Monday, November 11, 2024

Trump’s shadow falls on Chinese solar giant

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Nov 11, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Arianna Skibell

President-elect Donald Trump is surrounded by American flags.

President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to dismember the climate law passed in 2022. | Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP

The United States’ clean energy landscape is already changing just days after Donald Trump’s election — as signs build of even bigger shake-ups to come.

Case in point: One of China’s largest solar manufacturers — which had been slated to receive almost $2 billion from President Joe Biden’s climate law — instead is selling the massive new factory it built in Texas, write Benjamin Storrow and Kelsey Tamborrino.

The company, Trina Solar, insists the move was unrelated to the president-elect’s hostile stance toward China and his vows to shred Biden’s clean energy incentives. But analysts say the sale reflects how Trump’s promise to quell economic competition from China is already affecting energy markets.

Trump has pledged to raise tariffs by 20 percent on all imports and impose an additional 60 percent levy on Chinese shipments.

While Democrats’ 2022 climate law prevents Chinese automakers from benefiting from the law, it contains no such prohibitions for Chinese solar manufacturers, which dominate the global market for panels.

But lawmakers from both parties have already filed a number of bills seeking to bar Chinese-linked companies from receiving the solar tax boons.

Trina’s sale to a battery manufacturer called Freyr appears to be a strategic move to avoid those possible new restrictions, said Nick Iacovella, a former aide to Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and a senior vice president at the Coalition for a Prosperous America, a trade group representing U.S. manufacturers.

The sale spotlights the ongoing tension within the solar industry surrounding Chinese-built factories inside the United States. Advocates see factories such as Trina as a positive development, saying they use China’s technological expertise to create domestic jobs and drive costs down as the country transitions to clean power.

But critics argue that the trend leaves the country overly reliant on China and stifles U.S. attempts to build its own clean energy manufacturing industry.

Of course, it’s possible no one will reap major benefits from Democrats’ climate law as Trump has pledged to claw back as many unspent funds as possible. With Republicans on the cusp of winning total control of Congress, any Democratic opposition will likely be attenuated — though Trump may face pushback from many Republicans whose districts are set to benefit from the manufacturing funds.

Companies have announced $153.4 billion in planned private clean energy investments since the enactment of the climate law, promising to create 160,000 jobs — with the lion’s share headed to GOP-controlled districts.

 

It's Monday  — thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. I'm your host, Arianna Skibell. Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and  POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to askibell@eenews.net.

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Today in POLITICO Energy’s podcast: Zack Colman breaks down how Trump’s victory has sent global climate diplomacy into a frenzy as diplomats and Biden administration officials arrive in Baku, Azerbaijan, for the COP29 negotiations.

Power Centers

President-elect Donald Trump greets Lee Zeldin.

President-elect Donald Trump greets Lee Zeldin as he arrives to speak at a campaign event Sept. 23 in Smithton, Pennsylvania. Trump has tapped Zeldin to lead EPA. | Alex Brandon/AP

Trump taps Lee Zeldin as environmental chief
Trump named former New York Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin to lead his administration's Environmental Protection Agency, writes Kevin Bogardus.

The early pick signals that Trump has big plans for the agency. If confirmed, Zeldin would lead the Republican effort to unwind environmental protections, slash climate rules and shake up the federal workforce.

Bracing for climate litigation shake-up
Court watchers expect Trump to waste no time trying to unwind four years of the Biden administration's aggressive environmental and energy rules, write Lesley Clark and Niina H. Farah.

Likely targets include mandates for reducing planet-warming pollution and federal limits on emissions from oil, natural gas and the power sector. The new administration may also revisit the implementation of bedrock environmental laws, along with pollution limits for heavy-duty trucks.

A long lame-duck list. Will it get done?
Congress returns to Washington on Tuesday with a packed to-do list, much of which Republicans may punt to next session when the GOP is likely to control all three branches of government, write Andres Picon, Kelsey Brugger and Marc Heller.

That includes some of Congress’ thorniest priorities such as government spending, energy permitting and the farm bill. More bipartisan efforts — passing disaster aid, water infrastructure authorizations and the annual defense policy bill — are more likely to be wrapped up before Christmas.

Europe readies crackdown on Russia shadow fleet
The European Parliament is preparing to pass a resolution calling for more “targeted” measures against Russia’s shadow fleet as evidence mounts that Moscow is dodging sanctions and risking an environmental disaster, writes Victor Jack.

The measure, which has broad support from political groups in the Parliament, presses for a “systematic sanctioning” of vessels carrying Russian oil, and urges the EU to beef up satellite monitoring and “targeted inspections” of tankers.

COP Corner

The COP29 climate conference logo sits outside the COP29 headquarters in the Azerbaijani capital of Baku on Sept. 11, 2024.

The COP29 climate conference logo sits outside the COP29 headquarters in the Azerbaijani capital of Baku on Sept. 11, 2024. | Tofik Babayev/AFP/Getty Images

Our news roundup from COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan.

‘Science is still science’ — America’s top climate diplomat John Podesta told foreign officials Monday that the U.S. remains committed to fighting climate change, even if Trump isn’t.

‘We have seen this story’ — But lying underneath the show of resolve at the United Nations climate summit was a sense of real worry about how the absence of U.S. leadership will impede the effort.

China weighs in — Beijing’s top climate envoy Liu Zhenmin echoed the sentiment, saying China is worried about the upheaval Trump might bring to the fight against climate change.

Even with sustained U.S. leadership, the nation — along with many other wealthy ones — has been ramping up fossil fuel production at the same time oil and gas companies weaken their climate pledges.

The West is AWOL, but the Taliban’s in town —The leaders of many of those same nations are sitting this COP out entirely, including President Joe Biden. Afghanistan’s de facto government, however, is sending a delegation, AFP and Reuters report. The Taliban are barred from taking up a seat at the U.N. General Assembly and have tried and failed to attend previous COPs.

Do as I say, not as I do? — Meanwhile, the European Union is set to miss a critical global deadline for new climate targets — while preparing to lecture the world at COP about the importance of those goals. “It’s basically impossible” to meet the Paris Agreement deadline coming up in February, said a senior Polish government official.

A similar (two-letter) problem: BP — The United Kingdom likewise plans to use this week’s climate summit to sell itself as a global environmental leader. But one of the U.K.’s largest companies, BP, is a global force in fossil fuel drilling — and thick as thieves with COP29’s host Azerbaijan.

In Other News

Filling the leadership void: Trump is handing China a golden opportunity on climate.

The Northeast is dry: Dangerous smoke is moving through New York City after fires in New Jersey and the Hudson Valley.

Subscriber Zone

A showcase of some of our best subscriber content.

Construction worker Fernando Padilla wipes his face as he works in the heat last year in Nashville, Tennessee.

Construction worker Fernando Padilla wipes his face as he works in the heat last year in Nashville, Tennessee. | George Walker IV/AP

Trump's return to the White House puts at risk new heat protections for workers that were proposed over the summer by the Biden administration, say workplace advocates.

Millions of dollars meant to beef up National Park Service staffing could be trimmed under Trump's pledge to claw back unspent funds from a key Biden administration measure.

A new report found that the U.S. could make cheaper battery cells than China before the end of the decade, thanks to Biden's signature climate law.

That's it for today, folks! Thanks for reading.

 

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