Wednesday, January 13, 2021

☕️ Hurry up

The great vaccination race speeds up
January 13, 2021 View Online | Sign Up

Daily Brew

Fundrise

Good morning. Yesterday, Netflix dropped a slate of 71 movies for 2021—that's more than one per week. It's like they know we completely forgot how to socialize...

MARKETS

NASDAQ

13,072.43

+ 0.28%

S&P

3,801.19

+ 0.04%

DOW

31,068.69

+ 0.19%

GOLD

1,854.80

+ 0.22%

10-YR

1.134%

- 1.10 bps

OIL

53.29

+ 1.99%

*As of market close

  • Government: The House will hold an impeachment vote today to charge President Trump with inciting violence against the US. In his first public remarks since last Wednesday's attack on the Capitol, President Trump defended the speech he gave before the riot as "totally appropriate." He also criticized Big Tech, which has largely removed Trump from their platforms, as "dividing and divisive."
  • Markets: The major indexes did a whole bunch of nothing ahead of earnings season, which begins on Friday. Small caps, though, rose to a record high. 

HEALTH

Vaccine Rollout Goes from 0 to 65

0 to 65

Francis Scialabba

To kickstart a lagging vaccination rollout, the US government yesterday recommended that states make Covid-19 vaccines available to anyone over the age of 65 and to people of any age with pre-existing conditions. Officials hope the new guidelines will help simplify what has been a mind-numbingly complex, fragmented, and tedious process.

In another shift in strategy, the US will make second doses available. Remember, last week we explained that the administration was holding about half of the vaccine supply in storage to make sure that second doses were available when needed. That plan was criticized as being unnecessarily cautious, and the Trump administration has come around.

  • "We now believe that our manufacturing is predictable enough that we can ensure second doses are available to people from ongoing production. So everything is now available to our states and our healthcare providers," Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said on ABC yesterday. 

But where to deliver the shots? 

Since vaccination is America's new national pastime, there's only one answer: NYC will convert the home of the New York Mets, Citi Field, into a 24/7 coronavirus vaccination site by the end of the month, Mayor de Blasio said yesterday.

  • The announcement was made jointly with Steve Cohen, the billionaire hedge fund manager who recently bought the Mets. 
  • The goal is to administer between 5,000 and 7,000 shots per day. Yankees fans will be admitted.

Southern California, whose hospitals are filled with Covid patients, is following a similar gameplan. It's turning Disneyland into a mass-vaccination site by the end of the week. Dodger Stadium, which is the biggest Covid testing site in the country, is undergoing a similar makeover.

Zoom out: The country's largest entertainment venues have shape-shifted over the past year to fill a variety of crisis-era roles, including field hospitals, voting sites, and testing centers. 

The sooner they start selling hot dogs again, the better for the economy. After a disastrous 2020, vaccines could unleash booming economic growth this year, Fed officials say. 

        

AUTO

General Batteries

On Day 2 of consumer tech show CES, GM launched the next phase of Operation Beat Tesla: an electric delivery and logistics arm, BrightDrop. This year, BrightDrop will roll out...

  • EP1: an electric pallet that lugs packages from warehouses to delivery vans and delivery vans to your doorstep.
  • EV600: an electric delivery van with a 250-mile range. The first vehicles should be delivered by the end of 2021, with 500 destined for a FedEx route near you.
  • BrightDrop will also offer delivery software and services, including location tracking, remote lock, and predictive maintenance.

The announcement revved investors and sent GM shares up as much as 8.8% to a record high. 

Zoom out: GM's in the middle of a $27 billion pivot to electric vehicles and plans on unveiling 30 new models by 2025. In the delivery market, it's now competing with Mercedes-Benz, Ford, and buzzy startups including Rivian (which is working with Amazon), Deliver-E, and Canoo. 

One more thing...GM is preparing for our Jetsons future with this Cadillac-branded electric air taxi. 

 
GM

        

OBIT

Casino Magnate Sheldon Adelson Dies at 87

Casino magnate Sheldon Adelson

Mandel Ngan/Getty Images

Late Monday night, casino tycoon Sheldon Adelson died due to complications related to his treatment for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, his company Las Vegas Sands Corp announced. 

