Wednesday, October 12, 2022

📉Why Stocks Have A Second Big Reason to Fall In the Months Ahead

Good morning. Stocks tend to move higher for one of two reasons. The first is if a company can...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Stocks tend to move higher for one of two reasons. The first is if a company can grow its earnings over time. That's a simple measure, favored by value investors like Warren Buffett. The second is if a company's valuation multiple can increase, the kind of investment being sought by tech investors like Cathie Wood.

So far this year, the market has seen a drop in valuation thanks to lower prices. But now with companies reporting lower earnings overall, there may be room for a further drop in shares on an earnings basis. While other factors loom large – like how central banks are treating the economy – it's clear that we've only seen the impact of one of those two measures that move stocks so far. For traders, caution remains the watchword of the day.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 29,239.19 +0.12%
S&P 3,588.84 -0.65%
NASDAQ 10,426.19 -1.10%
*As of market close
Markets traded mixed on Tuesday, with tech stocks continuing lower.
Oil dropped 2.9 percent, closing at $88.48 per barrel.
Gold dropped 0.1 percent, last going for about $1,673 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded lower, with Bitcoin at $19,008 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Pessimism In the Chip Space Is Getting Overblown – Buy This Top Name
Traders loved chip companies during the last bull market. In the current bear market? Not so much. Slowing PC sales, a declining economy, and supply chain issues have created a mess for the space.

However, the space may have gone from being overly optimistic last year to overly pessimistic today. That suggests with all the downgrades and fear in the space that it may be time for contrarian investors to buy.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Thor Industries (THO)
Peter Orthwein, a director at Thor Industries (THO), recently added 20,000 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 2 percent, and came to a total cost of $1,450,000.

This marks the first insider activity since July, when the company COO bought 1,225 shares, paying about $100,000. And insiders have only been buyers this year. Going back further, the results are more mixed, with some large insider sales at a much higher price in 2021.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Apple (AAPL)
Shares of consumer tech giant Apple (AAPL) are now about flat over the past year. One trader sees a bump higher in the coming weeks.

That's based on the October 28 $139 calls. With 16 days until expiration, 9,076 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 268, for a 34-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $6.65 to make the bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast

The International Monetary Fund has cut its growth forecasts for the world, citing high inflation, rising interest rates by central bankers, and a rising financial instability. The IMF sees gauges of systemic risk beginning to pile up following the rapid changes in asset valuations this year, particularly for funds that invest in less liquid parts of the market.
Bank of England Expands Bond Market Rescue

The Bank of England is expanding its bond buying program. The move started in the past two weeks, as a fast selloff threatened to send yields soaring for UK bonds. The bank is now buying up to $5.5 billion worth of index-linked gilts each day. The bond market rescue is occurring as the country is still looking to raise interest rates further in the coming months.
Consumer Inflation Expectations Fall

The latest Fed survey on consumer inflation expectations show that consumers expect the rate to be an average of 5.4 percent a year from now. That's the lowest reading in a year, and is down from 5.75 percent in August. Household spending is also likely on track to grow by 6 percent in the next year.
Railroad Strike Back on the Table

A union of railroad workers has rejected a tentative agreement with US rail freight carriers. That's increased the possibility of a strike that could impact freight services and add to supply chain woes. The potential five-year contract was supported by union leaders and the Biden White House, but was reject by a vote of just 43 percent in favor.
Google to Boost Cloud Security Features

With data breaches for cloud services on the rise in the past year, Google (GOOG) Cloud is adding a new suite of security products and services. They cover areas such as supply chains, secure collaboration agreements, and security operations to increase the company's cybersecurity features.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
VTRS  7.2%
AMGN 5.583%
MU 4.097%
CCL 3.37%
KR 3.174%
BOTTOM
LVS 7.801%
LRCX 7.465%
WYNN 7.382%
KLAC 7.007%
NFLX 6.975%

Quote of the Day
The combined effect of concurrent global tightening is larger than the sum of its parts. The Federal Reserve takes into account the spillovers of higher interest rates, a stronger dollar, and weaker demand from foreign economies into the United States, as well as in the reverse direction. We are attentive to the risk of further adverse shocks—for instance, from Russia's war against Ukraine, the pandemic, or China's zero-COVID policies.
- Lael Brainard, Federal Reserve Vice Chair, on the data the Fed is using when determining its policy decision, a list that the market interpreted as relatively dovish compared to the Fed's actions so far this year.

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A groundbreaking new $30 Trillion shock wave is taking the crypto world by storm… and all the smart money is moving ahead of this upcoming shock.

The world's smartest Billionaire investors like Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerburg, Mark Cuban and Bill Gates are all moving their money as we speak.

But the real story is the tiny $2 crypto situated at the forefront of this $30 trillion wave.

Click here to see the $2 coin leading the way.


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