Monday, December 2, 2024

Tariffs, tariffs, tariffs

Presented by American Beverage: Delivered every Monday by 10 a.m., Weekly Agriculture examines the latest news in agriculture and food politics and policy.
Dec 02, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO Weekly Agriculture Newsletter Header

By Marcia Brown

Presented by 

American Beverage

With help from Ari Hawkins, Meredith Lee Hill and Adam Cancryn 

 

A message from American Beverage:

America’s beverage companies – The Coca-Cola Company, Keurig Dr Pepper and PepsiCo – are iconic American companies making American products with American workers in America’s hometowns. And we’re committed to doing our part to address today’s health challenges. We’ve taken real steps for more than a decade to transform the beverage aisle, like offering smaller portion sizes, more zero-sugar options and putting nutrition information right up front. Explore more at BalanceUS.org.

 
QUICK FIX

— Donald Trump’s trade threats continue.  

— Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s influence has limits. 

— A push to end the ban on SNAP for people convicted of a drug felony.  

IT’S MONDAY, DEC. 2. Welcome back to Morning Agriculture. I’m your host Marcia Brown. RFK Jr. cooked his turkey in beef tallow. How did you prepare yours? Follow me on X and Bluesky and listen to me talk bird flu on “What Next.” Send tips to marciabrown@politico.com and follow us @Morning_Ag.

 

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Driving the day

BURGEONING TRADE WAR: President-elect Donald Trump’s trade threats continue to grow. Over the weekend, he vowed a 100 percent tariff on developing countries that use the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency should they try to drop it.

“The idea that the BRICS Countries are trying to move away from the Dollar while we stand by and watch is OVER,” Trump wrote on his social media platform Truth Social, referring to the acronym for the original group of countries in the bloc — Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. The geopolitical alliance has since expanded to include Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia and the United Arab Emirates.

Context: Officials from the BRICS countries have discussed moving away from the U.S. dollar in recent years including at the 2024 BRICS Summit. The concept gained steam in 2022 when the U.S. imposed massive economic sanctions on Russia over its war in Ukraine, reports our Ari Hawkins.

Trump’s vows to slap new tariffs on U.S. trading partners on Day One has sent ripple effects through the U.S. agricultural industry, which relies on exports to boost profits for vital commodity crops like soy and corn.

Ag impact: Kip Tom, former ambassador to the United Nations agencies for food and agriculture in Trump’s first term, added that Trump will fix the ag-trade deficit.

“The BRICS are much further along in their strategy to crater US economic strength under Biden-Harris,” he wrote on X. “We have taken notice and will now take action!”

The ag-trade deficit, which measures the value of U.S. food exports compared to value of its food imports, has ballooned in recent years, topping $45 billion in the latest USDA 2025 forecast.

Ag Secretary Tom Vilsack defended his department’s work, noting that exports of agriculture products for fiscal year 2025 are expected to increase $500 million from the previous forecast in August.

“Today’s forecast also shines light on the health of the American economy,” said Vilsack in a statement. “A strong dollar and economy are evidenced by U.S. consumers’ demand for imports of high-value products such as spirits and coffee. The U.S.’s agricultural export numbers should remain strong unless retaliatory tariffs result in steep declines.”

RFK: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. spent weeks lobbying Donald Trump to nominate an Agriculture secretary who would be his ally in a war with the sugar, soybean, corn and other farm commodity interests he argues are poisoning Americans, write Meredith and Adam Cancryn.

Working largely from his home in California, Trump’s pick to lead the Department of Health and Human Services even meticulously vetted and put forward his own list of candidates to run the massive agency responsible for the country’s farm and food policy, according to three people familiar with the discussions.

Rollins: Trump’s choice of Brooke Rollins, who co-founded the Trump-aligned think tank America First Policy Institute, to lead the Agriculture Department represents something of a victory for the entrenched agriculture interests that view Kennedy as a foe.

If confirmed, Rollins will have massive influence to shape agriculture policy and farm subsidies that serve as the foundation of the U.S. food system, which Kennedy is eager to overhaul. He’s openly promised to go to war with large agriculture interests he argues are at the root of Americans’ twin obesity and chronic health crises.

But those fights lie within USDA, which oversees a $430 billion-plus yearly budget and 100,000 employees, touching nearly every part of the country’s $1.5 trillion food and agriculture industry. Not HHS.

Related: Former RFK Jr. staffers are questioning whether he’s up to running HHS.

 

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SNAP BAN: More than two dozen groups are urging lawmakers to end barriers to food assistance, including policies that ban people convicted of a drug felony access to SNAP.

In two letters shared exclusively with POLITICO, the groups write to the leaders of the House and Senate Agriculture committees urging them to pass a farm bill, not just an extension.

(Republicans have largely dismissed Sen. Debbie Stabenow’s (D-Mich.) farm bill text released last month, and talks about a farm bill extension have already resumed.)

Details: Specifically, the groups are urging lawmakers to include the RESTORE Act, language that would eliminate the national lifetime ban from SNAP for people with felony drug convictions. Notably, the House farm bill, which passed in May with four Democratic votes, included such language. The groups also want lawmakers to include the Training and Nutrition Stability Act, which would enable people to continue receiving SNAP benefits while in federal job training programs. The current system, advocates say, forces people to choose between food security and job training.

“Being able to ensure people have access to food security and [job] training just allows them to become more self-sufficient in the future,” said Leah Bacon, director of the Center for Employment Opportunities, which is leading a coalition urging a new farm bill.

Context: Formerly incarcerated people have double the rate of food insecurity in the general population, making SNAP even more essential. The same population also faces steep barriers to employment because many employers and landlords won’t hire or rent to people with a felony.

Some states, including Colorado and Connecticut, have modified bans, which allow people with convictions to access SNAP subject to certain limitations, such as completing drug treatment programs.

What’s next: Lawmakers have started formal talks on another extension of the farm bill, but it’s not clear this SNAP access language will be included — despite being included in the House farm bill voted out of committee this spring.

 

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Row Crops

— Ben Wikler, chair of the Democratic Party in Wisconsin, a major agricultural state, launched his bid for chair of the national party.

— The CDC warned of a salmonella outbreak linked to cucumbers

— One year after Tyson closed its Glen Allen, Virginia, facility, poultry farmers are grappling with the consequences. (The Delmarva Farmer)

Lab workers in California are overwhelmed amid the outbreak of H5N1 (Los Angeles Times).

Two former top health officials urge Kennedy to pick up where they left off in the battle against Big Food. (The Wall Street Journal)

Stacy Mitchell on the emergence of food deserts for The Atlantic.

Martha C. Nussbaum reviews books on meatpackin g for The New York Review of Books.

THAT’S ALL FOR MA! Drop us a line and send us your agriculture job announcements or events: gyarrow@politico.com, meredithlee@politico.com, marciabrown@politico.com, abehsudi@politico.com and ecadei@politico.com.

 

A message from American Beverage:

America’s beverage companies are committed to delivering families the freedom to choose the beverage that’s right for them. And it’s working. Thanks to our innovation, nearly 60% of the beverages Americans buy have no sugar or calories.

Our commitment to helping Americans find the right balance for them includes:
· Offering more than 600 brands with less sugar or no sugar at all.
· Putting clear calorie labels on the front of every bottle, can and pack.
· Encouraging consumers to think about balance with signs on coolers and displays in store.
· Voluntarily removing full-calorie beverages from schools through our National School Beverage Guidelines, which cut beverage calories in schools by 94%. In fact, the USDA Smart Snacks in Schools Beverage Guidelines were largely based on these guidelines.

Learn more at BalanceUS.org

 
 

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