Monday, November 1, 2021

POLITICO Illinois Playbook: Who’s in, who's out, and who's keeping quiet

Shia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln
Nov 01, 2021 View in browser
 
Illinois Playbook

By Shia Kapos

Welcome to November, Illinois. For all the hand-wringing here, all eyes are on Virginia and whether Tuesday's election is a harbinger of what's to come in 2022.

TOP TALKER

GOP Rep. Adam Kinzinger, speaking in Washington in July 2021, has announced he won't seek re-election.

GOP Rep. Adam Kinzinger, speaking in Washington in July 2021, has announced he won't seek re-election. | Chip Somodevilla/Pool via AP File

With congressional boundaries now in place, speculation is in overdrive as to what's next for Reps. Adam Kinzinger, Rodney Davis and Mary Miller — Republicans who were strategically edged out or carefully maneuvered in the remap dictated by Illinois Democrats.

Kinzinger announced Friday he wouldn't run for re-election, saying, "this isn't the end of my political future, but the beginning." It hints at another run for office, though he won't say which one and friends say they don't know at all what his next move will be.

While a run for U.S. Senate seems logical, an insider who has seen polling numbers says it would be a suicide mission for Kinzinger to run against Democratic Sen. Tammy Duckworth. He'd also have to get out of a primary first, which would be a challenge for Kinzinger in any race while Trumpism remains potent within the party.

Other possible scenarios: Kinzinger takes a talking-head job at CNN or MSNBC, writes a book about battling former President Donald Trump, earns millions of dollars to secure his family's future while also raising funds for his super PACs — and then makes a run for president in 2024. Wouldn't a Trump v. Kinzinger race be something?

Still another GOP insider wouldn't be surprised if Kinzinger were to take a military-type appointment under a Biden administration. Conservatives like to dream.

Kinzinger was put in the 16th District along with Republican Rep. Darin LaHood, who said Friday he plans to run for re-election in 2022 in the new district. The State Journal-Register's Dean Olsen has more on that.

Davis and Miller, meanwhile, are keeping quiet about their next moves until Pritzker signs the congressional map into law.

There's buzz that Pritzker's team encouraged lawmakers to give Davis a safe seat in the new 15th, ideally to keep him from running for governor. The question is whether Davis is still looking at that race.

Miller, meanwhile, may decide to run in Davis' seat instead of the 12th District, where she's been placed to face-off against Rep. Mike Bost.

Why that's interesting: Miller, a Trump devotee, might be a better fit for the more conservative 12th District, but it would be difficult to challenge GOP veteran Bost, who has his own Trump credentials. The former president even campaigned for Bost in 2020. Miller might see a bigger opening by challenging Davis, who supported establishing a commission to investigate Trump's actions on Jan. 6.

Candidates don't have to live in the district they're seeking to represent. It wouldn't be unusual for Miller to run in the 15th since it encompasses a chunk of her current district and because her family farm is just over a mile from the district.

Similarly, Democratic Rep. Marie Newman has already announced she's running against Rep. Sean Casten in the newly formed 6th District, even though the redistricting committee placed her in Rep. Chuy Garcia's 4th District.

Casten told ABC 7's Craig Wall that he'll "run on my record," and Newman said she's "optimistic" given the new 6th District includes more than 40 percent of her current district. The problem for Newman is it's the part of her district that voted for conservative Rep. Dan Lipinski in 2020. Political analyst Frank Calabrese breaks that down in a map.

RELATED

Handy-dandy district breakdown, via Illinois House Democrats

VIDEO shows how congressional districts have changed since 1973, via Belleville News-Democrat

Kinzinger speaks out on leaving Congress, 'cancer' in the Republican Party, via interview Sunday with ABC's George Stephanopoulos

THE BUZZ

Gov. J.B. Pritzker heads to the international climate change summit this week with two feathers in his cap: clean energy legislation that phases out fossil fuels and seeks to put a million electric vehicles on the road by 2030, and a just-passed bill that encourages EV and auto battery production in the state.

Pritzker and his top staff will arrive in London on Tuesday and spend two days meeting with business leaders, discussing Illinois' economic development opportunities and prospects for investment, according to the governor's office. Topics for discussion: the state's $45 billion capital plan to rebuild roads, bridges, universities, community colleges, and communities.

