💸This Trend Shows the Fed Isn’t the Only Central Bank About to Call Quits

Good morning. The Fed's quarter-point rate hike following the June pause was well telegraphed in...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. The Fed's quarter-point rate hike following the June pause was well telegraphed in advance. But another trend indicates that the Fed – and other central banks around the world – are just about done. That trend is the global real-yield curve. After moving far above its historic range in 2020, it's now come back to its long-term trendline. That's a sign that raising interest rates significantly from here may not do much to bring down inflation, and if anything, it could simply hurt the economy. Investors playing the bond market may want to buy long bonds. If interest rates are near their peak, the next move would be lower interest rates, which cause bond prices, particularly long-dated bonds, to rise. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content 'A.I.-powered trend alerts' from TraderGPS - with zero effort! Knowledge of future price action stocks is power. Now you can get 6 A.I. scanned stock alerts to the palm of your hand (free), just sign up for TraderGPS alerts. Not only have we been pioneering A.I. for trader's since 1991, this TraderGPS is powered by dual patented machine learning algorithms you won't find anywhere else. Send me The Free A.I. Scanned Stock Alerts > MARKETS DOW 35,520.12 +0.23% S&P 4,566.75 -0.02% NASDAQ 14,127.28 -0.12% *As of market close • Markets closed mixed on Wednesday, as the Fed raised interest rates a quarter point. • Oil dipped 0.9 percent, closing at $78.90 per barrel. • Gold rose 0.6 percent, last going for $1,976 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies traded mixed, with bitcoin at $29,393 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS This Industry Leader Just Knocked Out a Major Uncertainty Companies are impacted by any number of uncertainties. Investors who wait for completely clear skies often miss out on the opportunity. But buying when things are starting to turn around can offer the best returns relative to the risk. That's especially true when buying shares of industry leaders. Taking advantage of a short-term fear can be the best way to get the optimal price for a company's shares. » FULL STORY Insider Activity Report: Lennar (LEN) Amy Banse, a director at Lennar (LEN), recently bought 790 shares. The buy increased her stake by 12 percent, and came to a total cost of $99,872. The buy comes a month after she picked up 165 shares, paying just over $20,000 to do so. Over the past two years, a few company officers have been sellers of shares, including a few officers at the VP level who sold over $1 million in a single transaction. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: General Motors (GM) Automobile manufacturer General Motors (GM) has been rangebound over the past year, and shares appear to be trending down once again. One trader is betting shares will further decline from here in the coming weeks. That's based on the August 18 $35.50 puts. With 22 days until expiration, 5,802 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 129, for a 45-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.31 to make the bearish bet. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Wealthy Consumer Trends Start to Shift Wealthier consumers have largely shown no interest in the changes in inflation over the past few years. But that trend is now starting to shift, with consumer spending dropping on luxury goods. That could be a sign that the wealthy are moving their money elsewhere, or are starting to face some of the pressures that have impacted lower-income Americans in recent years. • Voluntary AI Development Body Forms Several of the larger players in the AI space, including OpenAI, Google (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) have formed a voluntary body to oversee development of so-called "frontier" AI. The body will create a set of rules to ensure that AI is developed responsibly, working at a faster pace than government regulators. • ESG Fund Flow Turns Negative The cumulative flow of capital into funds focused on ESG – environmental, social, and governance issues – has flowed negative since the first quarter of last year. That may be a sign that the concept has become too political in nature, or that those qualities are less important in a struggling market environment. • AT&T Expands Cost-Cutting Cell carrier AT&T (T) is moving to streamline its operations with a $2 billion cost-cutting campaign. The company continues to scale back on landline operations, as its wireless business continues to drive most of the company's profits. The move comes as reports have come out that landlines containing lead may have been improperly buried. • Three Companies Team Up on Map Duopoly Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN), have teamed up to create a new map service that could rival the duopoly held by Google (GOOG) and Apple (AAPL). The three companies have combined data on over 59 million points of interest which could be used to start a new map application in the coming months. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP UNP 9.756% BA 8.449% ZION 7.462% KEY 6.67% ODFL 6.504% BOTTOM CSGP 8.197% ALLE 7.862% TDY 6.477% DGX 5.948% UHS 5.817% Quote of the Day Corporate client buybacks slowed despite typically picking up at this point of results season and have been tracking below seasonal trends since May. Buybacks could be one of the biggest casualties of tighter credit. - Jill Carey Hall, strategist at Bank of America, on the slowdown in corporate share buybacks right now, which may weigh on the markets in the coming months. 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