Tuesday, February 20, 2024

What’s missing from the Senate ad blitz

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Feb 20, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Lara Korte and Dustin Gardiner

Presented by

Reps. Adam Schiff, Katie Porter, and Barbara Lee stand on stage behind podiums.

Reps. Adam Schiff (center), Katie Porter (left), and Barbara Lee. | Richard Vogel/AP

THE BUZZ: SKIPPING SPANISH — Democratic Reps. Adam Schiff, Katie Porter, Barbara Lee and Republican former baseball star Steve Garvey will take the stage again tonight, this time for a debate co-moderated by NBC4 and Telemundo 52.

It will be one of their best opportunities to speak to Latino Californians — a critical voting bloc that has so far seen little outreach in the race, particularly on the airwaves.

Latinos make up about 40 percent of California's population and 8.5 million of its eligible voters. By some estimates, Latinos represent one of out every four likely voters in California.

But candidates haven’t mounted pricey Spanish-language campaigns on broadcast — even as a recent poll found a sizable share of Latino voters hadn’t made up their minds.

Schiff, the frontrunner, who has so far poured $23 million into advertising, spent $69,000 on a Spanish digital ad at the end of January, according to the AdImpact tracker. The ad touted how “Adam Schiff se enfrenta a las peleas difíciles.” (“Adam Schiff faces the tough fights.”) He’s also running targeted Spanish language ads on Facebook that feature Latino leaders, like Assemblymember Avelino Valencia. 

Porter this month spent more than $200,000 on a biographical Spanish-language TV ad, “Ya Basta” (“Enough already”), according to the ad tracker, in which she tells her story of growing up on a farm and promises to tackle high housing and pharmaceutical costs.

Not all Latino voters speak Spanish, but the in-language advertising tends to speak directly to a group of voters and can help people identify with a candidate.

"This is a huge missed opportunity for any of the Senate candidates, including Schiff,” said Roger Salazar, a longtime California Democratic consultant who has run multiple statewide campaigns. “And especially with the resources that [Schiff] has, it just boggles my mind that they wouldn't spend more on Latino outreach."

Latinos have historically had lower turnout rates than other ethnic groups, though some data indicates that’s changing — with Latino voter turnout expected to increase by more than 6 percent in California's general elections this year. But that still hasn’t prompted a robust outreach from the statewide campaigns.

"I haven't seen a whole lot," Arturo Vargas, CEO of NALEO educational fund, said of the candidates’ outreach. "To say that there is somebody out there who is really going above and beyond to reach out to the Latino vote — that I really don't see."

Porter’s campaign noted she was the first candidate to have a Spanish language option on her website (Lee and Schiff also now have the option), and that she has outperformed her competitors on polling with Latino voters. Garvey’s team said it publishes both English and Spanish versions of his social media posts (he has 8,400 followers on X) and pointed out that the Los Angeles Dodgers have a significant Latino following.

Lee’s campaign, which has lagged behind others in fundraising, said Latino outreach is at the heart of her operation, noting that it has a dedicated press specialist to communicate with Latino and other ethnic media outlets, Latino organizers who are driving outreach within the community, and a targeted phone outreach program.

Schiff’s campaign said it is doing a seven-figure outreach to Latino voters in Spanish and English, which includes targeted ads in Univision, Telemundo, and La Opinión. The campaign also said it is focusing on streaming and digital platforms, noting that many Latinos, especially younger voters, are moving away from traditional television. Schiff has been endorsed by CHIRLA, the Coalition for Humane Immigrant Rights, and La Opinión.

The three Democrats over the weekend also participated in a forum with Univision, where they spoke about immigration, housing and a path to citizenship.

Yet, no candidate has managed to win over a large portion of the Latino electorate. A California Elections and Policy Poll, conducted late last month by researchers at the University of Southern California, showed Porter with the highest support among Latinos, 19 percent, followed by Garvey at 16 percent, Schiff at 14 percent and Lee at 6 percent.

The largest segment, 31 percent, said they were undecided.

"If you keep excluding the Hispanic community from these conversations, I think it's unfair and it does a disservice to the electorate,” Salazar said. “And frankly, it's a bad political strategy."

GOOD MORNING. Happy Tuesday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

Now you can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts now. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte.

WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced. He is expected to be in Washington, D.C. for most of the week.

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CAMPAIGN YEAR

President Joe Biden walks toward members of the media as he arrives at the White House in Washington, Monday, Feb. 19, 2024, after returning from Rehoboth Beach, Del. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

President Joe Biden. | AP

WHITE HOUSE GOES WEST — President Joe Biden is visiting California this week for a fundraising swing through Los Angeles and the Bay Area. Following the president on his journey west is MAGA Inc.

Since Friday, the pro-Trump super PAC has been targeting digital ads directly at one of the president’s billionaire fundraisers, Haim Saban — an Israeli-American media mogul and longtime Democratic donor who is hosting Biden at his home tonight in Los Angeles.

The ads accuse the White House of hosting a “Hamas activist” and legitimizing a “terrorist sympathizer.” Several administration officials recently visited with Muslim leaders in Michigan, including controversial activist Osama Siblani. 

