Tuesday, January 31, 2023

😶Recession Signs Continue – Trade Accordingly

Good morning. Markets are set to close out a strong month – in sharp contrast to last year's...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Markets are set to close out a strong month – in sharp contrast to last year's performance. While there's a saying that as January goes, so goes the year, this may simply be the latest market bounce higher. The Fed is meeting today, and interest rates will likely continue to rise. The Treasury yield curve remains deeply inverted.

Other data points warn as well. Factory activity as noted by the Dallas branch of the Fed has dropped for its 9th straight month. Gas prices are trending up, and diesel fuel has remained high over the past year. These are all signs that the market may face another downturn in the coming weeks, and that investors should continue to look for downside opportunities.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 33,717.09 -0.77%
S&P 4,017.77 -1.30%
NASDAQ 11,393.81 -1.96%
*As of market close
Markets sank on Monday, ahead of a data-heavy week.
Oil dropped 2.4 percent, closing at $77.81 per barrel.
Gold dipped 0.4 percent, going for $1,938 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded lower, with Bitcoin at $22,719 at the market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
This Household Name Has A Better Future Trend Than Its Biggest Competitor
Many industries tend to have a few big players. There will likely be a single player that dominates the industry. But things can change. And underdog companies looking to catchup to the big dog can potentially deliver better returns while doing so.

That can come about from a better product or service mix, better customer service, or a way to improve profitability during an economic downturn.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Banc of California (BANC)
Andrew Barker, a director at the Banc of California (BANC), recently bought 48,435 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 50 percent, and came to a total cost just over $800,800.

This insider was also the most recent buyer with a 12,900 share pickup back in February 2022. The company President and CEO also picked up about $100,000 worth of BANC shares at the time as well. There have been no insider sales over the past three years.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: QuantumScape (QS)
Shares of battery technology company QuantumScape (QS) have lost over 40 percent of their value in the past year, although shares have recently bounced more than 50 percent higher off their lows. One trader sees a further decline ahead.

That's based on the March $9 puts. With 44 days until expiration, 13,951 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 259, for a 54-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $1.42.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Treasury Yields Rise Before Fed Meeting This Week

Yields on US Treasury bonds inched higher on Monday, ahead of the Federal Reserve's first meeting of the year on Tuesday. 10-year yields rose over 3.5 percent, and two-year yields went for 4.25 percent, a sign that investors expect a modest rate hike again this week, and a sign of the inversion in the Treasury market.
Banks Add to Loan Loss Reserves

Bank earnings have revealed that many institutions are preparing for a recession by increasing their loss reserves. Banks have also started to tighten lending standards, even as many banks have performed well this earnings season as customers have continued to borrow.
Norway Discovers Substantial Resources on Seabed

A study in Norway has found substantial amounts of metals and minerals, including copper and rare earth elements, on the seabed of the country's continental shelf. That adds to the energy resources that the country has already developed offshore in the past few decades.
Ford Cuts Prices on EV Models

Ford Motors (F) is cutting prices on its electric Mustang and Mach E. The move comes as Tesla Motors (TSLA) cut prices on its vehicles. This could be the start of a wider price war in the automotive space, as companies look to grow market share by any means necessary.
Marqueta Acquires Power Finance

Marqueta (MQ) has agreed to purchase fintech infrastructure company Power Finance for $223 million in cash. This marks the first acquisition for Marqueta in 13 years of business. Power Finance was created two years ago, and raised $16.1 million in seed capital in 2021.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
CINF  5.634%
GEHC  2.669%
ORLY 2.477%
BEN 2.474%
AZO 2.299%
BOTTOM
JD 5.797%
TSLA 5.663%
NVDA 5.463%
TCOM 4.821%
FSLR 4.567%

Quote of the Day
We're putting the final touches on an extremely strong January on the heels of lower inflation, and an economy that's hanging in there. We're not out of the woods though. We've still got the Fed… and they might want to throw some water on this rally.
- Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, on why investors may want to be cautious after the market has rallied for the first four weeks of 2023, especially ahead of a Fed meeting.

Sponsored Content
7 Figures Each of the Last 3 Years (Do I Have Your Attention Yet?)
You've never seen a 7-figure trading strategy work so well, so fast.

In our most recent test, we produced a stunning new record:

As much as $1.17 million – in our best time yet: just 8 months.

(Prior to that: as much as $1.04 mil after only 9 months... and before that another cool mil in just 9 months.)

But here's the thing. We haven't released the finished product to the broader investing public.

Even after three straight wildly successful years – including a tumultuous 2022...

Each Test has revealed new ways to make more money, faster.

So we've put together a new presentation, to show how the program's firing on all cylinders – and how it could add a fresh 7 figures to your 2023 trading account.

Click here for details and proof.

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