⚖️ Axios PM: Hunter Biden guilty

📊 Plus: Biden-Trump toss-up | Tuesday, June 11, 2024

Open in app View in browser   Presented By BlackRock   Axios PM By Mike Allen · Jun 11, 2024 Happy Tuesday. Today's edition, edited by Dave Lawler, is 591 words, a 2-min. read. Thanks to Sheryl Miller for copy editing amid our Axios National Newsroom retreat!     1 big thing: Hunter Biden guilty on all counts After the verdict, Hunter Biden leaves court with First Lady Jill Biden and his wife, Melissa Cohen Biden. Photo: Matt Slocum/AP Hunter Biden today became the first child of a sitting president to be convicted of a crime: A jury in Wilmington, Delaware, found him guilty of three federal gun charges. Hunter was almost motionless when the verdict was announced. He stared straight ahead until he gave a few slight nods at the end, Axios' Alex Thompson reports from the courtroom. Hunter was accused of illegally purchasing and possessing a firearm in October 2018 while using a narcotic. He faces up to 25 years in prison. But as a first-time offender, it's unlikely he'll receive the maximum sentence. What they're saying: Hunter said he's "more grateful today for the love and support" of his family and friends than he is "disappointed by the outcome." President Biden said in a statement: "I will accept the outcome of this case and will continue to respect the judicial process as Hunter considers an appeal. Jill and I will always be there for Hunter and the rest of our family with our love and support. Nothing will ever change that." Democrats are hammering the idea that the verdict shows "no one is above the law" — not the president's son, and not a former president either. A Trump campaign statement said: "This trial has been nothing more than a distraction from the real crimes of the Biden Crime Family."     📊 2. 538's first '24 forecast: Toss-up Graphic Courtesy of 538 The first '24 forecast by 538, the data journalism organization owned by ABC News, shows President Biden winning just over half the time, in 53 of 100 simulations. Trump won 47 times out of 100. 🔨 Breaking it down: The forecast is based on a combination of polls — which slightly favor former President Trump at this stage — and other factors like economic conditions and the incumbency advantage that could tilt the race toward Biden. In most scenarios, 538's model expects Biden to win the popular vote. Data: Cook Political Report. Map: Axios Visuals But the race will be decided in six or seven swing states where Trump was holding slight leads in the most recent polls, before his conviction. National polls moved a hair in Biden's direction following the verdict. Go deeper ... Full 538 methodology.     A message from BlackRock The 5 forces shaping U.S. retirement     More than half the assets BlackRock manages are for retirement, helping around 35 million Americans invest for life after work. What you need to know: KC Boas, BlackRock's Head of Retirement Thought Leadership, highlights five trends in retirement. Learn more.     3. Catch me up   Florida's restrictions on gender-affirming care for both minors and adults are unconstitutional and cannot be enforced, a federal judge ruled Tuesday. Axios Tampa Bay's Kathryn Varn has the details. Hamas has given Qatari and Egyptian mediators its official response to the Israeli proposal for a hostage and ceasefire deal, sources tell Axios' Barak Ravid. Manhattan D.A. Alvin Bragg, who prosecuted the criminal case against Trump, will testify to a GOP-controlled House panel in July, Axios' Andrew Solender reports.     🍽 4. Oscars of the food world From left: New Orleans-area winners Serigne Mbaye and Effie Richardson of Dakar NOLA, and Chris Hannah of Jewel of the South. Photo: Chelsea Brasted/Axios The biggest winners from last night's James Beard Awards in Chicago hail from Axios Local cities: Outstanding chef: Michael Rafidi, Palestinian American chef of Albi, whose wood-fired Levantine cooking is lighting up the D.C. food scene. Outstanding restaurant: Langbaan, which Axios Portland describes as a 24-seat Thai restaurant known for its fun, flavorful dishes with historical ties. Best new restaurant: Dakar NOLA, which Axios New Orleans' Chelsea Brasted — who attended the awards — notes serves Senegalese cuisine infused with south Louisiana ingredients. Michael Rafidi of Albi. Photo: Moyo Adeolu/Axios "In recent years, the awards, which were first given out in 1991, have evolved into a glamorous night of red carpet moments and food-focused partying funded largely by a roster of big-name sponsors," the N.Y. Times' Kim Severson notes (gift link). Full list of winners ... Press release.     A message from BlackRock BlackRock CEO on why it's time to rethink retirement     Join BlackRock Chairman and CEO Larry Fink on an episode of BlackRock's podcast, "The Bid." More info: Fink discusses the retirement challenges that come with living longer and why it's crucial to have this conversation now. Listen to the episode.   Are you a fan of this email format? Your essential communications — to staff, clients and other stakeholders — can have the same style. Axios HQ, a powerful platform, will help you do it.   Axios thanks our partners for supporting our newsletters. Sponsorship has no influence on editorial content. Axios, 3100 Clarendon B‌lvd, Arlington VA 22201   You received this email because you signed up for newsletters from Axios. To stop receiving this newsletter, unsubscribe or manage your email preferences.   Was this email forwarded to you? Sign up now to get Axios in your inbox.   Follow Axios on social media: