Ronna McDaniel is set to glide to a fourth term as chair of the RNC next month — an unprecedented vote of confidence for a leader who has thus far failed to preside over a single positive election cycle. Why it matters: With a civil war engulfing the GOP ahead of the 2024 presidential election, the RNC's membership is doubling down on a Trump-allied chair with serious fundraising prowess — but a dismal record when it comes to winning, Axios' Alayna Treene writes. The big picture: Since McDaniel's election in 2017, the party has suffered through a Democratic landslide in 2018, former President Trump's defeat and a Democratic Senate takeover in 2020, and a "red wave" that failed to materialize in 2022. - The Texas GOP's executive committee voted unanimously this weekend to call for McDaniel to be replaced as RNC chair but did not endorse a challenger.
- "If she were an SEC football coach, she would have been out a long time ago," conservative commentator Erick Erickson told Axios.
What's happening: Despite these intensifying calls for GOP recriminations, more than 100 of the RNC's 168 members sent a letter last month expressing support for McDaniel and praising her for making the RNC "a stronger and more effective force for our cause." - Even after Republicans' final loss in the Georgia Senate runoff and new challenges to McDaniel announced by other pro-Trump figures, none of the letter's signatories have publicly changed their position.
- Instead, the letter was re-circulated earlier this month with a handful of additional endorsers, McDaniel spokesperson Emma Vaughn told Axios, making it clear she still has the 85 votes necessary to prevail.
- "Just like the RNC, Chairwoman McDaniel's decision to run for re-election was member driven," Vaughn said.
The intrigue: McDaniel's campaign has stressed the RNC's commitment to neutrality in presidential primaries, but Republicans have questioned whether she will be able to appear impartial on the 2024 field given her ties to Trump, who helped install her as RNC chair in 2017. - "I don't like this," McDaniel said on "Fox Business" today when pressed on whether Trump bears responsibility for the GOP's midterm performance. "I'm not into the blame game right now."
Reality check: The RNC's 168 members aren't representative of the broader GOP — or even conservative public opinion, Axios' Josh Kraushaar writes. - Winning the RNC chairmanship is about catering to the interests and whims of at least 85 members — all of whom have agendas that go beyond simply advancing the interests of the Republican Party.
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