Thursday, July 6, 2023

Chris Christie knows how to work with Democrats. It might be a liability.

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Jul 06, 2023 View in browser
 
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By Dustin Racioppi

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at a town hall-style event at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics on June 6.

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie speaks at a town hall-style event at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics on June 6. | Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

ACROSS THE AISLE — Chris Christie wants voters to know he’s more than just a guided missile. He’s also got a standout resume with a credential no one else in the field can match: an ability to work productively with the enemy.

In both of his presidential campaign launches — this year and in 2016 — Christie has emphasized his bipartisan bona fides as an asset compared to Donald Trump and a field of candidates crowded with governors accustomed to dealing with compliant GOP legislatures.

There’s just one problem: there’s little evidence GOP primary voters care that the former New Jersey governor can work across the aisle with Democrats.

“I governed in a blue state — one of the bluest states in this country — as a two-term Republican governor,” he said in a CNN town hall last month. “I got reelected in that blue state with 61 percent of the vote. What’s that tell you? I made things happen. I know how to make things happen.”

It’s a record of compromise that, in the pre-Trump era, might have garnered Christie support as a problem-solving conservative.

In his eight years as the Republican governor of New Jersey, Christie often worked closely with the Democratic-led Legislature to pass some of the most consequential policies of recent memory. He capped property tax increases; eliminated the estate tax; scaled back public employee health and pension benefits; realigned the higher education system; overhauled the troubled police department in one of the most dangerous cities in America; and renewed New Jersey’s Transportation Trust Fund to support long-term infrastructure projects.

And long before his popularity plummeted to a historic low in his home state, Christie was so popular that he earned prominent Democratic endorsements — supporters who were dubbed “Christiecrats.”

Christie’s entry into the 2024 race and his focus on Trump has so far generated media attention more akin to a face-versus-heel WWE wrestling showdown than a presidential primary. But what’s overlooked in Christie’s attempt to block the return of the 45th president to the White House is a distinctive record that neither Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or any of the other governors in the race can claim.

DeSantis and the other Republican governors — Doug Burgum of North Dakota; Nikki Haley of South Carolina; Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas; and Mike Pence of Indiana — all led with Republican legislatures.

As president, Trump had Republican majorities in the House and Senate his first two years, but Democrats flipped the House in his midterm.

DeSantis’ work with a Republican-controlled legislature has enabled him to flex in the early-voting states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina: He can point to a six-week abortion ban, restrictions on sexual content in school books and targeting Disney World’s self-governance, as some examples.

Christie had no such advantage while leading New Jersey. At best, he can highlight how he used his veto pen liberally to defund Planned Parenthood, reject new gun restrictions and prohibit people from changing their gender on their birth certificate — culture war issues that resonate with the GOP base today.

But Christie can’t sidestep the fact his biggest policy achievements were done working with Democrats. Every budget had to be negotiated with the opposing party, and Christie famously resisted tax increases.

“Based upon the cast of characters that are in the Republican primary, he’s the only one that has that ability to go out on the stage and say, ‘I did eight budgets with Democrats,’” said state Sen. Paul Sarlo, the Democratic chair of the New Jersey Senate Budget Committee.

“It was always direct conversations,” he added. “Sometimes they were pleasant, sometimes we yelled at each other. But we would get right back at it a day later and negotiate.”

Christie’s voluble personality and his policy achievements worked in his favor early in his tenure, when he was courted to run for president as a presumed frontrunner against then-President Barack Obama in 2012. He declined and instead pursued reelection in New Jersey, reaching popularity upwards of 70 percent after Superstorm Sandy and winning 61 percent of the vote — the second-highest percentage in state history.

“He appealed to the independents. He appealed to the soft Democrats and he appealed to Republicans,” said New Jersey GOP state Sen. Holly Schepisi.

Public polling doesn’t reflect even a fraction of that support now. According to the FiveThirtyEight polling average, Christie is languishing at the bottom of the field with just three percent.

The former governor did see a bump in New Hampshire after he announced his candidacy, placing third behind Trump and DeSantis. However, Christie topped the list in a mid-June New Hampshire Journal/coefficient poll of candidates that residents “would never vote for under any circumstances.”