On Friday, Pritzker will attend the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference of the Parties in Glasgow, Scotland.

On Sunday, the governor will deliver a keynote speech at the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions.

Who's going: House Speaker Emanuel "Chris" Welch is joining Pritzker for the summit, and Senate President Don Harmon is working on logistics to also attend.

Governor's staffers going: Chief of staff Anne Caprara, deputy governor Andy Manar, deputy governor Christian Mitchell, first assistant deputy governor Christy George, and deputy policy director Jessica Himes.

Costs: The governor is covering the costs of his own travel. Staff airfare will be paid by Intersect Illinois, the state's public/private corporate recruitment organization. And staff lodging will be paid by the State of Illinois.

RELATED

The G-20's democratic leaders were upstaged by royals, by POLITICO's Ryan Heath

Have a tip, suggestion, birthday, anniversary, new job, or juicy tip for Playbook? Get in touch: skapos@politico.com

 

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WHERE'S J.B.

At 77th Street and Long Avenue in Burbank at 10:30 a.m. to announce an investment to support construction of a new A.E.R.O. campus. Then at Breakthrough Urban Ministries FamilyPlex at 12:30 p.m. to announce anti-violence investments. And at 6 p.m. he'll be at the Field Museum with the British Consulate-General Chicago for a kick-off celebrating the COP26 climate talks in Europe.

WHERE'S LORI

At Breakthrough FamilyPlex at 12:30 p.m. to announce anti-violence investments.

Where's Toni

On Peterson Avenue at 11 a.m. for the groundbreaking of the new Peterson Ridge Metra Station.

Covid-19 Update

Chicago's vax mandate survives two challenges: "Late Friday, a federal judge shot down an emergency request by Chicago firefighters, paramedics and other city workers to halt city and state vaccine mandates. That ruling came down hours after the City Council voted down a proposal from a group of aldermen to repeal the mandate and remove the power over such measures from the mayor," by Tribune's John Byrne, Gregory Pratt and Jason Meisner.

Vax hesitancy persists in Black communities: "According the latest data from the Chicago Department of Public Health, just 44 percent of Black Chicagoans are fully vaccinated compared with nearly 66 percent of Asian Americans and about 63 percent of whites. 'It's very important that African Americans get vaccinated,' community activist and [self-described] vaccine ambassador Wallace 'Gator' Bradley," tells WTTW's Aida Mogos.

THE STATEWIDES

GOOD LEGISLATIVE WRAP-UP: "Controversial legislation to redo congressional districts, repeal the parental notification requirement for minors seeking abortions and change the Illinois Health Care Right of Conscience Act dominated news coverage during the General Assembly's fall session. But several other bills passed and soon will make their way to Gov. JB Pritzker's desk for his signature," writes State Journal-Register's Dean Olsen.

Betting on in-state college sports teams approved by lawmakers over objections from school athletic directors: "The legislation needs Gov. J.B. Pritzker's signature to go into effect. Pritzker so far has not voiced an opinion. State Rep. Mike Zalewski, the Riverside Democrat who pushed to allow limited betting on in-state college teams, said the goal is to keep those bets — and the tax revenue that comes with them — in Illinois," by Tribune's Dan Petrella.

Legislators pass Covid-19 administrative leave for school employees, but Pritzker is not a fan: "The School Employee Benefit and Wage Protection bill, now headed to Gov. J.B. Pritzker's desk, was championed by the state's teachers unions, who said school employees with young families were being forced to use all of their sick days if they or their children contracted the virus or were required to quarantine," by Tribune's Karen Ann Cullotta.

— FEATURE: The mystery of the 'Mad Gasser of Mattoon' who terrorized an Illinois town: "[As] alleged gassings began to spread, the editorial staff of the Journal Gazette strongly criticized city officials' handling of the case. In addition to writing that the community's police force was understaffed by half, the newspaper's editorial board claimed that political infighting had hampered this and other investigations," by Dustin Waters in the Washington Post.

