Tuesday, December 10, 2024

Companies brace for a red capital

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Dec 10, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Jordan Wolman

THE BIG IDEA

Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird arrives to speak during the second day of the 2024 Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, July 16, 2024.

Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird is escalating the conservative anti-ESG movement. | AFP via Getty Images

CORPORATE CLASH — Companies across the country are continuing to reassess and scale back sustainability and diversity initiatives in moves that might have as much to do with bottom-line concerns as with the anticipation of increased hostility under a Republican trifecta in Washington.

Goldman Sachs Group’s move last week to withdraw from the Net-Zero Banking Alliance was just the latest in a series of shifts highlighted by Walmart’s announcement last month that it would begin curbing its diversity policies in the face of pressure from a conservative activist.

These walkbacks from programs that major corporations embraced only a few years ago certainly have something to do with the attacks from the right that have thrust corporate policies into the political spotlight, your host reports. But they also underscore the struggles that businesses have faced in trying to make the economic case for environmental, social and governance principles and diversity, equity and inclusion programs.

After all, there are legitimate questions about whether companies would roll over quite so easily if they were able to articulate a clear financial return for those programs in the first place.

“What the new era looks like is an expected focus on being able to demonstrate the business value and being able to justify investments,” said Andrew Jones, senior researcher at The Conference Board’s ESG Center, a global nonprofit think tank.

A new survey from The Conference Board found that 41 percent of corporate executives believe that the return on investment from their sustainability initiatives are either underperforming or uncertain, while only 17 percent felt that way about their “traditional investments.” Just 3 in 10 feel their company is effectively communicating the results of sustainability initiatives.

In a world where Republicans have put large corporations on the defensive through state legislation, litigation, investigations and advertising campaigns, companies may be deciding to cut their losses.

"A well-counseled client will say the fact that I could spend $10 million and defeat a lawsuit means, it will cost me $10 million to stay in this group if I think there's a reasonable risk that I'm going to get sued,” said Jonathan Gleklen, partner at Arnold & Porter and chair of the firm’s antitrust practice. “And I think a well-counseled client will say, ‘Is this really worth $10 million to me, to be able to put the logo on my website when I can drop out of the group, do all the same things, make my same public statements about my commitment to net-zero? When it was costless to put the logo on my website, that was a good PR choice. But it's no longer costless.”

In some cases, even walking away from coordinated efforts to address environmental and social problems isn’t good enough to keep companies out of harm’s way as they also face pressure on the left to do more to fight climate change.

Nearly a dozen Republican state attorneys general sued BlackRock, State Street and Vanguard last month, accusing the "Big Three" asset managers of antitrust violations by colluding to manipulate the decline of the coal industry to meet climate targets. Iowa Attorney General Brenna Bird, who joined that lawsuit, called it "the tip of the iceberg" — and said that President-elect Donald Trump's win inspired officials to bring the litigation after more than year of teasing it.

"As part of that election, Americans rejected woke extremism, and they sent President Trump a strong mandate to restore our country," Bird said in an interview. "It's very good for this issue that he is president, because that will help us to fix some of these problems. It's very helpful."

Next up for Bird and like-minded AGs, she said, is potentially escalating efforts to similarly challenge the big proxy advisory firms, Glass Lewis and Institutional Shareholder Services. ISS said in a statement that it "remains committed" to working with officials to further understand its role in the proxy process.

But many companies maintain that while the mood around ESG and DEI continues to shift, much of the actual work itself will remain.

A separate Conference Board report from October found that while 60 percent of corporate executives view the political and social climate around DEI as very or extremely challenging, fewer than 10 percent of firms plan to reduce DEI resources over the next three years.

Companies will still be expected to meet mandatory climate reporting standards out of Europe and California even as federal rules are expected to get squashed by the incoming administration. And more than two dozen companies including Ikea and Samsung met with congressional Republicans last week to underscore the business case for keeping the clean energy tax credits and other incentives included in the Inflation Reduction Act.

“Our general goals of addressing climate risk and opportunities, integrating nature and water into that, and doing so at a policy level, a corporate level and investor level, won't change,” said Mindy Lubber, president and CEO of sustainability nonprofit Ceres, which organized the Capitol Hill meetings. “Our tactics and strategies will unquestionably see some changes. There will be a lot of defense at the federal level. Companies may not raise the flag and do big public campaigns, but they're not going to stop looking at climate risk and the opportunities because there's nothing those investors care about more, as they should, than getting good returns.”

WASHINGTON WATCH

PERMITTING PROSPECTS — We’ve reached the end of the road, at least for now, on bipartisan efforts to overhaul and streamline the nation’s system for permitting energy and infrastructure projects.

Staff from the “big four” congressional leaders have recently discussed the ongoing permitting reform efforts as part of year-end legislation, our Josh Siegel reports.

Rep. Bruce Westerman (R-Ark.), chair of the Natural Resources Committee, said the group is “getting closer” to an agreement, but he put the onus on Democratic senators to agree "to something I can take back to the Republican conference.”

Many Democrats, including Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, are pushing to land a deal now ahead of a GOP trifecta next year. But some Republicans seem to be looking to hold out for an even better bill for fossil fuels in the new Congress.

Sen. Joe Manchin (I-W.Va.), who is retiring at the end of the current term, has made permitting reform a pet issue and may pull out all the stops to get it done before stepping away.

“I am hopeful that a reform discussion can recognize the fact that every new critical infrastructure project, by definition, has to comply with all of our environmental laws,” Jim Connaughton, who ran the White House Council of Environmental Quality for most of the George W. Bush administration, told our Alex Guillen. “So perhaps we could consider a much simpler approach to (the National Environmental Policy Act) that recognizes that fact and allows us to confidently make decisions about the appropriate location of projects under NEPA and leave the environmental aspects of those decisions to the regulators.”

AROUND THE WORLD

THROWING SHADE — The European Union’s top scientists are urging the bloc to prohibit solar geoengineering meant to fight climate change and push for a worldwide ban for now, Zia Weise reports.

It’s the first time the European Commission has been given scientific advice on the controversial technologies. The recommendations expressed caution about the side effects of reflecting sunlight away from Earth by brightening clouds or dimming the sun, which could change rainfall patterns that endanger global food supplies.

The scientists said there’s limited research to date on these technologies that in any case would only mask climate change rather than addressing its root cause — greenhouse emissions driven by burning oil, gas and coal.

YOU TELL US

GAME ON — Welcome to the Long Game, where we tell you about the latest on efforts to shape our future. Join us every Tuesday as we keep you in the loop on the world of sustainability.

Team Sustainability is editor Greg Mott and reporter Jordan Wolman. Reach us at gmott@politico.com and jwolman@politico.com.

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WHAT WE'RE CLICKING

The world’s biggest offshore wind developer has been making headlines for all the wrong reasons lately. The Financial Times takes a look at how Orsted got there.

The Washington Post examines how Elon Musk has transitioned from calling for a “popular uprising” against fossil fuels to become something of a climate science skeptic.

— Federal workers may not like it so much, but D.C. business leaders are backing DOGE leaders’ return-to-office plans, Bloomberg’s City Lab reports.

 

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