| | | | By Ryan Lizza and Eugene Daniels | | With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross
| Thirty House Dems sent President Biden a letter endorsing direct diplomacy with Russia to end the war in Ukraine. But their use of the D word precipitated a torrent of criticism that had some of them backtracking within hours. | Alex Wong/Getty Images | | | | | DRIVING THE DAY | | HE'S BACK — JONATHAN MARTIN will join POLITICO as politics bureau chief and a senior political columnist Nov. 1, returning home after spending nearly a decade at the NYT and co-writing the bestseller "This Will Not Pass: Trump, Biden, and the Battle for America's Future" with fellow POLITICO returnee ALEX BURNS. Our executive editor Dafna Linzer writes this morning: "He is one of the great and original voices writing about politics today, and he has concluded POLITICO is the best home for that voice." "Reporting has always been at the heart of his journalism and will be in his new role at POLITICO," Dafna adds. On that note, Jmart beseeched Playbook to put out the word: His DMs are open — "for recordings, documents, tips and ideas — in that order." Full memo … Jmart's first byline in The Politico (Vol. 1, No. 2) ALMOST THERE — 14 days left until Election Day. … 8,213,556 early votes already cast as of 10:24 p.m. Monday, per the United States Elections Project . DIPLOMATIC BACKLASH — "For some of Ukraine's most ardent backers, even talking about diplomacy amounts to appeasement," GIDEON RACHMAN, the chief foreign affairs columnist for the Financial Times, noted last week . Thirty House Democrats led by Congressional Progressive Caucus chair PRAMILA JAYAPAL (D-Wash.) learned this lesson the hard way on Monday, after they sent President JOE BIDEN what they believed was a nuanced and carefully worded letter endorsing direct diplomacy with Russia to end the war in Ukraine . They condemned Russia's "outrageous and illegal invasion of Ukraine," reiterated their support for "a free and independent Ukraine," and they were clear that American "military and economic support" should continue. Unlike House GOP leader KEVIN McCARTHY, they did not hint at voting against future aid packages. But their use of the D word precipitated a torrent of criticism — mostly from fellow Democrats — that had some of them backtracking within hours. (In one notable example, former CPC co-chair MARK POCAN (D-Wis.) told a constituent the missive was written amid different circumstances in July, adding, "I have no idea why it went out now. Bad timing.") The letter's suggestion that Biden ought to "engage in direct talks with Russia" and pursue a new European security arrangement "acceptable for all parties" crossed into ideological territory that remains outside of the Washington foreign policy establishment's Overton window. The reaction was swift. — "VLADIMIR PUTIN would have signed that letter if asked," one member of the House Democratic leadership told Playbook, "That bone-headed letter just put Dems in the same league as Kevin McCarthy, who said in the same week that Ukraine funding could be in jeopardy." — Sen. CHRIS MURPHY (D-Conn.) cited "moral and strategic peril in sitting down with Putin too early." Writing on Twitter , he said, "Sometimes, a bully must be shown the limits of his power before diplomacy can work." — Rep. RUBEN GALLEGO (D-Ariz.), a member of the CPC who did not sign the letter, told Playbook it isn't America's role to force talks: "It's up to the Ukrainians to determine their destiny, and the best way to do that is to support Ukraine in their fight for freedom, their fight for democracy." Jayapal later issued a second statement "clarifying the position of the letter." But rather than clarify, it reversed the heart of the letter's demands. "Diplomacy is an important tool that can save lives — but it is just one tool," she said. "As we also made explicitly clear in our letter and will continue to make clear, we support President Biden and his administration's commitment to nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine." While "nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine" has become a mantra for the Biden administration, the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft's GEORGE BEEBE, who endorsed the Jayapal letter, and Council on Foreign Relations president RICHARD HAAS, who did not, both made clear in The Washington Post this morning that it's a bit of a fiction. — "Simply