Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Playbook PM: The world turns to Biden

Presented by Morgan Stanley: POLITICO's must-read briefing on what's driving the afternoon in Washington
Nov 10, 2020 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Anna Palmer, Jake Sherman, Eli Okun and Garrett Ross

Presented by

THE WORLD TO PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP: IT'S OVER.

… BLOOMBERG HEADLINE: "ERDOGAN CONGRATULATES BIDEN ON U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WIN"

… EMMANUEL MACRON called JOE BIDEN today. (h/t CNN)

… @BorisJohnson: "I just spoke to @JoeBiden to congratulate him on his election. I look forward to strengthening the partnership between our countries and to working with him on our shared priorities – from tackling climate change, to promoting democracy and building back better from the pandemic."

NOTE: JOHNSON uses "building back better" -- the BIDEN campaign's exact verbiage.

FROM 10 DOWNING ST.: "The Prime Minister invited the President-elect to attend the COP26 climate change summit that the UK is hosting in Glasgow next year. They also looked forward to seeing each other in person, including when the UK hosts the G7 Summit in 2021."

IT DOESN'T SEEM LIKE THE WORLD cares a lick about TRUMP'S legal challenges, or the GSA's pause in starting the transition.

IN THE CAPITOL -- SEN. ROY BLUNT (R-Mo.): "Virtually every prediction about what's going to happen in the elections was wrong. The president wasn't defeated by huge numbers, in fact he may not have been defeated at all. We gained seats in the House, we are going to hold the majority in the Senate. …

"If Joe Biden doesn't know what he's doing now in a way that lets him move forward with the transition, he would never know what he's doing. He's been doing this for almost 50 years. They can do everything they need to be doing from the point of view of a transition without the GSA making a determination quicker then the administration thinks they should."

-- SEN. RICHARD SHELBY (R-Ala.) on whether BIDEN won, as he headed into the Senate lunch: "We don't know yet, do we? It hasn't been certified."

FYSA: SENATE DEMOCRATS and REPUBLICANS reelected their respective leadership teams this morning. (Sen. RICK SCOTT of Florida was elected NRSC chair.) Marianne LeVine and Burgess Everett with more

STACEY ABRAMS announced this morning she has raised $6 million for RAPHAEL WARNOCK'S and JON OSSOFF'S races to knock off Georgia GOP Sens. DAVID PERDUE and KELLY LOEFFLER. Abrams' tweet

HOW BUSINESS IN D.C. IS VIEWING THE RACE: OF COURSE, REPUBLICANS will raise tens of millions of dollars to back both PERDUE and LOEFFLER -- nobody expects lack of money to be the reason why either would lose. But one potential issue that has come up among some GOP corporate donors is LOEFFLER'S aggressive stance against Black Lives Matter. As you may remember, the players of the Atlanta Dreams, of which she is an owner, wore "Vote Warnock" T-shirts earlier this fall. Cutting checks, donors fear, could cause a backlash among customers and shareholders and certainly be something the left could use to make trouble.

MEANWHILE, PERDUE is seen as much more palatable for corporate PAC check cutters, according to GOP fundraisers and bundlers. A former CEO, he is also on the Senate Banking Committee. Besides his recent willful mispronunciation of KAMALA HARRIS' name, he has stayed more out of the fray.

SIREN … ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION: "This was supposed to be the week that Republicans united behind U.S. Sens. Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue for a pair of Jan. 5 runoffs that could decide control of the Senate. Instead, the two senators leveled unfounded claims of a disastrous 'embarrassment' of an election at fellow Republicans who oversaw last week's vote - and called for the resignation of Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.

"It was a brazen effort to appease Trump, who has falsely claimed electoral fraud despite no evidence of any wrongdoing as he and his supporters try to discredit Biden. We're told the president and his top allies pressured the two Republican senators to take this step, lest he tweet a negative word about them and risk divorcing them from his base ahead of the consequential runoff."

JOHN BRENNAN told HALLIE JACKSON on MSNBC just before 11 a.m. that he has been in touch with the BIDEN transition team.

JOHN JAMES, the Republican who lost his bid to unseat Sen. GARY PETERS (D-Mich.), has formed a legal fund, presumably to pay to challenge the result. The James Legal Fund

Good Tuesday afternoon.

A message from Morgan Stanley:

As Election Results Unfold, Markets Eye Outcomes - The U.S. Presidential race outcome is just one element facing markets and the U.S. economy. At the time same, the U.S. hit its highest level of daily new coronavirus cases and uncertainty remains on fiscal stimulus. New perspective on what's next.

 

THE FAA has extended the flight restrictions over BIDEN'S house in Wilmington through Inauguration Day. The map, h/t CNN's Pete Muntean

AP: "Vice President-elect Kamala Harris' husband, Doug Emhoff, will leave his job as a partner with a high-profile law firm to focus on his role in the new Biden administration. A campaign spokeswoman said Tuesday that Emhoff will sever ties with DLA Piper by Inauguration Day. Emhoff took a leave of absence from the firm in August, when Harris was named Joe Biden's running mate."

SCOTUS WATCH … ACA TO SURVIVE? … "Supreme Court appears wary of striking down Obamacare," by Susannah Luthi: "The justices' line of questioning suggests the court's newly fortified 6-3 conservative majority has reservations about overturning or undercutting a law that covers over 20 million people and provides popular insurance protections. …

"Chief Justice John Roberts and Trump appointee Justice Brett Kavanaugh strongly questioned whether the elimination of the mandate penalty made the rest of the law problematic. Kavanaugh appeared to favor leaving the rest of the law intact if the mandate is struck. 'I tend to agree with you that it is a very straightforward case under our precedents, meaning that we would excise the mandate and leave the rest in place,' Kavanaugh said."

THE PURGE: ELECTION YEAR -- "Pentagon's top policy official resigns after clashing with the White House," by Lara Seligman and Daniel Lippman: "The Pentagon's acting policy chief resigned on Tuesday after falling out of favor with the White House, raising fears of a post-election purge at the Defense Department.

"The departure of James Anderson, the acting undersecretary of defense for policy, potentially paves the way for Anthony Tata, President Donald Trump's controversial nominee for the top policy job who was pulled from contention due to Islamophobic tweets, to take over the policy shop. … Anderson … submitted his letter of resignation on Tuesday morning, a copy of which was obtained by POLITICO. He had been expected to be asked by the White House to resign in the next few days." POLITICO The letter

IMMIGRATION FILES -- "Trump administration's revisions to the naturalization exam could make the test harder for immigrants seeking citizenship," by CNN's Priscilla Alvarez: "The Trump administration is planning to make the naturalization test, which immigrants must pass to become US citizens, longer, according to a draft memo obtained by CNN, a move that could make it more difficult and marks the latest in a string of actions intended to alter the citizenship process. ...

"Currently, the exam features 100 civics questions. Hopeful American citizens are asked up to 10 of these during an interview and have to answer six correctly to pass. But the changes, according to the memo, include an increase in civics test questions from 10 to 20, and as such, changing the passing score to 12/20 instead of 6/10. The memo also says USCIS officers will ask all 20 questions, rather than stopping when an applicant reaches the passing score." CNN

 

JOIN THURSDAY: A WOMEN RULE ROUNDTABLE : 2020 has been a history-making year for women in politics. Kamala Harris is vice president-elect, a record number of Republican women were elected to Congress and more women of color ran for public office than ever before. Join POLITICO's Elizabeth Ralph, Crooked Media's Shaniqua McClendon, and Winning for Women's Micah Yousefi for a conversation that examines the results for women who ran for office and what progress still needs to be made. REGISTER HERE.

 
 

VALERIE BIDEN OWENS SPEAKS … AXIOS' MIKE ALLEN: "Valerie Biden Owens previews brother's governing style": "Valerie Biden Owens, her brother's closest political adviser for 49 years, told me in an interview for 'Axios on HBO' that President-elect Joe Biden plans to ignore the distractions of President Trump while building and launching a government. 'He's never going to see Donald Trump again,' Owens said Sunday in Wilmington, in her first on-camera interview since Joe Biden became president-elect. 'Donald Trump is going off the stage on January 20th. … That's history, that's past.' …

"Reflecting the soaring confidence in Biden's camp, Owens replied, 'Sure' and 'Absolutely' when I asked her if he would run for a second term: 'He's transitional in that he's bringing in all these young people and bringing [us] back again [so] we're not a divided country. … But sure. He's going strong.'" With video: Axios

LATE TO THE PARTY -- "Postal Service continues to receive thousands of ballots," by Kyle Cheney: "According to the new data, compiled as part of a lawsuit to monitor mail voting, ballots arriving Monday included hundreds meant for closely fought contests in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Arizona, where President-elect Joe Biden has held small but significant leads. Those ballots include: 121 in Atlanta, 293 in Philadelphia, 109 in Central Pennsylvania, 171 in Central Arizona and 83 in Detroit.

"Though the number of ballots is too small to affect the outcome of the election in any of these states they could — along with hundreds of others that arrived in these states in the days since the election — affect the margins of victory for Biden. Of these states, only Pennsylvania accepted ballots after Election Day, so long as they were postmarked by Nov. 3. But even Pennsylvania's extension, ordered by the state Supreme Court, expired on Friday." POLITICOThe documents

ET Q, BRUTE? … WAPO: "'My faith is shaken': The QAnon conspiracy theory faces a post-Trump identity crisis," by Drew Harwell and Craig Timberg: "President Trump's election loss and the week-long silence of 'Q,' the movement's mysterious prophet, have wrenched some QAnon believers into a crisis of faith, with factions voicing unease about their future or rallying others to stay calm and 'trust the plan.' The uncertainty has been compounded by the abrupt public resignation, also last Tuesday, of Ron Watkins, the administrator of Q's online sanctuary on the message board 8kun.