Christie is banking his primary hopes on New Hampshire, just as in 2016 when he placed sixth behind Trump. One of Christie’s closest allies in the New Jersey legislature, Republican state Sen. Jon Bramnick, said he fears that voters will once again prioritize politics over policy.

“People who don’t believe in compromise at all I guess have never had a family, have never run a business. It’s only in politics where you’re not supposed to compromise ever,” Bramnick said. “Not compromising ever is a great thing for a primary. It’s not a great way to govern.”

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at dracioppi@politico.com or on Twitter at @dracioppi.

 

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What'd I Miss?

— Biden to crack down on ‘junk’ health insurance: The Biden administration on Friday is expected to propose a new regulation cracking down on short-term health insurance plans, five Democrats with knowledge of the matter, who were granted anonymity to discuss the specifics of White House plans, told POLITICO. The long-awaited rule will curtail a Trump-era expansion of the skimpy health coverage, which Democrats and patient advocacy groups have criticized for undermining Obamacare and its broad protections for patients with pre-existing conditions.

— Marjorie Taylor Greene booted out of Freedom Caucus, member says: A member of the House Freedom Caucus today confirmed that the conservative group has voted to boot Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.). “A vote was taken to remove Marjorie Taylor Greene from the House Freedom Caucus for some of the things she’s done,” said Rep. Andy Harris (R-Md.). The Maryland Republican declined to say how he voted, but called the decision to remove her “an appropriate action.” Pressed if that meant Greene is formally out, Harris, who noted he is on the group’s board, added: “As far as I know, that is the way it is.”

— Trump valet Walt Nauta pleads not guilty in classified documents case: Donald Trump’s valet pleaded not guilty today to charges that he helped the former president hide classified documents from federal authorities, appearing with a new Florida-based lawyer to represent him as the case moves forward. Walt Nauta was charged alongside Trump in June in a 38-count indictment alleging the mishandling of classified documents. His arraignment was to have happened twice before, but he had struggled to retain a lawyer licensed in Florida and one appearance was postponed because of his travel troubles.

Nightly Road to 2024

WHAT MIGHT HAVE BEEN — At the very moment last month that images of President Joe Biden falling on stage at the Air Force Academy’s commencement rocketed around the internet, Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer was reminding her state’s business executives and political leaders about what could have been.

Speaking at the Detroit Regional Chamber’s annual conference on this resort island, Whitmer won repeated applause from the centrist crowd by reciting the fruits of her party’s so-called trifecta in Lansing, POLITICO writes.

She ruled out running for president next year even if Biden forgoes reelection, but allowed a resounding “maybe” to pursuing the White House down the road.

Democrats in Michigan’s congressional delegation have pleaded with Whitmer to run, I’m told by officials familiar with the conversations, and the lawmakers have themselves been nudged by colleagues from other states to push her. Notably, that roster of congressional Democrats from other states eager for a Whitmer bid included members of the Congressional Black Caucus.

These backstage conversations have taken place as Biden’s approval ratings show little sign of improvement and increasingly appear impervious to external events, for good or ill. Of course, Democrats are betting that the most significant external event of all — Republicans renominating a candidate with more baggage than O’Hare at Thanksgiving — will tip the election again to Biden.

LOYALTY TEST — Gov. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump are finding that the price to make the 2024 Florida primary ballot is going up, reports POLITICO.

All GOP candidates will have to pledge their loyalty to the eventual Republican nominee to make the March 19 primary, a contest that could tip the balance of the crowded race since Florida’s contest is a winner-take-all primary. The new oath, which includes a promise to “endorse” the GOP nominee and requires a candidate to pledge not to run as an independent or third-party candidate, mirrors language adopted by the Republican National Committee for its first debate.

POLITICAL BOSS — Hours after Marianne Williamson announced the hiring of her third campaign manager in five months, six staffers left her team through a round of firings and resignations.

The departures came primarily over a fight about Williamson’s ballot access operations, or lack thereof, POLITICO reports. The campaign’s entire three-person South Carolina operation, which had been led by Marcurius Byrd, resigned, according to four people with knowledge of the campaign’s operations and team discussions, granted anonymity to discuss internal dynamics. In addition, Carlos Cardona, who was recently promoted to head the campaign after serving as New Hampshire state director, fired two national field directors and a member of Williamson’s New Hampshire team, according to those same people.

