😰Why a Recession Looks Inevitable

Good morning. It takes two quarters of declining GDP to mark an official recession. With the...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. It takes two quarters of declining GDP to mark an official recession. With the first quarter of 2022 showing a surprise 1.3 percent drop, the quarter coming to an end this month could signal a recession. Some see a strong job market and consumer spending as a sign that we're not really in a recession. The bears will say that high gasoline and rising food prices are reducing overall spending, when adjusted for inflation. For now, with the need to slow the economy to get inflation under control, those bearish on the economy have an upper hand in the narrative right now. However, this recession should prove mild. Eliminating excess inflation is easier to bear than having high unemployment or having a total collapse in the housing market from overleverage. Either way, the mixed signs should point to traders looking for profits both up and down in the months ahead. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content Invest In The Robots Revolutionizing America's Favorite Food 94% of Americans eat pizza regularly. But as tech steps in to make it even more convenient and delicious, the pizza automation market could be swimming with investors in no time. Today's your chance to beat the crowd. Piestro could be the freshest, fastest solution to satisfy a $54 billion U.S. pizza appetite. The company's 40-square-foot robotic pizzeria can cook and serve an artisanal pie in under 3 minutes. They can squeeze into high-traffic areas like malls, stadiums, and office buildings. They can achieve more than 2x the profit margin of a traditional pizzeria. And their pies are good. Real good. That's why Piestro already has $580 million in pre-orders, and why you probably shouldn't sit this one out. Get shares in Piestro while the funding round is open. MARKETS DOW 32,272.79 -1.94% S&P 4,04417.82 -2.38% NASDAQ 11,754.23 -2.75% *As of market close • Stocks sank on Thursday, closing near lows of the day. • Oil dropped 0.8 percent, closing at $121.20 per barrel. • Gold dipped 0.4 percent, ending the day at $1,850 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies generally declined, with Bitcoin at $30,026 at the market close. Today's TOP TIPS Consumer Goods Still Deliver a Safe-Haven from Inflation's Bite Consumers may be cutting back on higher-priced goods right now as housing and fuel costs have been on the rise. But for some consumer goods, raising prices to contend with inflation hasn't been a problem. These consumer goods companies are thus able to maintain their profit margins, even as other companies are facing a squeeze thanks to the high rate of inflation right now. Such companies also provide investors with a safe-haven in the stock market, as growth names have fallen well out of favor. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Weyerhaeuser (WY) Albert Monaco, a director at Weyerhaeuser (WY), recently picked up 3,000 shares. The buy increased his stake by about 12 percent, and came to a total price of just over $115,000. This marks the first insider buy at the company in over a year. Company executives have been sizeable sellers of shares over the past year. Going further back, there's been a more even mix of insider buys by directors and sales from company executives. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: Comstock Resources (CRK) Shares of oil and gas exploration company Comstock Resources (CRK) have soared 256 percent in the past year. One trader is betting on a further rally higher for the energy company. That's based on the September $22 calls. With 98 days until expiration, 10,096 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 154, for a 66-fold jump in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $2.83 to get into the trade. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Mortgage Rates Resume Their Rise After two weeks of declines, mortgage rates have started to rise again. 30-year, fixed rate mortgages averaged 5.23 percent for the week, up from 5.09 percent the week before. One year ago, such rates were 2.96 percent. The rise has occurred amid the latest economic data, indicating that inflation rates still remain strong, even if they may now start to slow. • Jobless Claims Rise to Highest Level Since January Jobless claims rose to 229,000 for the week. That's higher than expectations for 210,000 created jobs. While a slight rise, and the highest level since January, the four-week average continues to be at its lowest level since 1970. The unemployment rate of 3.6 percent is near its lowest level since 1969. • ECB Prepares to Raise Interest Rates The European Central Bank is looking to start raising interest rates for Eurozone nations next month. The bank will also stop its bond purchasing program. The move comes as several Eurozone countries have reported high levels of inflation and soaring prices overall. • Chip Shortage Looks to Continue For nearly two years, a shortage of semiconductor chips has held up the production of a number of high-tech goods. That looks to continue, as some of the most cutting-edge chips continue to see production hitches and a shortage of equipment to meet demand. • Google Expands AI Service Alphabet (GOOG) is looking to expand the Vertex AI service under its Google Cloud division. The unified AI product is looking to create a new generation of AI that allows customers to expand their work. The newest features induce machine learning and training instruction. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP NXPI  4.84% POOL  2.645% FTNT 2.446% DG 2.077% TSCO 2.022% BOTTOM TCOM 9.345% MRNA 8.519% CCL 8.237% NCLH 8.043% MELI 8.012% Quote of the Day There's some chance that the upper boundaries of that range end up being a ceiling for rates, but that will depend on inflation and other incoming economic data. With a key inflation report set to release on Friday morning, the potential for volatility remains high. - Matthew Graham, chief operating officer at Mortgage News Daily, on why mortgage rates may have hit a short-term peak, although changes in rates, which impact housing sales and prices, may remain volatile for some time. Sponsored Content Invest In The Robots Revolutionizing America's Favorite Food 94% of Americans eat pizza regularly. But as tech steps in to make it even more convenient and delicious, the pizza automation market could be swimming with investors in no time. Today's your chance to beat the crowd. Piestro could be the freshest, fastest solution to satisfy a $54 billion U.S. pizza appetite. The company's 40-square-foot robotic pizzeria can cook and serve an artisanal pie in under 3 minutes. They can squeeze into high-traffic areas like malls, stadiums, and office buildings. They can achieve more than 2x the profit margin of a traditional pizzeria. And their pies are good. Real good. That's why Piestro already has $580 million in pre-orders, and why you probably shouldn't sit this one out. Get shares in Piestro while the funding round is open. Not sure the best way to get started? Follow these simple steps to hit the ground running. › Step #1 - Get These FREE Reports: Warren Buffett's Top 5 Stocks | 10 Great Stocks Under $10 | 7 High Yield Dividend Stocks › Step #2 - Join Our Premium Advisory: The Next Superstock › Step #3 - Claim Your Free Copy Of: Big Book Of Chart Patterns | How to Trade Weekly Options For Weekly Income We just wanted to take a moment and say thank you so much for being part of our family! We are dedicated to teaching people how to make the world a better place so we can all thrive, together. We love sharing stories and featuring past learners who have applied our teachings and changed their situations. It's our passion to build a strong community centered around fun and mindset! We love to discover extraordinary and useful tools and share them with the world! We create a space where people can discover how to enjoy their lives by simply choosing to learn. Every day we are building and strengthening partnerships with our customers and clients and we do so in the most ethical way possible. We particularly love working with artisans, makers, and small businesses because through their passion and their craft they help make the world a better place.. Without all of you we wouldn't be able to do what we do on a daily basis and for that we say thank you. We've been living our dream for many years now and that wouldn't be possible without every single one of you. The idea of going from a typical nine to five life to a life of freedom doesn't seem real to most people, but we want you to know it is definitely possible. We've done it. You have the power to control your life, your actions, and what you choose to focus on. We're here to help you along that journey to achieve whatever goals you set out for yourself. However, we also care about keeping you and your privacy safe. We are committed to advising you of the right to your privacy. We strive to provide a safe and secure user experience. Our Privacy Policy explains how we collect, store and use personal information, provided by you on our website. It also explains how we collect and use non-personal information. By accessing and using our website, you explicitly accept, without limitation or qualification, the collection, use and transfer of the personal information and non-personal information in the manner described in this Privacy Policy. Please read this Policy carefully, as it affects your rights and liabilities under the law. If you disagree with the way we collect and process personal and non-personal information, please do not use this website. This Policy applies to this website as well as all webpages Company hosts. It regulates the processing of information relating to you and grants both of us various rights with respect to your personal data. It also informs you of how to notify us to stop using your personal information. We are located in the United States of America. You may be located in a country that has laws which are more restrictive about the collection and use of your personal information. However, by using our website, you agree to waive the more restrictive laws and agree to be governed by the laws of the United States of America. If you wish to view our privacy policy, you can find it below. Nothing in this email should be considered personalized financial advice. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH and consult with a licensed investment professional before making an investment. This communication should not be used as a basis for making any investment. By reading this communication, you agree to the terms of this disclaimer, including, but not limited to: releasing The Company, its affiliates, assigns and successors from any and all liability, damages, and injury from the information contained in this communication. You further warrant that you are solely responsible for any financial outcome that may come from your investment decisions. As defined in the United States Securities Act of 1933 Section 27(a), as amended in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Section 21(e), statements in this communication which are not purely historical are forward-looking statements and include statements regarding beliefs, plans, intent, predictions or other statements of future tense. Investing is inherently risky. While a potential for rewards exists, by investing, you are putting yourself at risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in any type of security. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell securities. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this web site. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.

This email was sent to edwardlorilla1986.paxforex@blogger.com by editor@tradingtips.com TradingTips.com | 3435 Ocean Park Blvd. Suite 107-334 Santa Monica, CA 90405 Manage Subscriptions | report SPAM