😟Is Disinflation Here?

Good morning. The economy has been in the grip of inflation for some time. But with year-over...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. The economy has been in the grip of inflation for some time. But with year-over-year numbers starting to come down, it may be an early sign that rapidly-rising interest rates are starting to have their effect. Add in a slow economy overall, and you may have a form of "disinflation." The latest sign? The housing market. US home prices dropped for the third straight month, based on data ending for September. The move has come as rising mortgage rates have hit affordability. The three-month decline is the largest since 2012, near the bottom of the washout from the real estate bubble. Those looking to buy a home can likely see further price declines in the months ahead, and stocks related to housing may continue to trend lower, even if the rest of the market starts to move higher. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content Trade Swiftly, Patiently and Confidently with A.I. Trading can feel like a rat race out there…especially during this time of Q4. Do you slow down, or speed up? That is NOT the question you should be asking yourself. The crucial trait you need is focus. But focusing like a Navy Seal sniper means nothing if you're not using the best tools at your disposal. The artificial intelligence analyzes millions of data points each day, (for more than a human could). It then provides a minimum of 4 points of confirmation for your trades. Make it your goal to focus on the information that matters, and in this Free Live A.I. Training I'll teach you exactly how. No replays. Limited capacity. Less guessing. More Predicting. SAVE YOUR SEAT HERE >> MARKETS DOW 33,852.53 +0.01% S&P 3,957.63 -0.16% NASDAQ 10,983.78 -0.59% *As of market close • Stocks traded mixed on Tuesday, with the Dow just barely inching higher. • Oil rose 1.5 percent, closing at $78.42 per barrel. • Gold rose 0.4 percent, hitting $1,762 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies traded higher, with Bitcoin last going for $16,493 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS This Holiday Season, look for the Retailers That Don't Need a Bargain Black Friday and Cyber Monday have come and gone. It's likely that the biggest bargains in retail for the holiday season have already been made. Sales appear to be higher, but adjusted for inflation, overall volumes may be lower. One way traders can wade through the opportunities in retail in the coming weeks is to look for companies that didn't have excess inventory to clear, or needed to resort to massive discounts this holiday season. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Ryan Specialty Holdings (RYAN) Patrick Ryan, CEO and major owner at Ryan Specialty Holdings (RYAN), recently added 285,058 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 2.2 percent, and came to a total cost of just over $11 million. In total, Ryan has bought shares on seven occasions in the past month. A company director also joined in with a 29,474 share buy, totaling just under $805,000. The last insider sale at Ryan Specialty Holdings occurred back in September. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: Burlington Stores (BURL) Shares of apparel chain Burlington Stores (BURL) are down about 33 percent in the past year. One trader sees a further decline ahead for shares. That's based on the March 2023 $150 put. With 106 days until expiration, 3,233 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 110, for a 29-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $7.55 to make the bearish bet. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Yield Curve Inversion Increases Yields on long-term US Treasuries have fallen further than shorter-term bonds to their highest gap in decades. Typically, rates are positive over time, with longer-dated bonds having higher yields than shorter ones. This inverted yield indicates the strong possibility of a recession ahead, which in turn is likely to cause monetary policy to ease. • Biden Asks Congress to Help Avert Rail Strike Railroad and the labor unions representing rail workers have until December 9th to come to an agreement to avoid a strike. The Biden administration has asked Congress to step in to help deter a strike, as a strike could lead a stoppage of freight shipments nationwide. • Bank of America CEO Sees Two Years of Pain for Housing Market Brian Moynihan, CEO of Bank of America (BAC) sees two years of pain ahead for the housing market, although he largely expects there to be a brief and mild recession. The housing market will be tougher given the sharp rise in mortgage rates so far this year, which are likely to move even higher as interest rates continue to increase. • Lordstown Motors Ships First EV Pickup Trucks Electric vehicle manufacturer Lordstown Motors (RIDE) has started shipping its first pickup trucks. Manufactured by Foxconn, the full-size pickup trucks achieve a milestone for the company, which has faced a number of issues getting a working truck to market. • Cathie Wood Still Sees $1 Million Bitcoin by 2030 Tech investor Cathie Wood has reiterated her view that cryptocurrency bitcoin will hit $1 million by 2030. The collapse of leveraged crypto brokers like FTX can play a role in the move higher, as it increases focus on the decentralized role that cryptocurrencies offer without the need for third parties like brokerages. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP JD  7.203% BIDU  5.785% CE 4.992% CCL 4.667% MAC 4.56% BOTTOM MELI 4.166% ILMN 3.813% AAPL 2.517% AAP 2.516% PYPL 2.502% Quote of the Day When you look at Apple not being able to fulfill the orders for their iPhone because the factories in China are shut down, I think that's a perfect example of how something in one country can affect somewhere else. It just has a ripple effect through the global economy when you have something as large as the Chinese economy shutting down. - Victoria Fernandez, chief market strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, on China's harsh Covid lockdown policy, and the rising protests against that harsh policy Sponsored Content Make more Trade Predictions like THIS! Rather than review analysis of 12-month price forecasts and the whole 9 yards, sometimes your best opportunities are standing directly in front of you. And with artificial intelligence, future trends can be spotted in a snap 1 - 3 days in advance with up to 87.4% proven accuracy. The best part is that it doesn't matter if the bears come roaring in, because VantagePoint will empower you to make confident trades both directions. You've got to see this in action today. It will have you doubting all the methods you've used to make trades. We'll run through it for 1 hour in our upcoming Live Free Training with our A.I. Pro Trader. 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