Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Can Andy Barr unite the GOP?

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POLITICO Morning Money

By Zachary Warmbrodt

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QUICK FIX

If Republicans win control of Washington, Rep. Andy Barr wants to play a lead role in helping resolve one of the party’s biggest challenges: The growing clash between free marketeers and economic populists.

It’s the crux of his new pitch to be the top Republican on House Financial Services, which under Chair Patrick McHenry has largely been an oasis of predictability and Wall Street-friendly conservatism. It’s where the finance industry’s favorite “adults in the room” have been free to do their thing amid paralyzing Republican meltdowns, market-rattling brinksmanship and the party’s continuing drift away from the demands of big business.

Barr gets that the rift can’t be ignored. It's poised to be a big source of policy tension if Republicans led by Donald Trump take back the White House and Congress. Pitching himself as a unifier may also be a winning political strategy as Barr faces off with potential contenders including Reps. French Hill, Bill Huizenga and Frank Lucas.

“We can’t put our head in the sand and deny it exists,” he said in an interview with Eleanor Mueller. “It’s there. We need to have leaders in our party that recognize the tension, acknowledge it and use it as an opportunity, not as a liability, and recognize that there’s a lot of common ground between these two wings.”

The Kentucky lawmaker no doubt leans more traditional Republican, but he’s dabbled a bit in the other camp.

He’s a go-to member when the banking industry has concerns, including speaking out against a credit card fee crackdown backed by Republicans like Sens. J.D. Vance and Josh Hawley. He’s also carrying the torch for free trade as he works with McHenry to narrow China investment restrictions gaining traction in the House. (“The populists have some impulses that are well-intentioned but are wrong,” Barr said.)

Barr has embraced some of the party’s new friction with Wall Street. He’s played a big role in the growing House Republican antagonism toward giant money managers over their climate agendas. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink was in Barr’s office last week amid news that the company decided to scale back its role in a climate-focused coalition of investors.

“That is a huge victory for our committee,” Barr said. “Depoliticizing finance will remain a major priority.”

Barr is clear in his description of the two sides he wants to bridge: “The incumbent, legacy, pro-Wall Street, pro-free market, pro-free trade wing" and the "ascendant America First, populist wing.” Barr, who's endorsed Trump in his presidential campaign, argues there's a way the committee can promote "free-market capitalism as America First." (One contrast to watch: MM reported earlier this month that a PAC aligned with Hill, an unannounced but expected contender against Barr, gave money to Nikki Haley in September. Hill, an ally of former speaker Kevin McCarthy, also voted “present” in conference when Republicans nominated Mike Johnson to lead the House.)

Regardless of whether the sides can be united, making inroads with both camps is critical to Barr getting the job, given the leanings of the House GOP.

“I’m making that pitch to everybody I can talk to and to leadership,” Barr said of his pitch to find common ground. “That’s getting a really, really strong reception. Everybody thinks that we need that.”

Read more about Barr’s vision, including what he'd do if Democrats retake the House, in Eleanor’s exclusive interview. Barr is also pitching himself as a successful fundraiser, which you can read more about here.

Happy Tuesday — How are you gaming out the GOP leadership race at House Financial Services? Send tips to zwarmbrodt@politico.com.

 

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Driving the Week

Tuesday … Montana Gov. Greg Gianforte discusses affordable housing at the Bipartisan Policy Center at 11 a.m. …

Wednesday … Fed Governor Michelle Bowman speaks at the Exchequer Club lunch at 1 p.m. … FOMC minutes from January are out at 2 p.m. …

Thursday Kathy Hochul, Brian Kemp, Jared Polis and Kevin Stitt will be among the speakers at POLITICO’s 2024 Governors Summit in Washington … Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson discusses the economy and monetary policy at the Peterson Institute at 10 a.m. … NAR releases existing home sales data for January at 10 a.m. … House Financial Services has a New York field hearing on housing policy at 10 a.m. … Fed Governor Lisa Cook talks about “sources of uncertainty" at Princeton University at 5 p.m. … Fed Governor Christopher Waller gives a speech on the economy at the University of St. Thomas at 7:35 p.m.

Driving the day

What’s Washington’s appetite for bank M&A? WSJ reports that Capital One plans to buy Discover Financial for more than $35 billion, in a deal that would combine two of the biggest U.S. credit card companies.

The merger would give Capital One “a network that would vastly increase its power in the payments ecosystem,” according to the Journal. Discover is one of the few competitors that the larger Visa and Mastercard have in the U.S. and is one of a small number of card issuers that also has a payments network. Capital One uses Visa and Mastercard for most of its cards and plans to switch at least some to Discover’s network.

Will it get done? "Our sense is that this potential deal could ultimately secure regulatory approval," BTIG director of policy research Isaac Boltansky wrote to clients. "But it would face gale-force headwinds from a Washington that is deeply skeptical of consolidation, anxious regarding consumer-facing issues in an election year, and reticent regarding shifts in the payments ecosystem."

The National Community Reinvestment Coalition said it opposes the merger. NCRC president and CEO Jesse Van Tol slammed Capital One’s record in previous deals and said the takeover would pose “massive” antitrust concerns because of the vertical integration between Cap One’s credit card lending and Discover’s card network.

What does it mean for Sen. Dick Durbin and Roger Marshall’s bill to crack down on credit card fees? TD Cowen’s Jaret Seiberg told clients that it’s difficult to see how Congress could advance credit card interchange legislation while the deal is pending because of the uncertainty around Discover becoming a stronger rival to Visa and Mastercard.

In other M&A news, the FT reports that S&P Global is nearing a deal to buy research platform Visible Alpha from a group of investment banks including Goldman Sachs, Jefferies and UBS. Truist is in talks to sell a majority stake in its insurance brokerage, per Bloomberg.

Rohit Chopra in Brussels — The CFPB director is meeting this week with EU Commissioners Didier Reynders and Mairead McGuinness as well as EU Commission Executive Vice President Margrethe Vestager. He plans to discuss U.S. open banking efforts, trans-Atlantic coordination on Big Tech and financial services, AI and consumer privacy. He’s also slated to meet with EU consumer groups.

Economy

Biden’s chips challenge The NYT reports that several chip makers are running into obstacles with their U.S. expansion plans as the Biden administration begins doling out billions of dollars aimed at bolstering domestic production.

The administration announced Monday that it will give $1.5 billion to help build a new chip factory in New York, the Washington Post reports.

Treasury’s message to China — Per the FT, U.S. officials are warning that Washington and its allies will respond if China tries to ease its industrial overcapacity by dumping goods on international markets.

 

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Regulatory Corner

SEC climate rule coming soon? Declan Harty reports that the SEC is expected to vote in the coming weeks to finalize its long-awaited climate-risk disclosure rule. Draft copies of the final rule have begun to circulate among the SEC's five commissioners. The SEC proposed the policy nearly two years ago, and since then industry groups have been gearing up to sue over the planned regulation.

On a related note, our friends at E&E News have a look at the scramble by Biden agencies to finish environmental rules and ensure they can’t be easily erased by Republicans next year.

The credit union agenda Brookings has a new breakdown on what NCUA Chair Todd Harper has in store for credit union oversight, including plans to require credit unions to disclose the overdraft fees they collect.

Insurers to Treasury: Stand down on climate ask The National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies is calling on the Treasury Department’s Federal Insurance Office to abandon its plans to collect data from insurers on climate-related financial risks and to instead defer to state authorities.

Japan’s crypto move Per Bloomberg, Japan is closer to letting venture capital firms and other investment funds hold digital assets, after Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s administration agreed to submit a new bill to implement the policy.

 

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