Tycoon might be an understatement. Adelson ran the world's largest casino empire and was among the wealthiest people on Earth. 

  • After a hardscrabble upbringing in Boston, Adelson started a computer trade show called Comdex, which he sold in 1995 for almost $900 million. He then muscled his way into the casino biz. 
  • His company's crown jewels include several casinos in Macau, Singapore's Marina Bay Sands, and Las Vegas's Venetian, which at 8,000 suites and rooms is really a small town with gondolas. 

For decades, if you had conservative political ambitions, you wanted Adelson on your side. He contributed huge sums to right-wing candidates and causes in the US and Israel, eventually becoming a make-or-break donor for Republican hopefuls. Adelson and his wife, Miriam, were the largest publicly disclosed donors in the 2020 race, per the Center for Responsive Politics. 

        

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Make 2021 the year you diversify your portfolio. Get started with Fundrise.

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AVIATION

Boeing Sticks With Silver

jet contrails

Francis Scialabba

Between the fallout from the 737 Max scandal and a pandemic that smushed airline travel, 2020 was harder for Boeing to stomach than economy class ratatouille. 

The company delivered just 157 planes (the fewest since 1984), logged its worst year of net sales, experienced ~650 order cancellations, and slashed production rates and staff.  

  • One ray of hope: After regulators lifted a 20-month ban on the 737 Max in November, Boeing squeezed in 80+ orders for the plane as carriers including Ryanair and Alaska Airlines went "bargain hunting." 

Still, these numbers mean Airbus, a 50-year rival, will retain the No. 1 aircraft maker title it wrestled from Boeing's grip in 2019. Last year, Airbus delivered 566 planes, 34% fewer than in 2019, and sold just 268 planes after cancellations. 

One challenge for Airbus: After failing to patch a 16-year dispute with the EU over government aircraft subsidies, the US government enacted 15% duties on imported German and French aircraft parts yesterday. Down the line, this could affect Airbus production, which was expected to pick back up.

        

CRYPTOCURRENCY

Frantic Bitcoin Holders Check the Tiny Pocket Inside the Pocket

People searching their pockets

Giphy

Some bitcoin holders are experiencing that feeling when you can't find your car keys, panic, and turn your apartment upside down looking for them—but in this case, there are millions of dollars in the backseat. As their digital wallets soar in value, some investors can't cash in because they forgot their passwords, according to a NYT report

  • One programmer in SF has two password guesses left to access a wallet containing 7,002 bitcoin, or ~$220 million.  
  • Of the 18.5 million bitcoin in existence, about 20%—$140 billion worth—seems to be lost or abandoned, per crypto data company Chainalysis.  

It's not a good time to not be able to access your bitcoin. Despite a recent dip, the crypto is still up about 335% in the past year. Relatedly, inquiries to Wallet Recovery Services, a business that helps crypto holders find their keys, have tripled in the past month. 

Zoom out: These frustrations flip the much-touted benefits of crypto. Only the person who creates a wallet has access to the key, which is great for privacy and freedom from regulation, but terrible if you lose it—you have no recourse. 

        

WHAT ELSE IS BREWING

  • Visa and fintech platform Plaid have called off Visa's $5.3 billion acquisition due to DOJ opposition. 
  • Twitter has suspended over 70,000 accounts that shared content tied to QAnon conspiracy theories. The app is increasing enforcement of its content rules ahead of the inauguration. 
  • President-elect Joe Biden reportedly picked Gary Gensler, a leading financial regulator under the Obama administration, as SEC chair. 
  • The CDC will require all international travelers headed to the US to test negative for Covid-19 before departure.
  • Zoom is planning to raise $1.5 billion through a new stock sale.

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GAMES

Profitable or Not Profitable?

This game is simple. We'll give you a company, and you have to figure out whether they were profitable or not (made money or lost money) in Q3 2020, the latest data we have available. 

  1. Tesla 
  2. Spotify 
  3. Lyft  
  4. Palantir 
  5. Airbnb 

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ANSWER

1. Tesla - yes profitable 
2. Spotify - not profitable
3. Lyft - not profitable 
4. Palantir - not profitable
5. Airbnb - profitable

              

Written by Neal Freyman, Eliza Carter, and Alex Hickey

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