead to temporary price dips as markets adjust.

US Dollar Index

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Knowing these cycles helps traders buy and sell at the right times. (And if you're using leveraged futures or ETF trades, including with options, you can make a lot of money.)

Energy commodities like natural gas and heating oil have obvious seasonal patterns driven by weather extremes.

Winter brings demand for heating fuels, pushing prices higher as cold snaps grip northern regions. During the summer, demand for cooling fuels like natural gas for electricity generation rises.

While commodities follow seasonal patterns closely tied to nature, other sectors have their own rhythms.

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Predictable Peaks

Consumer spending shows cyclical behavior too. There are several peaks throughout the year including...

  • Easter to Memorial Day
  • Fourth of July
  • Back-to-school shopping in August
  • The December holiday season.

By investing in retail giants ahead of these peaks, investors can capitalize on seasonal spending trends.

The tech sector thrives on a slightly different cycle - the cycle of innovation. Companies release new products and updates at regular intervals. Investors can get in ahead of product launches or major tech events.

During periods of economic expansion, real estate and construction sectors do well as infrastructure projects gain momentum.

Cyclical investments in construction materials, homebuilders, and REITs can yield substantial returns as economic indicators point toward growth.

Even precious metals like gold and silver are not immune to seasonal influences.

US Dollar Index

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Gold historically experiences a surge in demand during certain seasons in different countries around the world.

  • Gold price rallies early in the year as we approach the Chinese New Year.
  • It surges on massive gold-buying in India during Diwali, in late October and early November.
  • It ends the year at its highest point during the Indian wedding season, when demand is high.

By following these types of economic cycles, investors are able to optimize their portfolio performance across many sectors.

But there are a few things to keep in mind...

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A Cycle of Profits

Cyclical investing needs careful research, strategic timing, and a keen understanding of market dynamics.

It's important to diversify your portfolio across commodities, sectors, and asset classes to manage the risks associated with seasonal volatility and cyclical downturns.

You need patience and discipline as well. Don't chase short-term trends... allow the cycles to play out.

Cyclical profits are not just possible... but are just about everywhere in the markets.

In fact, I've recently found something that's produced gains like clockwork. I'm talking about a win every month... for the past 10 years!

It's all thanks to what I'm calling "Undefeated Stocks."

That's right. Undefeated. And I don't say that lightly.

You can check out my brand-new research - along with a handful of tickers to try for yourself - right here.

Cheers,

Shah

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