Saban’s palatial home is a frequent stop on the LA fundraising circuit and one Biden has made a few times in recent years. Tomorrow he’ll be in San Francisco with Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi and on Thursday will be in Silicon Valley.

WHAT THE FUTURE HOLDS — Sen. Laphonza Butler told MSNBC's Jen Psaki over the weekend that she's keeping an open mind about running for political office after her Senate appointment ends. "Never say never. It is not a door that I have closed," Butler said. "It was never one that I thought would be opened for me. So now that it is open, I think I have a responsibility to leave it open."

 

CALIFORNIA CLIMATE: Climate change isn’t just about the weather. It's also about how we do business and create new policies, especially in California. So, we have something cool for you: our California Climate newsletter. It's not just climate or science chat, it's your daily cheat sheet to understanding how the legislative landscape around climate change is shaking up industries across the Golden State. Cut through the jargon and get the latest developments in California as lawmakers and industry leaders adapt to the changing climate. Subscribe now.

 
 
NEWSOMLAND

FILE - California Gov. Gavin Newsom gives an update on the state's initiative to provide housing for homeless Californians to help stem the coronavirus, during a visit to a Motel 6 participating in the program in Pittsburg, Calif., June 30, 2020. California cities and counties still don't know how much they'll have to pay for Newsom's pandemic program to house homeless people in hotel rooms after the Federal Emergency Management   Agency said in October 2023 that it was limiting the number of days eligible for reimbursement. (AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli, Pool)

California Gov. Gavin Newsom. | AP

STANDING BY HIS MAN — Gov. Gavin Newsom says he hasn’t read the special counsel’s report that raised deep concerns about President Biden’s memory. The governor, one of Biden’s top campaign surrogates, on Friday brushed off critics who've questioned if the president is too old to serve another term, even as some Democratic candidates have opened that door.

“I haven’t read the special counsel’s report,” Newsom said at an unrelated press conference in Oakland. “I know the president’s reaction to it — it’s been quite pointed and vocal,” he said alluding to Biden’s angry rebuke of the special counsel.

Highlights from Newsom’s presser:

On Biden’s record and age concerns: “I’m a little old fashioned: I care about results. I care about governing. I care about people that deliver. I care about people’s record. What President Biden has accomplished in just three years is the most significant list of accomplishments in my lifetime, and I don’t say that lightly.”

On efforts to roll back Proposition 47: While Newsom said he supports reforms to strengthen serial retail-theft laws, he pushed back on calls to change Prop 47, a 2014 ballot measure that reduced certain drug and property crimes to misdemeanors. “As it relates to the issue of thresholds, California has the tenth toughest felony thresholds in the United States of America … two times tougher than states like Texas.”

 

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UNDER THE DOME

Tina McKinnor, center, smiles as she receives applause from Assembly members after she was sworn-in to the California Assembly in Sacramento, Calif., Monday, June 20, 2022. McKinnor, a Democrat, won a special election on June 7, 2022 for the 62nd Assembly District that was vacated by Democrat Autumn Burke, in February. (AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli)

Assemblymember Tina McKinnor, center, was sworn-into office in 2022. | AP

UNION TOWN — Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas introduced a new bill last week to tweak the Legislature Employer-Employee Relations Act, the years-long effort to allow legislative staff to organize that Newsom signed into law last October.

The law, which was championed by Assemblymember Tina McKinnor, already outlines several issues that aren’t subject to collective bargaining, like the qualifications and elections of members. Assembly Bill 2798 would add another off-limits issue, specifying that staffers can’t bargain on the “design, construction, and location of legislative facilities.”

Cynthia Moreno, press secretary for the speaker, said it is the Legislature’s responsibility to prepare for a successful implementation of the law, which is scheduled for July 2026.

“As leader of the Assembly, the Speaker feels it is his responsibility to oversee this,” Moreno said in a statement. “He has spoken with Assemblymember McKinnor, and she supports the Speaker's approach."

 

Don’t sleep on it. Get breaking New York policy from POLITICO Pro—the platform that never sleeps—and use our Legislative Tracker to see what’s on the Albany agenda. Learn more.

 
 
TOP TALKERS

— Despite accusing Schiff of boosting Garvey to help himself, Porter is now doing the same thing with her digital ads promoting Republican Eric Early. (Los Angeles Times)

— Abortion rights activists are struggling to raise money to support ballot measure campaigns that would enshrine reproductive rights in a host of states. (POLITICO)

— Investors who fled San Francisco during the pandemic are coming back due to the boom in artificial intelligence and the city’s talented labor pool. (The Wall Street Journal)

PLAYBOOKERS

SPOTTED: ADAM & EVE — Schiff and his wife, Eve Schiff, celebrated their 29th wedding anniversary on Monday. He tweeted that the couple celebrated over dinner at Castaway, an upscale steakhouse in the Burbank hills. Mazel tov! Pic here

BIRTHDAYS — (was Monday): Michael MacLaverty … (was Sunday): Rep. Jared Huffman (D-Calif.) (6-0) … FT’s Janan Ganesh … (was Saturday): Michael Bay Will Hayworth

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CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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