"Q has gone quiet before. But the abrupt lack of posts since last Tuesday — Election Day, which the anonymous figure had touted for months as a key moment of reckoning — has sparked speculation and alarm among the movement's most ardent followers. Some QAnon proponents have begun to publicly grapple with reality and question whether the conspiracy theory is a hoax. 'Have we all been conned?' one user wrote Saturday on 8kun. Wrote another: 'HOW CAN I SPEAK TO Q???? MY FAITH IS SHAKEN. I FOLLOWED THE PLAN. TRUMP LOST!!!!!!!!!!! WHAT NOW?????? WHERE IS THE PLAN???'"

DISINFORMATION DIGEST -- "YouTube Election Loophole Lets Some False Trump-Win Videos Spread," by Bloomberg's Mark Bergen: "On Monday, cable outlet One America News Network posted two videos to its YouTube account titled 'Trump won.' … YouTube added a label noting that the Associated Press called the election for Joe Biden. But the world's largest online video service didn't block or remove the content. …

"A few months ago, YouTube released a detailed policy prohibiting manipulated media and voter suppression, but left one gap: Expressing views on the election is OK. The result has been an onslaught of videos aiming to undermine the legitimacy of the election, according to online media and political researchers. Some of this material has spread on other social networks. And several clips, like the two OANN videos on Monday, ran advertisements, profiting from a Google policy that lets content framed as news reporting or talk shows cash in." Bloomberg

 

NEW EPISODES OF POLITICO'S GLOBAL TRANSLATIONS PODCAST: The world has long been beset by big problems that defy political boundaries, and these issues have exploded in 2020 amid a global pandemic. Global Translations podcast, presented by Citi, unpacks the roadblocks to smart policy decisions and examines the long-term costs of the short-term thinking that drives many political and business decisions. In the latest episode, we look at the renewed interest in an old phrase: industrial policy. Is it still too controversial in policy circles, or is it the future of policy as governments worldwide reshape global supply chains? Subscribe for Season Two, available now.

 
 

CLICKER … WSJ: "How Politics Has Pulled the Country in Different Directions": "Surveys from Pew Research Center have found 'ideological silos' now common on both the left and right, and 'consistently' conservative and liberal Americans are more likely than ideologically mixed Americans to say it is important to them to live in a place where most people share their political views. …

"In 2016, voters in … landslide counties accounted for 30% of all votes nationwide, up from about 4% in 1980. It was the first time that number surpassed the share of votes cast in closely contested counties (those within five points of the national vote). In 2020, the share from landslide counties grew to 35%." WSJ

WAPO: "As an ex-president, Trump could disclose the secrets he learned while in office, current and former officials fear," by Shane Harris: "All presidents exit the office with valuable national secrets in their heads, including the procedures for launching nuclear weapons, intelligence-gathering capabilities — including assets deep inside foreign governments — and the development of new and advanced weapon systems.

"But no new president has ever had to fear that his predecessor might expose the nation's secrets as President-elect Joe Biden must with Trump, current and former officials said. Not only does Trump have a history of disclosures, he checks the boxes of a classic counterintelligence risk: He is deeply in debt and angry at the U.S. government, particularly what he describes as the 'deep state' conspiracy that he believes tried to stop him from winning the White House in 2016 and what he falsely claims is an illegal effort to rob him of reelection." WaPo

STORM WATCH -- "Florida cities mop up after deluge from Tropical Storm Eta," by AP's Freida Frisaro and Kelli Kennedy in Fort Lauderdale: "Tropical Storm Eta was squatting off western Cuba on Tuesday after drifting away from South Florida, where it unleashed a deluge that flooded entire neighborhoods and filled some homes with rising water.

"The 28th named storm of a record hurricane season was the first this year to make landfall in Florida. And now a 29th named storm has formed over the northern Atlantic: Theta took shape Monday night, eclipsing the record set in 2005, when Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma struck the Gulf Coast." AP

VALLEY TALK -- "EU files antitrust charges against Amazon over use of data," by AP's Kelvin Chan in London: "European Union regulators filed antitrust charges Tuesday against Amazon, accusing the e-commerce giant of using its access to data to gain an unfair advantage over merchants using its platform. The EU's executive Commission, the bloc's top antitrust enforcer, issued the charges after it started looking into the company two years ago.

"Adding to Amazon's regulatory headaches, EU officials also opened a second investigation into whether the company favors product offers and merchants that use its own logistics and delivery system. It's the latest effort by Executive Vice President Margrethe Vestager, the EU commissioner in charge of competition issues, to curb the power of big technology companies." AP

MEDIAWATCH -- The NYT has named Andrew Higgins Warsaw bureau chief and Anton Troianovski Moscow bureau chief. Announcement

BONUS BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Jennifer Curley, president and CEO of Curley Company. A fun fact about her: ""I absolutely love romance novels and have always wanted to write one set in Washington. I just found out Stacey Abrams has authored a few and am newly inspired." Playbook Q&A

 

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