"The Power of Small Wins: My Path to Success" Nate Bear, Lead Technical Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance Hey Gang, Going for those 1,000% wins might seem like the quickest way to riches. But let me tell you how I amassed $2.7 million in profits over just a few short years… You can't hit the jackpot if you don't survive. In the meantime, focus on racking up base hits so you're ready to pounce when those windfall opportunities arrive. Because even though it might not seem like it at the time, these small gains eventually add up to a heap of profits. To help you understand what I mean, I want to discuss one stock few people know about that has worked exceptionally well for me lately… …As in I've won 100% of the 10 trades I've taken on this stock in Profit Surge Trader. Before we dive in, let's get a sense of the current market layout to help you understand my thinking. Current Market Today's market is unlike any I've ever seen. Investors, particularly the big money managers, are scared despite making new all-time highs. You've heard me talk about the VIX before. The VIX measures the demand for options on the S&P 500. Money managers like to buy puts on the S&P 500 to hedge their stock portfolio holdings. Right now, they're bidding for protection at rates we typically associate with market declines. The chart below helps us visualize this relationship. Does this mean the market is about to take a nosedive? Not necessarily. But one of the two has to be wrong. Generally, the VIX is the one that's wrong. However, I don't want to take any unnecessary chances. On top of that, we have the Nasdaq 100 well off its all-time high, even though stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Meta are the ones that got the S&P 500 to where it is today. When bull legs start, it typically lifts all stocks, not just a few. This feels more like sector rotation than a sustainable march. But like I said, just because I don't believe in the rally doesn't mean I can't participate. The key is being selective with how and where I stand. Lately, my S.A.M AI Scanner has been hot on one stock in particular - Forward Air Corp. (FWRD). Why This Stock Smaller stocks like FWRD have advantages and disadvantages. For instance, this stock only trades around 900,000 shares daily. Consequently, it only offers options with monthly expirations, wide strikes, and low volume. However, if I'm smart about when and how I enter, this stock can still provide plenty of profit opportunity. I want to start with the daily chart so you can get a sense of the bigger-picture momentum. Since May, there has been a clear upward trend that continued even through August's earnings. Having this underlying bullish bias helps avoid any unexpected plunges. Now, let's drill down to a 5-minute timeframe so you can see the actual trade setup I went with: I'm a creature of habit, and this setup is no exception. What you're looking at here is a classic TPS setup with three main elements: - A clear upward TREND driven not only by the push out of the gate on the 7th, but the broader trend from the daily chart.
- A consolidation PATTERN with a series of lower highs and higher lows
- And a SQUEEZE shown at the bottom by the red dots indicating the Bollinger Bands have moved inside the Keltner Channel.
The 5-minute timeframe is ideal for uncertain markets because the trades don't take long to work. So, you aren't exposed to any overnight events. And like I said, this wasn't a big trade. But these little base hits add up over time. |
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