Wednesday, February 14, 2024

This Undervalued Mid-Tier Gold Producer Just Found Indications of a District-Scale Opportunity

Calibre Mining (CXB.TO) (CXBMF) already produces around 300,000 ounces of gold a year. Its balance sheet is robust, its cash flow steady and dependable — thanks to a number of operating mines.
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This Undervalued Mid-Tier Gold Producer Just Found Indications of a District-Scale Opportunity

Calibre Mining (CXB.TO) (CXBMF) already produces around 300,000 ounces of gold a year.

Its balance sheet is robust, its cash flow steady and dependable — thanks to a number of operating mines.

And by next year, Calibre should be in the next league up.

Thanks to the recently-acquired Valentine Project — with one mine already 50% developed, and gold production scheduled to commence the first half of 2025 — Calibre is on track to add another ~200,000 ounces or so of annual gold production.

That would vault overall production to approximately a half a million ounces a year.

To put that in perspective, other mid-tier gold producers of a similar size — like Alamos Gold or Eldorado Gold — have market caps in the $3-5 billion range.

Today, Calibre has a market cap still shy of $1 billion.

When Calibre has similar production — in H1 2025 — it is not unreasonable to anticipate a potential re-rating and the market cap to keep up.

This coming gold production is not a hoped-for projection.

It is not a best-case scenario.

This involves defined resources — about 5 million ounces of gold in the Valentine Gold Mine, located in Canada, already explored and proven.

The mine is 50% through construction.

The finishing touches are happening now — fully financed, with healthy cash flow behind it should unexpected expenses arise.

Barring any unplanned obstacles, by this time next year Calibre Mining (TSX:CXB, OTC:CXBMF) should be producing at the same rate as its soon-to-be peers.

There's no such thing as a guarantee in the investing world — and that's twice as true for the mining industry.

But a fully-funded mine going into a proven resource is about as close as you can get.

Calibre offers one of the most obvious plays in the entire precious metal sector — with a path to half a million ounces in production, ramping up next year.

Yet, in all honesty, this company's future value could wind up even higher than its 500k oz/year peers.

Not because gold is still in a bull run — meaning those 500,000 ounces of production are likely to be more valuable next year than they are currently, lifting all gold production companies.

Instead, Calibre is likely to outperform because the Valentine property has barely been explored — and the early signs are, there's a lot more than 5 million ounces of gold in the ground.

A Bonanza of Value

The Valentine Gold Mine sits on a known geological formation or fault about 32 km long — of which only a small portion has been drilled and explored.

Recently, Calibre sent down some exploratory drillholes a kilometer from the construction site and known resources.

And those drill results came back showing similar concentrations of gold to the area already defined for the mine!

This suggests the possibility that additional gold will be discovered along the host formation.

Potentially, the kilometer between current drilling and those new exploratory drillholes will share the same concentrations of gold, time will tell.

Indeed — the entire 32 km host formation has limited exploration and the company is investing in property wide exploration this year.

What's more — the company has barely explored at depth yet.

With geological formations of this sort — similar to large, district-scale finds in Quebec — there are often pockets of precious metals along strike and at depth.

The Valentine Gold Mine already has 5 million ounces of gold resources, and it's hard to say if they are priced into the stock yet, given Calibre just closed this deal.

Unlike some junior explorers, Calibre Mining (TSX:CXB, OTC:CXBMF) has a healthy balance sheet and strong cash flow from producing mines, allowing them to self-finance for the foreseeable future.

The company is actively drilling and defining the rest of Valentine's 32 km formation this year, with further results expected during 2024.

Unlike large majors with their huge market caps, a district-scale find for a mid-tier like Calibre has the potential to move prices quickly and drastically.

If you are looking for a play in the red-hot precious metals sector, Calibre Mining (TSX:CXB, OTC:CXBMF) is a company worth consideration.

 


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