Wednesday, July 10, 2024

How "High" Can This 7% Yield Go?

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How "High" Can This 7% Yield Go?

Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club

Marc Lichtenfeld

Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE: IIPR) lives up to its name.

The company is an innovative real estate investment trust, or REIT, that leases its 108 real estate assets to 30 cannabis operators in 19 states.

REITs are known for paying sizable dividends, and Innovative Industrial Properties' 7% annual yield makes it one of the higher-yielding REITs.

Can it continue to pay such a strong dividend, or is management about to harsh investors' buzz?

As you likely know by now, cash flow is one of the key factors we consider. For REITs, we use funds from operations (FFO) as our measure of cash flow.

Innovative Industrial Properties' FFO has been rising for the past few years. It totaled $232 million in 2023 (up from $211 million the prior year), and I expect it to increase to around $250 million in 2024.

Chart: FFO Moving Higher and Higher
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Last year, the company paid shareholders $204 million in dividends for an 88% payout ratio.

I'm comfortable with REITs paying out up to 100% of their FFO in dividends, as they are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their earnings.

(Earnings aren't the same as cash flow or FFO, but because of that obligation, REITs often pay out nearly all of their FFO to shareholders. That's why we raise our payout ratio limit from our typical 75% for normal stocks to 100% for REITs.)

Even though Innovative Industrial Properties' payout ratio was comfortably below 100% in 2023, I expect it to be closer to the limit by the end of this year.

Here's how that could affect the company's dividend...

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