AROUND THE WORLD

Smoke billows from the Donnie Creek wildfire burning north of Fort St. John in British Columbia, Canada on July 2.

Smoke billows from the Donnie Creek wildfire burning north of Fort St. John in British Columbia, Canada on July 2. | Noah Berger/AP Photo

SO HOT YOU’RE HURTING MY FEELINGS — Canada’s 2023 wildfire season is unprecedented by many measures — but this is just the start, write Sue Allan and Nick Taylor-Vaisey.

“It’s no understatement to say that the 2023 fire season is — and will continue to be — record-breaking,” Michael Norton, director of the Northern Forestry Centre with the Canadian Forest Service at NRCan, said Thursday during a technical briefing on the unfolding crisis.

There are 639 active fires across Canada, 351 of which are out of control, Norton said. “The total area burned now exceeds any year on record.”

An unparalleled number of people have also been displaced, with Indigenous communities particularly hit, in a national crisis that has spurred major international outreach and concern, in part due to smoke wafting across borders and the Atlantic.

Natural Resources Canada said it expects drought and above-normal temperatures to contribute to higher-than-normal fire activity through the summer. El Niño may exacerbate conditions, especially in northern Canada, Norton added.

Asked if wildfire smoke will continue to trigger air quality warnings in the U.S. and beyond, meteorologist Armel Castellan told reporters that modeling is tricky in a chaotic environment.

“The smoke goes both in the lower part of the atmosphere and higher up into the highway of the atmosphere where it can transport across oceans and right all the way down to, of course, the eastern seaboard, New England, parts of the United States,” he said. “We saw our same smoke make its way to England, Portugal, Spain.”

DOING A 180 — From national hero to drug-addled, bewigged zero: the Kremlin’s propaganda machine has turned against Wagner Group founder Yevgeny Prigozhin, writes Zoya Sheftalovich.

In a sensational report on state-run Rossiya-1’s “60 Minutes” program on Wednesday evening, the Kremlin’s propaganda attack dogs played footage of what they claimed was a raid of Prigozhin’s mansion and offices, showing cash, guns, drugs, a helicopter, multiple (Russian) passports — and a closet full of terrible wigs.

“The investigation is continuing,” said pundit Eduard Petrov at the top of the program, referring to the probe into the mutiny led by Prigozhin last month, during which the leader of the Wagner Group of mercenaries marched his men to within 200 kilometers of Moscow in a bid to oust the country’s military leadership. “In reality, no one planned to close this case,” he added.

It was an open declaration of war on Prigozhin, and came after Russian President Vladimir Putin and his aides issued improbable assurances that the criminal case into those who had organized the mutiny would be dropped if the warlord and his Wagnerites agreed to either disarm, sign contracts with the Russian defense ministry, or leave for Belarus. This morning, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, who ostensibly negotiated the exile agreement with Prigozhin and Putin, told state media the warlord was not in the country.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president’s ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 
Nightly Number

5,000

The number of unique donors Republican presidential candidate Asa Hutchinson currently says he has, well short of the 40,000 needed to qualify for Republican debates. The former Arkansas governor has positioned himself as a moderate in a crowded, qualified GOP candidate pool, vocally opposing former President Donald Trump amid his slew of investigations and legal woes.

RADAR SWEEP

THE NEWEST BIRD APP — For years, a significant chunk of Twitter’s user base has been looking for an alternative that serves a similar function — first largely due to complaints about censorship of free speech and then because of Elon Musk’s acquisition of the platform in October of last year. That brought with it some increased technical difficulties, as well as continued frustration about the politics and functionality of the site. Now, after a lot of different sorts of tries, the platform seems to have its first real rival. Threads, produced by Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta, has already been downloaded by tens of millions of people since it launched Wednesday — a well-timed market correction given some of Twitter’s technical difficulties this week. Can Threads finally be the thing to displace Twitter? Amanda Hoover explains how it could be possible for Wired.

Parting Video

A video of former Vice President Mike Pence speaking to a Trump voter.

WATCH — A Trump supporter in Iowa confronts former Vice President Mike Pence over his rejection of Donald Trump’s call to overturn Joe Biden’s election.

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