Deere, UAW reach tentative pact; strike continues for now, by The Associated Press

MAPMAKER, MAPMAKER

At Chicago City Council puzzle factory, job number one is to protect own turf: "Alderpersons compete to control big developments, preserve sentimental attachments and survive in ward remap," writes Sun-Times' Mark Brown.

In racially divisive Chicago ward remap fight, something's got to give as deadline nears, by Sun-Times' Mark Brown

CHICAGO

— 5-CARD DRAW: City gets 5 casino proposals, including from Bally's, Hard Rock and Rivers Casino co-owners: "The project will have to clear major hurdles in the coming months as Mayor Lori Lightfoot's administration sorts through the proposals and picks a winner. It's not clear where all of the proposed gambling venues would go but experts generally believe a new casino should be in or near downtown," by Tribune's Gregory Pratt, Robert McCoppin and Dan Petrella.

Downtown shootings up 220%, biggest spike in city: 'People are fed up': "The economic and cultural hub has seen the most shootings in years in 2021. The rise mirrors a citywide violent crime wave and threatens downtown's recovery," by Sun-Times' Tom Schuba, David Struett, Andy Grimm, Frank Main, and Andy Boyle.

Small-business owners around Chicago find ways to cope with supply chain problems: "'We started with maybe one out of four or five orders where we'd have a back order,' says a co-owner of StitchMine Custom Embroidery in Glenview. 'Now, it's every order,'" by Sun-Times' Stefano Esposito.

With winter on the way, thousands of Chicago Public Schools students are still without bus service: "Some 2,300 of them are special education students. CPS expects all students with special needs to have service after winter break," by WBEZ's Adriana Cardona-Maguigad.

CPS theater teacher suspended, play canceled after students complain of offensive comments, scenes: "Jones College Prep theater teacher Brad Lyons is on leave while the school district investigates," by Sun-Times' Nader Issa.

Family of Englewood man killed by Chicago cop demand officer be fired: "When people seek justice, they shouldn't have to protest," Rep. La Shawn Ford said in standing with the family. "We should be able to ask for justice without protesting." Block Club's Atavia Reed reports

Push for answers and reward offered in shooting death of 4-year-old, by Tribune's Paige Fry

— DA BEARS | Jimmy G makes himself at home in 33-22 win over Bears: "Rolling Meadows High School grad Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 322 yards and ran for 2 touchdowns, and the San Francisco 49ers beat the short-handed Bears 33-22 Sunday at Soldier Field," by the Associated Press.

COOK COUNTY AND COLLARS

Days before water shortage, Dixmoor laid off most of its public works employees: "According to the village's human resources director, Anthony McCaskill, the employees were laid off because "none of them have the qualifications or the certificates or the credentials to do what they had to do," and the village was paying extra to employ contractors. He added that the plan was to employ contractors from now on," by Tribune's Jade Yan.

Kevin Costner helps give Des Plaines Theatre a Hollywood opening, via Daily Herald.

DAY IN COURT

Chicago cop facing felony charge after allegedly shooting at thieves who swiped her SUV: "Oneta Sampson Carney, 58, allegedly opened fire Saturday evening when a team of thieves stole her Toyota 4Runner as she and her husband were loading groceries in a Sam's Club parking lot," by sun-Times' Tom Schuba.

R. Kelly to get appeal aid from New York attorney who helped Bill Cosby: "Jennifer Bonjean, a New York-based attorney whose legal career began in Chicago, filed her appearance in Kelly's case in U.S. District Court in Brooklyn, where Kelly was convicted last month of racketeering and sex abuse charges," by Tribune's Jason Meisner and Megan Crepeau.

 

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MEDIA MATTERS

Eric Ferguson 'stepping away' from The Mix, vows to defend himself from allegations of inappropriate behavior: A former assistant producer's lawsuit alleges Ferguson "coerced sexual favors from her in 2004, then retaliated against her for years because she refused to resume the 'unwelcome sexual relationship,'" by Tribune's Tracy Swartz and Christy Gutowski.

CAMPAIGN MODE

Demmer's next move: Playbook's phone lit up all weekend about state Rep. Tom Demmer, with folks saying he's going to pull the trigger and run for state Treasurer. But the deputy minority leader from Dixon told us yesterday that he hasn't yet made a decision about what he'll do in 2022. So hold off on the speculation.

