Tuesday, December 3, 2024

MSFT Shows Perfect Technical Setup at Critical Level

Trade of the Day Wake-Up Watchlist

"With stacked weekly EMAs and dual squeeze signals forming, MSFT is coiling for what could be an explosive move through all-time highs."

Nate Bear, Lead Technical Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Nate Bear

When multiple timeframe squeeze signals align near historical resistance levels, experienced traders know to pay attention.

That's exactly what we're seeing in Microsoft (MSFT) right now, and the technical setup is nothing short of magnificent.

Power of Multiple Timeframes

The current setup in MSFT is particularly compelling because we're seeing squeeze signals emerge on both daily and weekly charts - a rare occurrence that often precedes significant moves.

 

Technical Framework:

Building Pressure at the Top

MSFT's price action resembles a coiled spring right now. The stock keeps pushing against $468.35 while volatility contracts - a classic pattern that often leads to explosive moves.

  • Testing critical resistance near 52-week high of $468.35
  • Compression forming just below this key level
  • Strong support structure from stacked weekly EMAs
  • Low volatility suggesting major move ahead

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The Weekly Foundation

The weekly chart tells a powerful story:

The longer-term picture shows steady, stair-step price movement upward - exactly what we want to see in a healthy trend. Big players appear to be quietly building positions while most traders aren't paying attention.

  • Perfect EMA stack showing sustained upward momentum
  • Low compression squeeze forming - rare on this timeframe
  • Volume profile suggesting quiet accumulation
  • Key support levels clearly defined below

Daily Confirmation

The short-term chart reinforces our weekly story. The stock is tightening into a narrow trading range near its highs, while trading volume shows large investors are likely positioning for the next move.

This type of quiet period often comes right before a significant price breakout.

Adding to the weekly setup:

  • Fresh squeeze signal triggering on daily timeframe
  • Price consolidation near resistance showing strength
  • Decreasing volatility pointing to imminent break
  • Volume patterns suggesting institutional interest

Business Backdrop

While underperforming the S&P 500 this year, Microsoft's fundamental strength remains undeniable with continued cloud growth and AI integration. However, it's the technical setup that makes this opportunity particularly timely.

Your Action Plan

This dual squeeze setup at such a critical level demands attention. The combination of:

  • Multiple timeframe squeeze signals
  • Price action near all-time highs
  • Perfect EMA stacking
  • Low volatility compression

...suggests MSFT could be preparing for a significant move.

I'll be following this closely, and will probably look to buy call options if the setup remains strong.

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