Tuesday, October 8, 2024

‘We’re not in Glasgow anymore’

A newsletter from POLITICO for leaders building a sustainable future.
Oct 08, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO The Long Game Newsletter Header

By Jordan Wolman

THE BIG IDEA

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sits in a meeting.

Top administration officials including Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen are going all-in on carbon credits. | Andrew Harnik/AP

EXTRA CREDIT — The Biden administration is making a push to revive interest in the beleaguered voluntary carbon market with a plan that aims to boost Wall Street engagement with its climate agenda and raise funds to help vulnerable countries address global warming, your host reports.

Top administration officials are planning to pitch at the U.N.'s annual climate summit next month the idea of companies buying carbon credits to help meet net-zero commitments they couldn't otherwise achieve as a way to mobilize private capital for a global fund meant to help developing nations deal with disasters and adapt to a warming world.

The plan, if it works, could also help the administration make good on its promises to contribute to the global effort to combat climate change. But it’s also an indication of the challenges President Joe Biden and his regulators have faced in getting Wall Street to do more to decarbonize .

"There's been a bit of a lack of leadership at the federal level on the climate finance agenda," said Graham Steele, who served as Treasury’s assistant secretary of financial institutions before stepping down earlier this year. "There's talk about how private capital has to fill a need within that framework at multiples of what Congress allocated through tax credits, loan guarantees and the like in the [Inflation Reduction Act]. The issue that has come up as part of the administration is that there has not been a lot in the way of binding action to actually ensure that that private capital gets there."

The carbon credit proposal isn’t just directed at financial firms, but banks including Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and Santander are early supporters. And Citigroup recently announced a partnership with a top carbon credit verifier.

The plan has potential upsides both for the U.S. and for financial institutions, as well as for developing nations, according to Curtis Ravenel, managing director and global head of transition planning and finance for the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero, a coalition of 700 global firms focused on the energy transition.

“Getting money into emerging economies is very difficult,” Ravenel said. “But if done the right way, a high-integrity carbon credit could help catalyze further deployment.”

But there’s a reputational risk that could keep firms from boosting their carbon market involvement given the allegations that some offsets aren’t delivering promised environmental benefits. Still, the White House is betting that boosting carbon credits can align its goals with Wall Street in a way that might prove more durable with electoral uncertainty hanging over Biden's climate agenda.

“VCMs have the potential to create both economic and climate opportunities by channeling private capital to high-impact and cost-effective climate projects across technologies, ecosystems, and geographies,” Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo said at a Climate Week event. “But today’s markets face significant challenges that are holding back their growth.”

Momentum for Wall Street and regulators to address climate-related risks in the financial system that peaked when Biden took office has been blunted by economic and political realities since COP26 in Glasgow, where industry recognition of the need for its involvement led many of the nation’s largest financial firms to join net-zero groups.

Since then, soaring inflation, high interest rates and a concerted Republican backlash have softened expectations on what the industry can do and how far regulators should go, even as the business case to finance the energy transition has arguably only gotten stronger thanks to the IRA.

The Institute of International Finance, sensing a gap between the expectations of some policymakers and the realities of the role financial institutions play in the energy transition, released a paper last month pushing back on the notion that the finance sector alone can drive the green transition and arguing that “capital will only move in support of net zero goals at scale when the economics make sense.”

“We're not in Glasgow anymore,” said Sonja Gibbs, head of sustainable finance at IIF.

AROUND THE NATION

STORM WATCH — As Florida braces for impact from a second major hurricane in two weeks, the federal government's main disaster relief programs are confronting the prospect of financial collapse, Thomas Frank reports.

Even as the Federal Emergency Management Agency is offering public assurances that it will be able to meet its "life-saving" responsibilities for victims of Hurricane Helene and the fast-approaching Hurricane Milton, comments from Biden, Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas and insurance analysts suggest that programs run by FEMA and the Small Business Administration could be out of cash within weeks.