BUSINESS OF POLITICS

Ken Mejia-Beal was elected chair of the Democratic Party of DuPage County on Saturday during a party meeting at IBEW hall in Warrenville. He replaces Cynthia Borbas, who resigned due to medical issues. Mejia-Beal, who ran against Lynn Casey-Maher, won 60 percent of the vote of the 316 elected committee persons. Mejia-Beal is the first person of color to hold the position and the first openly LGBT chair of either party in Illinois, according to DuPage Dems.

Reader Digest

We asked for a remedy for getting through a day after having no sleep. Cunningham Township Assessor Wayne Williams suggests "Cherry Coke, Caramel Macchiato from Starbucks, Cherry Coke again and repeat. In that order until the day is done." (ha ha, Wayne.) Former state Rep. Kathy Ryg lives by power naps and "riding in the car naps" work, too. And Daniel Goldwin, public affairs executive director for Jewish United Fund/Jewish Federation of Chicago, says: "Very simple answer. Do the Dew… Mountain Dew."

For tomorrow, with the governor heading out of town, we're wondering what YOU do when the boss is away? Email to skapos@politico.com

FROM THE DELEGATION

The Supreme Court Case that created the dreamer 'narrative': Sen. Dick Durbin "reinvigorated the push for the legislation by telling the stories of young undocumented immigrants — and explicitly appealing to the ideals of Plyler [v. Doe]. ... [The] Supreme Court held that all immigrant children, regardless of their legal status, were entitled to access public education, just like their peers born in the United States," by POLITICO's Jesús A. Rodríguez.

— Fact-Check | No, migrant 'daravan' from Tapachula, Mexico, is not the population of Minneapolis: "Rep. Mary Miller from downstate Illinois compared the group of migrants heading north from the southern Mexico city of Tapachula to the population of Minneapolis, which has 430,000 residents. At most, it is 1 percent of that," by Better Government Association's Kiannah Sepeda-Miller.

THE NATIONAL TAKE

Dems fret over Black votes in Virginia, by POLITICO's Elena Schneider and Maya King

Dems close in on Medicare prescription drug negotiation compromise, by POLITICO's Burgess Everett, Alice Miranda Ollstsein and Heather Caygle

Polls suggest the pandemic is fading as a voter priority, by POLITICO's David Siders

GOP relishes political upsides as Dems toil for unity, by POLITICO's Olivia Beavers

Biden tries, stumbles, selling his domestic agenda into existence, by POLITICO's Laura Barron-Lopez, Christopher Cadelago and Natasha Korecki

— INTERACTIVE: The Jan. 6 siege of the U.S. Capitol was neither a spontaneous act nor an isolated event, via the Washington Post

TRANSITIONS

Matthew McCabe has been named executive director of strategic initiatives at Catholic Charities in Chicago. He starts after Thanksgiving. McCabe currently is chief of public affairs at Noble Schools, where he served in various roles over the years from teacher to government affairs director to his current position.

IN MEMORIAM

Remembering Bobby Juliano: Presidential pal, lobbyist for the little guy and Chicago native: "He never forgot who he was--a genuine 'street kid' from Chicago who worked as an elevator operator on the Windy City's West Side," by Newsmax's John Gizzi.

EVENTS

Tuesday at 5:30 p.m.: Darlena Williams-Burnett, wife of Ald. Walter Burnett Jr., hosts a book signing of her memoir, "Living History!" at Soho House.

TRIVIA

FRIDAY's ANSWER: Congrats to Ald. James Cappleman and retired comms pro Gail Purkey for correctly answering that Rep. Jan Schakowsky started her career working on a campaign to require expiration dates on food products.

TODAY's QUESTION: Who was the urologist who looked likely to win the GOP nomination for Chicago mayor in 1989 before Ed Vrdolyak launched a surprise last-minute write-in campaign and won the nomination? Email to skapos@politico.com

HAPPY BIRTHDAY

Thomas McElroy II, CEO of Level-1 Global Solutions, and John Oxtoby, director of ESG at Ariel Investments.

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