saying it's up to Ukraine to decide is abdicating the responsibility America's leaders have" to preserve global security, Beebe said, while Haas noted "the United States cannot subcontract out its foreign policy to Ukraine or anybody else." Given the risks of nuclear escalation, Rachman noted in his FT column that the lack of diplomacy was "both striking and worrying." But Monday's episode makes it clear that Washington is barely ready to talk about diplomacy, let alone pursue it. On the other hand, the door has been opened: Biden is dealing with splits at home on both the right and left as Europe heads into a winter that will severely test the unity of the Western coalition against Putin. The D word will be back. TOP TRUMP AIDE TAKES THE FIFTH — In an update on the DONALD TRUMP document investigation, NYT's Michael Schmidt, Maggie Haberman and Alan Feuer report several new details: — Prosecutors are trying to squeeze WALT NAUTA, aka Trump's Diet Coke valet : "Prosecutors have indicated they are skeptical of an initial account Mr. Nauta gave investigators about moving documents stored at Mar-a-Lago and are using the specter of charges against him for misleading investigators to persuade him to sit again for questioning." — KASH PATEL took the Fifth: "Mr. Patel publicly proclaimed that the former president had declassified the records before leaving office. But Mr. Patel refused to answer many questions this month before a grand jury in Washington hearing evidence about Mr. Trump's handling of the documents, citing his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination, according to a person briefed on the matter. "In response, prosecutors asked a top federal judge in Washington to force Mr. Patel to testify — a move fought by Mr. Patel's lawyers, who are concerned the government wants to use Mr. Patel's own statements to incriminate him."
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See how Meta is helping build the metaverse. | | Good Tuesday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line with your first assignment for Jmart: Rachael Bade , Eugene Daniels , Ryan Lizza . FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — As the Saudi-financed LIV Golf tour holds its season finale this weekend at Trump National Doral Golf Club in Miami, 9/11 Justice is gearing up to attack the tour for its ties to the autocratic regime. The group will be running this new ad , "Follow the Money," starting today on Fox News, CNN, MSNBC and ESPN that highlights the kingdom's oppression of women, the murder of JAMAL KHASHOGGI, the Saudi origins of the 9/11 hijackers, and the country's recent moves to hike oil prices.
| | Arizona is one of the midterms' most heated battlegrounds, with closely contested races for U.S. senator, governor and secretary of state, among others, set to be decided Nov. 8. So why is the Arizona Republican Party on track to coast through Election Day with roughly $1 million left unspent in its campaign account? Our colleague Alex Isenstadt reports that former President DONALD TRUMP is among those who have taken notice. He dialed up Arizona GOP Chair KELLI WARD on Monday to push her to unload the unspent funds on candidates he's endorsed in the state over the next two weeks. In a contentious, roughly five-minute phone call, Ward defended not disbursing the cash that remains in the party's campaign account. But Trump pushed back, calling her explanation a "bullshit excuse," according to three people familiar with the discussion. Trump reached out to Ward while meeting with top political advisers, who informed him about the state of the Arizona GOP's coffers. During the call, Trump asked Ward why she hadn't yet invested the funds, and he expressed particular concern about whether MARK FINCHEM — a far-right candidate for secretary of state — was getting enough funding. Ward's refusal to spend to the bottom of her organization's coffers has baffled top Republicans, and it remains unclear to those outside the state party leadership why exactly she is hoarding the funds. Ward — who has otherwise been overwhelmingly loyal to Trump in recent years — declined to address those reasons in a statement to Alex, saying, "President Trump wants all of our Arizona America First candidates to win. And so do I!" BIG PICTURE FAMILIAR STORY — Democrats are worrying that weak Black voter turnout could doom them across the country next month, Holly Otterbein and Elena Schneider report from Philadelphia this morning. They're especially worried about young Black voters and Black men not being enthusiastic about heading to the polls. "At the same time, for many Democrats, fearing a drop in Black turnout is a cyclical tradition that often doesn't come to pass." BUT, BUT, BUT — A week into Georgia's early voting period, the electorate so far is older and Blacker than usual, per Georgia Public Broadcasting's Stephen Fowler . Overall turnout is 60% higher than in 2018. DEMOCRACY WATCH — "Elections weren't in a healthy state pre-2020. Now, we're pushing them to the brink," by The Boston Globe's Tal Kopan: "Unlike after 2000, there is little chance now of both parties agreeing on major reforms — or on much of anything. The American democratic system — which relies entirely on the competency and tirelessness of thousands of local election officials — is facing a test it may not pass." KEYS TO THE KEYSTONE — Former President BARACK OBAMA and Biden will hit the Philly and Pittsburgh areas on Nov. 5 to bolster Democrats JOHN FETTERMAN and JOSH SHAPIRO in key Pennsylvania races, Axios' Hans Nichols reports . BATTLE FOR THE SENATE CLARK COUNTY DISPATCH — Reporting from Las Vegas, Time's Molly Ball finds Democratic Sen. CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO "smart and diligent but pathologically cautious and lacking personal warmth," fielding skepticism from undocumented immigrants frustrated with the party's failure to protect Dreamers for good. The culinary union is trying to fill some of the Democratic void, with plans to knock on 1.1 million doors, but Republicans are making inroads with working-class Hispanics on economic and social issues. MUCK READ — Sen. RON JOHNSON's (R-Wis.) trust fund for his adult children has paid no state taxes since 2015, WKOW-TV's A.J. Bayatpour reports . For several years before that, the fund paid hundreds of thousands of dollars annually, but beginning in 2016 it benefited from a state tax credit. There's nothing illegal about that — and Johnson has long supported low taxes for everyone — but Democrats are calling the break "another sign of a system skewed toward the wealthy." BIG TEST FOR THE LEFT — Fetterman and MANDELA BARNES could herald breakthrough wins for progressives (even if they now eschew the label) in swing Senate races — or strengthen moderates' case that the left doesn't play well in tough seats, NBC's Alex Seitz-Wald, Jonathan Allen and Natasha Korecki report . "[L]iberals are excited about the possibility of proving the doubters in their own party wrong — and already dreading about what they might say if their candidates lose." FOR YOUR RADAR — Sen. MARCO RUBIO (R-Fla.) denounced an attack on a Republican canvasser in Hialeah as politically motivated. But it's not clear if that was the case: Police said there was no indication so far of politics playing a role in the alleged assault, per the Miami Herald . The victim, CHRISTOPHER MONZON, was wearing a Rubio shirt; the Miami New Times reports that he's an alleged former white supremacist who was reported to have marched in Charlottesville. HAPPENING TODAY — "Fetterman and Oz Meet in Only Debate in Pivotal Pennsylvania U.S. Senate Race," Bloomberg BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE CRIME PAYS — In the final weeks of the campaign, crime is front and center in ads from both parties — from violence to gun control to police funding, Sarah Ferris reports . It's a bleak rhetorical landscape that taps into voter fears — and it's not just about "defund the police." GOP ads highlight bail reform, rising violent crime rates and more. Dems, meanwhile, are highlighting gun reforms and seeking to shore up their law-and-order cred. HOW PELOSI SEES IT — With her grip on the speakership endangered, NANCY PELOSI is full steam ahead and "in constant campaign mode, regularly holding Zoom calls with candidates and briefings for thousands of volunteers," NYT's Carl Hulse reports from Downers Grove, Ill. Racing around the country to prop up her candidates, Pelosi says she can't imagine Republicans winning, and she won't entertain thoughts of hanging it up. "For Ms. Pelosi, the frenzied journey to Nov. 8 is not a last hurrah — it's just her latest sprint to the finish." TRIAGE TIME — The DCCC seems to be mostly bailing on Rep. TOM MALINOWSKI (D-N.J.), the New Jersey Globe's David Wildstein reports . Officially, the group says they're still committed to him.
| | A message from Meta: | | BATTLE FOR THE STATES UP FOR DEBATE — Florida Gov. RON DeSANTIS faced off with Rep. CHARLIE CRIST in their only debate Monday, attacking each other in personal terms and disagreeing on everything from the pandemic to property insurance. Pressed by Crist on his 2024 presidential ambitions, DeSantis notably declined to commit to serving a full term if reelected. DeSantis dodged on an abortion question but played up his legislation restricting classroom instruction on gender and sexuality; Crist, meanwhile, said he was more pro-business than the incumbent. More from the Orlando Sentinel NYT's Patricia Mazzei : "The pressure was on Crist to try to sharply change the dynamics in the race. I don't think he did, though he gave a polished performance. DeSantis did, too, though he will most likely face criticism … of appearing a little uncomfortable at times." THE CLOSER — Obama is backing WES MOORE's Maryland Democratic gubernatorial campaign with a new 30-second spot . HOT POLLS — New Mexico: Upset watch: GOP challenger MARK RONCHETTI is beating Democratic Gov. MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM 47% to 46%, per Trafalgar . — New Hampshire: Don't write off DON BOLDUC yet: Emerson/WHDH-TV have the Republican trailing Democratic Sen. MAGGIE HASSAN just 48% to 45%. Her lead is even smaller in a survey from American Greatness/Insider Advantage : 47.6% to 47.1%. — Alaska: The latest Alaska Survey Research poll finds Democratic Rep. MARY PELTOLA winning in the second round of ranked-choice voting, even before either of her two GOP opponents are knocked out. It also has Murkowski triumphing over fellow Republican Tshibaka 55.5% to 44.5%. — Minnesota: In a House district that narrowly stayed Republican in a special election this year, Rep. BRAD FINSTAD is beating Democrat JEFF ETTINGER 46% to 37%, per KSTP-TV/SurveyUSA . — Washington: Democratic Sen. PATTY MURRAY is leading TIFFANY SMILEY 48% to 42%, per a new GOP poll from KAConsulting/Citizens United. HOT ADS — Georgia: Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America's affiliated PAC is putting $1 million behind ads that hit Democratic Sen. RAPHAEL WARNOCK and STACEY ABRAMS for being too extreme on abortion — trying to flip the script on an issue where Republicans have been on the defensive, per The Washington Times' Valerie Richardson .
| BIDEN'S TUESDAY:
— 10:15 a.m.: The president will receive the President's Daily Brief.
— 2:05 p.m.: Biden will get his new coronavirus vaccine booster shot and speak about the pandemic from the South Court Auditorium.
Press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE will brief at 2:45 p.m.
VP KAMALA HARRIS' TUESDAY (all times Eastern):
— 9:45 a.m.: The VP will leave D.C. for Albuquerque, N.M.
— 2:45 p.m.: Harris will speak at a finance event at a private residence with Gov. MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM.
— 4:30 p.m.: Harris will have a conversation on reproductive rights with Grisham and EVE ESPEY at the University of New Mexico.
— 5:50 p.m.: Harris will leave Albuquerque for Seattle, where she'll stay overnight.
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| President Joe Biden and first lady Jill Biden participate in a tree planting ceremony dedicated to Dale Haney, the White House grounds superintendent, on Monday, Oct. 24. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images | | | PLAYBOOK READS | | THE WHITE HOUSE RAISING THE ROOF — The White House is starting to talk with Senate offices about trying to raise the debt ceiling during the lame duck, for fear that House Republicans in the majority next year might throw a wrench in the works, Axios' Hans Nichols reports . Democrats would probably need 10 Senate Republicans to join them; Sen. SUSAN COLLINS (R-Maine) is supportive. But "[t]he White House disputes that any such conversation with congressional leaders has taken place." CONGRESS TOP-ED — "The Wreckage of Neoliberalism," by Sen. Chris Murphy in The Atlantic : "The postwar neoliberal economic project is nearing its end. The question is who will write the last chapter, the Democrats or the totalitarians?" ANNALS OF INFLUENCE — As Congress weighed a bill this year to codify same-sex and interracial marriage rights, top corporations pushed the Hill to vote yes, Hailey Fuchs reports . Altria, Dell, General Mills, Toyota and the trade association for Big Tech were among those lobbying in support of the legislation. NO SASSING SASSE — The University of Florida said it will enforce a long-standing rule that prohibits protests inside buildings on campus, as student outcry continues over the selection of Sen. BEN SASSE (R-Neb.) as the next university president. More from WCJB-TV JUDICIARY SQUARE SCOTUS WATCH — As SAMUEL ALITO sought a Supreme Court seat, he told Sen. TED KENNEDY that he considered Roe v. Wade 's ruling on a right to privacy "settled" and would adhere to precedents in the matter, John Farrell reports in the NYT . The comments — which Alito, of course, did not stick to — are revealed in heretofore private portions of Kennedy's diary being published in Farrell's "Ted Kennedy: A Life" ( $40 ), which comes out today. KNOWING EDWARD BLUM — The man who could finally topple race-based affirmative action in college admissions will have his seventh and eighth cases heard at the Supreme Court next week. WaPo's Robert Barnes goes to South Thomaston, Maine , to profile Blum, who's usually awake by 4:30 a.m., "scrolling the internet and looking for someone to sue." BARRACKS ROW — Taking the stand at his trial Monday, TOM BARRACK denied that he acted as a foreign agent of the United Arab Emirates. The head of Trump's 2016 inaugural committee also said he "unquestionably" regretted his support of the Trump campaign and administration and called Trump's tenure "disastrous" for his company. More from CBS
| | A message from Meta: | | AMERICA AND THE WORLD WITH FRIENDS LIKE THESE — Saudi Crown Prince MOHAMMED BIN SALMAN privately mocks Biden's mental abilities and says he likes Trump much better, WSJ's Stephen Kalin, Summer Said and Dion Nissenbaum report in a look at the cratering of U.S.-Saudi relations. The Saudis found Biden unengaged when he visited the kingdom this summer. And the two men's personal enmity has tanked broader ties between the putative allies. "The path ahead is likely to be rocky. At risk for Washington are counterterrorism operations, efforts to contain Iran and Israel's deeper integration into the region. For the Saudis, a breakdown with the U.S. would jeopardize its national security and ambitious economic reforms." SPY GAMES — The Justice Department laid out three criminal cases Monday against alleged Chinese espionage attempts. One entails an apparent effort to bribe a U.S. government employee for info on the Huawei investigation. (The feds say that person instead helped set up an FBI sting.) Others involve a scheme to get a Chinese-born U.S. national to return to China, and a push to get information from American academic institutions. But most of the people charged are overseas and haven't been arrested. More from Josh Gerstein and Kelly Hooper MEDIAWATCH THE MYSTERY CONTINUES — The Daily Beast's Lachlan Cartwright recasts a recent Rolling Stone article about an FBI raid on former ABC producer JAMES GORDON MEEK's home: The raid wasn't about his journalistic work, Cartwright finds. IN THE CLEAR — Though Newsmax has banished LARA LOGAN from its airwaves after she spouted QAnon blood libel conspiracy theories, host ERIC BOLLING, who brought her on, won't face repercussions, The Daily Beast's Justin Baragona and Diana Falzone report . That's despite the fact that "he himself pushed the racist 'Great Replacement' theory and touted Logan as a 'good friend of the show' and 'investigative journalist extraordinaire.'"
| | JOIN WOMEN RULE THURSDAY FOR A TALK WITH DEPARTING MEMBERS OF CONGRESS: A historic wave of retirements is hitting Congress, including several prominent Democratic women such as Illinois Rep. Cheri Bustos, House Democrats' former campaign chief. What is driving their departures? Join POLITICO on Oct. 27 for "The Exit Interview," a virtual event that will feature a conversation with departing members where they'll explain why they decided to leave office and what challenges face their parties ahead. REGISTER HERE . | | | | | PLAYBOOKERS | | Josh Gerstein made it onto the "Jeopardy!" board . (They must be saving Alex Ward for a Daily Double.) Muriel Bowser showed off her leaf blowing skills . Barack Obama appeared on The ManningCast . Mark Leibovich sits down with Carol Joynt at her Q&A Cafe lunchtime series at The George Town Club today at noon. George W. Bush parties sober . Chuck Schumer would like to teach you some Yiddish . SPOTTED: VA Secretary Denis McDonough jogging in athletic wear and earbuds on Monday near the VA headquarters. OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED at the White House Diwali reception on Monday evening in the East Room: VP Kamala Harris, Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-Ill.) and Ro Khanna (D-Calif.), Surgeon General Vivek Murthy, Sri Srinivasan, Jay Shah, Lilly Singh, Gautam Raghavan, Kal Penn, Rohan Oza, Rishab Sharma, Jay Shetty, Liza Koshy, Janina Gavankar, Poorna Jagannathan, Shoba Narayan, Nina Davuluri, Payal Kapadia, Tony Kanal, Aasif Mandvi, Aneesh Chopra, Maneesh Goyal, Deepica Mutyala, Sendhil Ramamurthy, Vinoda Basnayake and Bela Bajaria.
| President Joe Biden looks to VP Kamala Harris during a reception celebrating the Hindu religious festival Diwali at the White House. | Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images | — For the 10-year anniversary of TechWomen, Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced major program expansions that will include women in STEM from the Balkans. SPOTTED in the Ben Franklin room at State: Evan Ryan, Linda Moore, Liz Allen, Tammy Haddad, Scott Jacobs, Gina Abercrombie-Winstanley, Dorothy McAuliffe, Nicole Elkon, Sara Fischer, Jen Klein, Suzy George, Stacy White, Rena Bitter, Ria Strasser-Galvis, Ann Stock and Ethan Rosenzweig. — The U.N. Foundation hosted a lunch celebrating U.N. Day, the 77th birthday of the organization, at the U.S. Institute of Peace on Monday. U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Linda Thomas-Greenfield announced a $500,000 scholarship for U.S. student interns. SPOTTED: Ertharin Cousin, Henrietta Fore, Elizabeth Cousens, Peter Yeo, British Ambassador Karen Pierce, Kenyan Ambassador Lazarus Amayo, Cambodian Ambassador Keo Chhea, Haitian Ambassador Bocchit Edmond, Sudanese Ambassador Mohamed Idris, Jordanian Ambassador Dina Kawar, Danish Ambassador Christina Markus Lassen and Cypriot Ambassador Marios Lysiotis. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — David Chavern has been named president and CEO of the Consumer Brands Association. He currently is president and CEO of News Media Alliance. — Emily Horne has launched a new firm, Allegro Public Affairs, and is joining WestExec Advisors as a senior adviser. She previously was the first special assistant to the president, spokesperson and senior director for press at the NSC in the Biden administration. WHITE HOUSE ARRIVAL LOUNGE — Sabrina Bousbar has been detailed to the White House as associate director of strategic outreach in the Office of Political Strategy and Outreach. She most recently was an adviser in the office of the assistant HHS secretary for preparedness and response. STAFFING UP — Agatha Kotani is now senior legislative assistant with the Office of Congressional & Intergovernmental Affairs at the Labor Department. She most recently was economic policy adviser for Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-Del.). TRANSITIONS — Tony Fratto is joining Goldman Sachs as a partner and global head of corporate comms. He most recently was a partner at Penta Group (formerly Hamilton Place Strategies, of which he was a founder), and is a Bush Treasury Department and White House alum. … Rachel Baranowski is now program manager of Kharon's global engagement program. She previously was a program officer for the Women's Democracy Network at IRI. … ENGAGED — Matt Jackson, legislative assistant for Rep. Andy Barr (R-Ky.), and Madeline Gale, government relations coordinator at the International Franchise Association, got engaged Friday evening at the Lincoln Memorial. They met working in Barr's office in 2019. Pic … Another pic BIRTHWEEK (was Monday): Vox Media's Lauren Starke HAPPY BIRTHDAY: James Carville … Geoff Burr … Ed Barron … Phil McNamara … Penta Group's Bryan DeAngelis … Nate Hodson … CBS' Jan Crawford … POLITICO's Bill Kuchman and Nicole Rose ... Brian DeBose ... Democracy for America's Charles Chamberlain ... Patrick Butler of America's Public Television Stations ... Elizabeth Crisp … Chuck Conconi … Brigid Ueland of the American Financial Services Association … Kendall Heath … Ocean Conservancy's Samantha Tausendschoen … Trey Hodgkins … Bobbie Kilberg and daughter Cameron Kilberg … Activision's Joe Christinat … Gordon Johndroe … CRC Advisors' Mike Martin … Susie Gelman Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here. Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn't happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and producers Setota Hailemariam and Bethany Irvine. Correction: Monday's Playbook misspelled Texas Gov. Greg Abbott's name.
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