Wednesday, January 13, 2021

👌 How the Market is Quietly Setting Up the Winning Trades of 2021

Good morning. After the extreme volatility of 2020—or just last week—having a quiet day in the..
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.
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Good morning. After the extreme volatility of 2020—or just last week—having a quiet day in the market feels like a rare treat. But most days in the market are quiet. Thanks to the gyrations of stocks, a decent annual return is borne out of small gyrations, day in and day out. Even when things calm, however, the next move is quietly being put into place.

In the oil market for instance, the price of the commodity is nearing highs last seen in February of last year. That's due to talks of reduced production by big-name suppliers to keep prices up. It's also allowing energy companies to help push the market higher while tech stocks play a more defensive role. When the market is calm, looking for these sector rotations can be a big driver of trading returns.


Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 31,068.69 +0.19%
S&P 3,801.19 +0.04%
NASDAQ 13,072.43 +0.28%
*As of market close
Stocks traded higher on Tuesday, as a recent rally in the dollar fell apart.
Gold rose 0.3 percent, with the metal closing at $1,855.
Oil prices rallied 1.7 percent, closing the day at $53.16 per barrel.
Cryptocurrencies traded mixed, with Bitcoin last at $34,297.

Today's TOP TIPS
Big Bank Earnings Season is Here, and Traders are Betting the Party Isn't Over
Bank stocks and financials in general slumped more than the average stock during the market selloff. A decline in economic activity means fewer new loans being made, and old loans face a rising risk of default of some sort.

However, with the economy opening again and with interest rates low, investors see further profits in the banking sector. With the space starting to announce earnings next week, further bullish bets are being made.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Conagra Brands (CAG)
Richard Lenny, a director at Conagra Brands (CAG), recently picked up 10,000 shares. The buy increased his stake by just over 10 percent, and came to a total cost of $337,000.

This marks the first insider buy at the company in a year. Insiders have generally been sellers of shares, mostly at the C-suite level. The company's general counsel has been the most active seller of shares here.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: General Motors (GM)
Shares of vehicle manufacturer General Motors (GM) surged higher on Tuesday following the announcement of electric delivery vehicles. At least one trader sees shares moving higher.

That's based on the January 29th $55 calls. With 16 days until expiration and with shares at $48, the trader is betting on shares moving 10 percent higher this month on the news. Over 13,150 contracts traded against a prior open interest of 205, for a 64-fold increase in volume on the trade.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Only 39% of Americans can afford a $1,000 emergency, down from 41% last year.
Oil prices continue to rise as producers commit to supply cuts.
Municipal borrowing hits a 10-year high.
Boeing delivered just 157 planes in 2020, with over 600 orders cancelled.
General Motors starts an EV business unit, BrightDrop, to sell to the commercial market.
Starbucks pledges $100 million to help small businesses.
Walmart is testing grocery deliveries to a smart cooler outside of customers' homes.
Uber and Moderna partner on Covid-19 vaccine information and access.
Crocs raises its full-year outlook as its "ugly" footwear comes back into vogue.
In earnings, Albertsons beats and raises guidance.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
OXY 12.649%
ETSY 12.079%
APA 11.225%
MRO 9.817%
BIDU 9.064%
BOTTOM
PKI 4.565%
STE 4.19%
SO 3.905%
LLY 3.84%
TTWO 3.578%

Quote of the Day
In light of the pandemic, digital has become the primary way for people to connect, work, be entertained and shop. Now, as Covid-19 cases continue to rise and more stringent lock-down measures return, online spending is expected to stay elevated, at least for the early part of 2021.
- Taylor Schreiner, director of Adobe Digital Insights, on why digital spending trends are likely to continue to move higher in 2021, albeit at a slower rate.

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