More than 200 counties encompassing 31 million people in six states have been declared federal disasters or emergencies due to the two storms. Helene has killed at least 230 people as it tore through states including Georgia, North Carolina and Tennessee. Milton poses an even more potentially dire scenario, as its path threatens to make a direct strike on Tampa Bay, one of the nation’s most vulnerable communities for storm surge.

“This is not a good situation,” National Weather Service Director Ken Graham said of Hurricane Milton’s potential devastation.

The concerns about federal resources are growing as lawmakers of both parties clamor for Congress to return to Washington before the November election to approve additional disaster funding. Speaker Mike Johnson said this weekend that he had no plans to bring his members back.

WASHINGTON WATCH

STOCKING UP — Vice President Kamala Harris’ call for a critical minerals reserve is the latest sign that Washington is still searching for ways to put a dent in China’s dominance of the market for raw materials needed to fuel the energy transition.

Whether such an idea could actually work is far from certain, James Bikales reports.

U.S. producers are looking for any help they can get in building a domestic supply chain for minerals needed to build products including batteries and solar panels amid pricing pressure from Beijing. Supporters of the stockpile argue that it could stabilize prices and reassure investors while keeping the market well-supplied.

Brian Deese, who headed Biden’s National Economic Council before stepping away to advise the Harris campaign, wrote in Foreign Affairs that a mineral reserve could “steady prices, protect consumers from price spikes, and generate stable revenue for producers during low-price periods” while also giving the U.S. more negotiating leverage on mineral trade deals to undercut China.

But it would also be expensive and logistically difficult compared with the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Minerals are harder to extract and store and can’t be widely sourced domestically right now — meaning that the U.S. might actually have to rely on Chinese minerals to build the reserve. It’s also hard to tell which minerals to store, since battery technology is quickly evolving.

“Right now, we’re handing out fantastic grants and incentives to mining companies, but at the same time the permits are being held up,” said Rich Nolan, president and CEO of the National Mining Association. “Even with the price support, if you can’t put a shovel in the ground, you’re out of luck.”

DATA DIVE

MALE ENERGY — We don’t quite know what to make of this, but a new segment of data shared exclusively with POLITICO finds that American males are far more comfortable with pretty much all energy sources compared with women.

Accounting giant KPMG released a report earlier this year showing that about 30 percent more men are comfortable with fossil fuels being part of their utility’s power generation, assuming all costs are equal, than women, according to a survey of 1,100 U.S. adults.

Now the firm has shared previously unreported data showing that trend also holds true for hydrogen. That gap shrinks dramatically when respondents were asked about renewable energy, but even then, 74 percent of men are comfortable with solar and wind compared with 65 percent of women.

The numbers suggest that men will be far more at peace with nuclear power’s apparent renaissance, as 53 percent said they are comfortable with that energy source compared with 22 percent of women.

While the data was collected before the announcement of the Microsoft deal that is set to reopen Pennsylvania’s Three Mile Island plant, just 37 percent of respondents overall said they were comfortable with nuclear, running well behind renewables at 69 percent and even trailing fossil fuels at 41 percent.

YOU TELL US

GAME ON — Welcome to the Long Game, where we tell you about the latest on efforts to shape our future. Join us every Tuesday as we keep you in the loop on the world of sustainability.

Team Sustainability is editor Greg Mott and reporter Jordan Wolman. Reach us at gmott@politico.com and jwolman@politico.com.

Sign up for the Long Game. It's free!

WHAT WE'RE CLICKING

— White House climate adviser Ali Zaidi said the Biden administration is looking to reactivate more nuclear reactors, according to Reuters.

— Princeton University has reversed its prohibition on fossil fuel funding in support of scholarly research, the Financial Times reports.

The FT is also reporting that former climate envoy John Kerry has joined a green investment group run by billionaire Tom Steyer.

 

Follow us on Twitter

Greg Mott @gwmott

Jordan Wolman @jordanwolman

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://login.politico.com/?redirect=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to edwardlorilla1986.paxforex@blogger.com by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Unsubscribe | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service

No comments:

Post a Comment

Kamala's Win Could Lead to Chaos - Are You Prepared?

Kamala's Win Could Lead to Chaos - Are You Prepared?  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌...