Wednesday, May 24, 2023

👂The Latest Crisis You Aren’t Hearing About

Good morning. Droughts are nothing new. However, low water levels are now placing a number of...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Droughts are nothing new. However, low water levels are now placing a number of areas at risk. That includes a significant impact on global trade, not just local water shortages.

While headline droughts in California are nothing new, historically-low levels in reservoirs along the Colorado River are leading to voluntary restrictions on water use in Western states. Without more rain, they may soon be mandatory.

Further south, a drought is leading to low levels at Lake Gatun, in the Panama Canal, are now leading to a 44 foot draft restriction. If low water levels continue, global shopping may lose a key link and worsen supply chains for months to come yet again.

Those in areas impacted by drought should look at ways to lower their water use permanently. And those who buy goods shipped via the Panama Canal may want to build some excess inventory to deal with a potential delay. And investors in shipping stocks may find prices whipsawing as this key trade route starts to shut down.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 33,055.51 -0.69%
S&P 4,145.58 -1.12%
NASDAQ 12,560.58 -1.26%
*As of market close
Stocks closed lower on Tuesday, as there remains no outcome to the debt ceiling crisis.
Oil rose 1.4 percent, closing at $73.09 per barrel.
Gold traded flat, ending the day at $1,977 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies slightly rose, with Bitcoin at $27,194 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Back Companies Making Big Investments Now
It's easy to say that there's a lot of market uncertainty right now. But no matter what happens, there will always be uncertainty. And investors who wait for a clearer picture on how things develop don't get great prices when buying assets.

That's why value investors start to buy during market panics, even if it's not near the bottom. Today, investors can find companies that are making big investments now, even amid all the uncertainties facing markets today.

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Insider Trading Report: Saul Centers Inc (BFS)
Francis Saul, CEO and major holder at Saul Centers Inc (BFS), recently added 750 shares. The buy increased his stake by less than 1 percent, and came to a total cost of $26,384.

The buy came less than two weeks after the CEO bought 10,000 shares, at a cost just under $334,000. And the company President and COO also picked up 3,500 shares at a cost of $115,500 earlier this month.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
Casino operator Las Vegas Sands (LVS) has had a great year, with shares up over 80 percent. One trader is betting the good times will continue to roll.

That's based on the September $45 calls. With 114 days until expiration, 76,065 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 363, for a staggering 210-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $16.15.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Debt Ceiling Debates Continue

With some measures suggesting that the U.S. government could run out of money as soon as June 1, President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy are still debating a debt ceiling deal. While the talks have turned optimistic, there remain sticking points over mandatory spending caps.
OpenAI Leaders Propose Regulatory Body for AI Issues

Leadership at OpenAI have called for the creation of a global regulatory body for AI issues, given the rapid growth of AI technology and the potential dangers it may pose. OpenAI members suggest that existing authorities may not be able to adequately rein in the technology in existing regulatory paperwork.
Western States to Trim Water Use

The federal government has requested that states dependent on water from the Colorado River cut their use, as reservoirs at Lake Mead and Lake Powell have dropped to critical levels. The Colorado is the primary source of water for western states including Nevada, Arizona, and California, among others.
JPMorgan Chase Sees Higher Interest Income Following First Republic Deal

Megabank JPMorgan Chase (JPM) expects to see the potential for higher interest income off of its deposit base this year, thanks to the bank's acquisition of First Republic. The deal came with government assurances regarding the quality of loans and deposits that were transferred to JPMorgan.
Disney Starts Third Round of Layoffs

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is starting a third round of layoffs. Over 2,500 staffers are expected to be cut amid the latest move. This is expected to be the last round of cuts at the company for now, following layoffs in March and April. The cuts are expected to help the company save $5.5 billion in costs this year.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
MRNA 8.687%
ALB 4.634%
ZION 4.628%
AIG 3.354%
TSN 3.113%
BOTTOM
ZM 8.066%
LVS 6.354%
UHS 6.145%
ALGN 6.077%
WYNN 6.023%

Quote of the Day
Sentiment, positioning and cash levels suggest underexposed investors who are braced for Armageddon. If their greatest fears do not materialize or get pushed deeper into the future, this would increase the risk for catch-up rally phase.
- Stephen Suttmeier, technical research analyst at Bank of America, on how markets could rally higher as fears over the debt ceiling end, given the relatively high level allocated to cash right now.

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