Monday, May 10, 2021

🔑 The Key Way to Profit from a Stalled Job Market

Good morning. Economists were predicting a blowout jobs report for April, with 1 million new jobs.
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Economists were predicting a blowout jobs report for April, with 1 million new jobs. That might have even been the start of a multi-month trend of strong numbers. In the real world, however, only 266,000 jobs were created last month, leaving the unemployment rate stubbornly high at 6.1 percent.

Why the big miss? Most are now pointing to unemployment payments and human nature. With additional federal payments of $300 a week on top of state payouts, for those at lower-wage jobs, the value of unemployment has exceeded the value of working.

Montana and South Carolina already announced they were stopping the extra payments to entice the unemployed back into the workforce. Expect more states to announce a similar plan in the coming days. On the plus side, the stalled job market growth caused bond yields to drop and helped stocks jump higher on the news. That may continue for a few more months.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 34,777.43 +0.66%
S&P 4,232.51 +0.74%
NASDAQ 13,752.24 +0.88%
*As of market close
Stocks closed higher on Friday, on the back of worse-than-expected jobs data.
Oil traded flat, closing the week at $64.79 per barrel.
Gold rallied 1 percent, closing at $1,833 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies generally rose, with Bitcoin last at $57,806.

Today's TOP TIPS
This FinTech Giant Crushes Earnings and Revenue
Payment company Square (SQ) has been a big pandemic winner. Cashless transactions are on the rise, and the company's touchless technology has done a lot to avoid the physical exchange of cash, on top of its other features.

So it's no surprise that the company smashed its latest earnings report, bringing in $5.06 billion in revenue against expectations of $3.3 billion. The company even reported making $3.5 billion in Bitcoin transactions, up 10-fold from a year ago when it was just getting started.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Intel Corp (INTC)
Dion Weisler, a director at Intel Corp (INTC) recently picked up 4,464 shares. The total cost came to $250,000, and represents an initial stake for the director.

Like many big-name tech companies that issue shares to executives, there's been a lot of sales over the past few years. But Intel has seen a number of insider buys as well. This is the first insider buy since January, when the company CEO and CFO bought before shares provided a 27 percent gain.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Devon Energy Corp (DVN)
Oil and gas exploration company Devon Energy (DVN) has been in a strong uptrend the past few months as oil prices have trended higher. One trader sees a further rally in the months ahead.

That's based on the October $30 calls. Over 12,325 contracts recently traded against an open interest of 481, for a 26-fold rise in volume. Expiring in 158 days, and with shares near $25, it would take another 20 percent rally in shares for the option to move in-the-money.

» FULL STORY

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Job Growth Falls Well Below Estimates

Only 266,000 jobs were created in February, well below consensus estimates of 1 million. That's the slowest pace since January. The jobs reports also state a massive drop-off in part-time work compared to a year ago. And a full 29 percent of those jobless have been so for more than a year now.
Bill.com Makes $2.5 Billion Offer for Divvy

Payments company Bill.com (BILL) has made a $2.5 billion offer for Divvy. Divvy is a corporate spend management startup company. Divvy last raised money in January at a valuation of $1.6 billion, making the offer a substantial markup. The acquisition will come in a combination of cash and shares.
Dimon Calls Out Tax and Spending Programs

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon has raised concerns over the level of proposed government spending and taxes. His view is that throwing money around doesn't necessarily work to solve issues, and that government would be better off itemizing what it plans to spend on. He also called out plans to hike taxes as "a little crazy," and that higher taxes would hurt capital formation.
Holmes Looks to Hide Wealth Ahead of Trial

Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes is looking to hide the details of her lavish lifestyle ahead of her trial. She faces charges of wire fraud and conspiracy for the representations she made about the blood-testing technology at the company. The company collapsed in 2018 following a series of articles questioning the results of the company's product.
Bank of England Governor Warns on Cryptocurrencies

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that cryptocurrencies have no intrinsic value, and that those who invest in cryptocurrencies need to be prepared to lose all their money. He did note that they have extrinsic value—what other people will value it for—but that investing in cryptocurrencies still carries a risk. England is one of many countries whose central bank is considering creating a digital currency of its own.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
CNC 8.069%
EOG 7.95%
MCK 6.764%
BKR 6.762%
ALB 6.457%
BOTTOM
MNST 3.968%
LBTYA 1.772%
LBTYK 1.593%
MTD 1.541%
JKHY 1.477%

Quote of the Day
TThe disappointing jobs report makes it clear that paying people not to work is dampening what should be a stronger jobs market. We need a comprehensive approach to dealing with our workforce issues and the very real threat unfilled positions poses to our economic recovery from the pandemic. One step policymakers should take now is ending the $300 weekly supplemental unemployment benefit. Based on the Chamber's analysis, the $300 benefit results in approximately one in four recipients taking home more in unemployment than they earned working.
- US Chamber of Commerce Chief Policy Officer Neil Bradley, on the disastrous jobs report occurring thanks to extended unemployment benefits still being offered months after a Covid vaccine and economic reopenings across the country.

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And he's giving away the full details FREE.


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