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March 3rd, 2024 | Issue 223 |
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As we wrap up another earnings season, the gaze of investors shifts towards the broader economic indicators that could illuminate the path ahead, particularly regarding inflation and the imminent Federal Reserve decisions. Amidst this transition, the performance of established e-commerce titans seized my attention this week, with eBay taking center stage—a virtual marketplace where buyers and sellers converge to trade an eclectic array of goods, from vintage vinyl records to cutting-edge electronics. For those unfamiliar, eBay serves as a digital bazaar, facilitating transactions across a diverse range of products. Users can list items for sale, set auction durations, and engage in bidding wars for coveted items. It's a platform that embodies the democratization of commerce, allowing individuals and businesses alike to participate in a global marketplace from the comfort of their homes. However, amidst the routine hum of earnings reports, eBay's recent financials harbored a subplot that piqued the interest of astute observers—the specter of a gamma squeeze. In the world of options trading, a gamma squeeze occurs when a surge in options activity leads to amplified stock price movements, often triggered by a sharp change in the underlying security's price. |
This week, eBay found itself under the options microscope, with data suggesting a potential 10% move post-earnings—an enticing prospect for traders seeking opportunities amid market volatility. Digging deeper into the options landscape, a call put skew emerged, indicating a bias towards put options over calls, as investors sought to hedge their positions against potential downside risk. |
Now, let's dissect a term crucial to understanding options activity: "dealer exposure." In essence, dealer exposure refers to the risk faced by market makers or dealers due to their positions in options contracts. By analyzing dealer exposure data, traders can gain insights into the distribution of possible outcomes and identify key support and resistance levels in the market. Returning to eBay's options data, significant open interest was observed at strategic strike prices, offering clues to potential price movements post-earnings. It was within this landscape that I identified an opportunity, opting for an iron condor—a market-neutral strategy aimed at profiting from a stock's sideways movement. |
Shifting gears to a personal note, my upcoming book club meeting offers a welcome respite from the market frenzy. This week, we delve into a biography chronicling the life and ventures of Elon Musk—a figure whose audacious pursuit of innovation has left an indelible mark on multiple industries, from space exploration to electric vehicles. What strikes me most about Musk's journey is not just his accomplishments, but his unyielding resolve in the face of adversity. Musk's tireless work ethic and penchant for disruption serve as a testament to the transformative power of vision and perseverance. In conclusion, as we navigate the twists and turns of the financial markets, it's essential to remain vigilant and informed. Whether it's deciphering options data, exploring the stories of visionary entrepreneurs, or participating in lively book club discussions, there's always something to glean from the rich tapestry of experiences that shape our understanding of finance and beyond. |
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Chief Investment Officer/Founder |
(A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people) |
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TRADE IDEA OF THE WEEK Bitcoin: Better than $NVDA |
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As we assess the investment landscape, one standout opportunity emerges: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ($GBTC). In comparison to traditional equities like Nvidia ($NVDA), Bitcoin and GBTC offer unique advantages in the current market environment. Why GBTC Now? With inflation concerns on the rise, Bitcoin's deflationary nature and limited supply make it an appealing hedge against currency devaluation and rising prices. In a volatile market environment, diversifying into alternative assets like Bitcoin can help mitigate portfolio risk and enhance long-term returns. |
Bitcoin's recent price action and technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, with potential for further upside in the near term. With growing institutional interest and mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies, sentiment towards Bitcoin is increasingly positive, bolstering its investment case. What makes it even better is that my A.I. agrees! Just take a look at the 10-day predicted data: |
Given the current market conditions and the potential for Bitcoin to outperform traditional equities like Nvidia, buying GBTC presents a compelling opportunity for investors. With the sector spotlight on cryptocurrency and Bitcoin, now is an opportune time to consider adding exposure to GBTC in the upcoming week. Leveraging the insights from our analysis and the latest A.I. data, investors can position themselves to capitalize on the potential upside of Bitcoin amidst evolving market dynamics. This week, I'll be adding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ($GBTC) to my portfolio! |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room. Multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk, which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
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