A FAMILIAR HEALTH TAX BATTLE — Leading employer groups and health insurers are bristling at proposals from prominent former Trump administration officials and House Republicans to increase taxes on some employer plans if Obamacare’s enhanced premium tax credits expire. The context: Premiums for employer insurance plans aren’t typically taxable, which incentivizes employers to offer more generous plans. The Paragon Health Institute, a conservative think tank led by former Trump policy adviser Brian Blase, has argued that Congress should allow the tax credits to expire after 2025, saying the Affordable Care Act didn’t intend to fully subsidize plans for enrollees. If that were to happen, Blase and Theo Merkel of Paragon recently argued, Congress should cap the tax exclusion at 125 percent of the average value of an employer plan as part of broader reform. They contend it would reduce wasteful spending by disincentivizing unnecessarily robust coverage and, in turn, allow employers to offer higher wages. “We think this is a modest way to ensure that people can still receive assistance for purchasing health insurance through their employer, but at the top end, rein in some of the excesses,” Merkel told Pulse. The Republican Study Committee — the largest House GOP caucus — endorsed capping the exclusion in a budget plan earlier this year. The proposals are familiar. John McCain called to end tax breaks on insurance in his 2008 presidential campaign, as did former House Speaker Paul Ryan in his Obamacare replacement bill in 2017. The backlash: Top insurer, employer and business groups and unions are urging Congressional leaders not to eliminate the tax breaks, saying it would imperil access and affordability. “Every time it’s proposed, it leads to extreme rejection,” James Gelfand, president of the ERISA Industry Committee, which represents the benefit interests of large employers, said, pointing to Congress overwhelmingly voting to overturn the “Cadillac tax” on pricey plans in 2019. “This is an existential threat to the employer-sponsored health insurance system.” Debate on trickledown impacts: Gelfand told Pulse it would lead to higher deductibles and premiums and more costs for employees. Merkel countered that the overwhelming majority of people wouldn’t see such increases, and those with increased deductibles would be those with very generous plans. Gelfand argued that, over time, the tax would impact more plans as costs decrease. Merkel said the proposal was crafted to avoid the issue that many had expected for the Cadillac tax. “It uses the value of the national average plan rather than a specified numerical amount indexed to a growth metric,” Merkel said. The outlook: Potential reforms would likely have to come in the next Congress. Merkel said that presidents of both parties have proposed reforms. “Economists across the political spectrum agree that the exclusion has a lot of inefficiency,” Blase said. Gelfand said he’s “confident” the plan can be defeated. WELCOME TO MONDAY PULSE. I had the Orioles' “Warehouse Dog” at Camden Yards this weekend and would highly recommend it. Reach us and send us your tips, news and scoops at bleonard@politico.com or ccirruzzo@politico.com. Follow along @_BenLeonard_ and @ChelseaCirruzzo.
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