Monday, September 19, 2022

UNGA in the shadow of Russia and the Queen

A newsletter from POLITICO that unpacks essential global news, trends, and decisions.
Sep 19, 2022 View in browser
 
POLITICO Global Insider

By Ryan Heath and Suzanne Lynch

Follow Ryan on Twitter

Hello from New York and welcome to this year's edition of POLITICO's U.N. General Assembly newsletter! 

This week Global Insider will publish daily, with Suzanne Lynch as co-author. The Global Insider podcast is also back with daily episodes starting Tuesday.

For all our readers not in town, we can report that it's shaping up to be a great day in Manhattan and the city is looking glorious. Things are relatively quiet around U.N. headquarters, though, where 104 heads of state, 53 heads of government and around 40 lower level ministers are expected this week.

Many of the great and the good are still in London at the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II. They're expected to jet out of the U.K. later today with some arriving in New York tonight, though U.S. President Joe Biden will first return to Washington tonight before flying up for his address on Wednesday. The U.N. also voted to give Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy a special dispensation to address the assembly virtually by prerecorded videolink.

Outside of U.N. HQ, there's plenty going on. The parties and nightcaps got underway Sunday night — and we'll be sure to let you know how tonight's Microdose Psychedelic Insights cocktail at the Concordia summit goes.

POLITICO looks here at how UNGA has transformed in recent years into a global festival of ideas — but here's the tough question: is this richer conversation doing anything to get the world closer to meeting the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals? The jury's out.

An increasing number of nonprofits and U.N. agencies have been hosting side events ahead of this week's assembly programming, including a three-day Transforming Education Summit that wraps up today.

POLITICO's international team of reporters — including journalists embedded with major world leaders flying into New York — will be here to keep you up to speed on what's happening.

 

The Concordia Annual Summit is the leading nonpartisan forum alongside UNGA, and this year's gathering is taking place September 19-21 in New York City. Providing an essential platform to bring together leaders and decision-makers from across sectors in a spirit of inclusivity and nonpartisanship, the Summit will hear from US First Lady Jill Biden, Bank of America Vice Chair Anne M. Finucane, New York Mayor Eric Adams, World Bank Group President David Malpass, and Actor Goldie Hawn, among others (view the  agenda). Concordia is pleased to offer POLITICO readers 20% off the General Access Pass. Sign up here!

 
 

Flags from different countries are seen outside the United Nations headquarters.

Flags fly outside the United Nations headquarters in New York City. | Jennifer Peltz, File

WHY THIS UNGA IS DIFFERENT 

MOSCOW'S MEDDLING AND A FUNERAL: UNGA is traditionally the biggest diplomatic occasion of the calendar year — the sheer number of countries represented means this is a truly global event. The queen's funeral outranks it: As the diplomatic occasion of the 21st century, Britain's change of monarch is a reminder of the U.N.'s limitations.

This year, the big difference is Russia: A permanent member of the U.N. Security Council is responsible for an enormous breach of the international order. A year ago, no one would have expected a full-scale war on the European continent, but here we are …

As a senior U.S. State Department official put it ahead of kickoff: "Obviously we don't view this year's General Assembly as business as usual. Russia's unprovoked, ongoing assault on Ukraine raises serious questions about its commitment to diplomacy, the U.N. Charter, and the territorial integrity of nations."

Other top discussions this week — retooling energy systems and food security — are inseparable from Russia's actions, but the longer-term outcomes could turn positive by forcing more resilience into these systems.

Africa is where it all intersects: Politically, the region where the queen's death and Russia's war meet is Africa. The queen's passing eases the way for new debates on the legacy of colonialism: That history helps explain why African countries are skeptical of joining Western countries in their full-throated calls for solidarity with Ukraine and response to Russia.

If this was the G-7 or G-20, those dynamics could be overlooked, but at UNGA — where more than a quarter of members, and the majority of those who suffer most from global health, food and climate crises are from Africa — that's not possible.

Some ( including Biden) may also see this as arguably the first post-pandemic UNGA after two years of hybrid summits (though try telling that to Beijing or most African capitals). But those suffering from long Covid aren't the only ones still feeling the side effects: Journalist access remains highly restricted — for no obvious benefit to any party.

WHO'S IN AND OUT 

Sergey Lavrov speaks at an event.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov speaks to foreign ambassadors to Moscow ahead of his trip to the United Nations' General Assembly on Sept. 19. | Alexander Zemlianichenko, Pool

ROLL CALL: U.S. President Joe Biden, Britain's Liz Truss, Brazil's Jair Bolsonaro, Germany's Olaf Scholz, France's Emmanuel Macron and Japan's Fumio Kishida are some of the big-name government leaders, but let's face it — the list of A-list politicians attending is unrivaled by any other global event. NATO's Jens Stoltenberg is also in town until Friday. Four of the European Union's top officials will be attending: European Council President Charles Michel, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, the bloc's chief diplomat Josep Borrell and Executive Vice President Frans Timmermans. Russia is sending Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.

Royal watch: Queen Máxima and Princess Mabel (Netherlands), Prince William (U.K.) and Princess Mary (Denmark) will be here.

Never coming: Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy — at least, not in person: The General Assembly voted Friday to allow Zelenskyy a prerecorded speech, to be broadcast Wednesday.

No longer coming: Sweden's Magdalena Andersson, who's stepping down after losing an election earlier this month, will be replaced by her foreign minister, Ann Linde. The Russian delegation has struggled to get visas approved.

Better things to do: Barack Obama — he's instead attending L'ATTITUDE, a Latino business event in San Diego, along with Lin-Manuel Miranda and Gloria Estefan.

Happening Today

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING

The real action during UNGA week typically begins on Tuesday each year when the leaders of the United States and Brazil — which traditionally opens proceedings — deliver their speeches. This year the format has changed because (yes, you guessed it) of the queen's funeral, with Biden now speaking Wednesday.

There's plenty to keep us busy today though:

Transforming Education Summit , set to highlight the impacts of Covid shutdowns, including shifts to remote and hybrid learning, with the full picture is only just emerging.

U.N. SDG Moment: While last year the stars were Korean pop group BTS, this year U.N. boss António Guterres is framing the big SDG Moment on sustainable development goals as a "Summit of the Future," which will produce a "Pact for the Future." 8.30 a.m. to 10.00 a.m.

Concordia Summit: Livestream from 9 a.m. Speakers today include New York Mayor Eric Adams, and your newsletter scribe Ryan Heath is moderating a session on strengthening supply chains from 9:35 a.m. There's also a Faith and Media initiative, plus the Hologic Global Women's Health Index.

Unstoppable Africa, hosted by the Global Africa Business Initiative. Livestream from 9 a.m.

Seventh Replenishment Conference on the Global Fund to fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria.

— Meeting of EU foreign ministers, 4p.m. to 6 p.m.

Clinton Global Initiative.

Climate Week NYC  

Goals House, at Tavern on the Green.

Atlantic Council's black tie Global Citizen Awards.

 

On Wednesday, September 21, the McCourt Institute will host an exclusive event in NYC on "The Future of Digital Governance," to positively shape the next digital era and anticipate how tech will be regulated in the Web3 generation. It is part of the Unfinished Live festival and will feature transatlantic policymakers, academics, and other experts including Cedric O, Stefan Berger, Camille Canon, Jeremy West, Primavera de Filippi, Eric Salobir, POLITICO's Mark Scott and others for discussions on digital governance, the decentralized web, competition, privacy, content and more. Tune into the live stream beginning at 1:00 pm EST on September 21 on the McCourt Institute's website.

 
 

INSIDE SCOOP ON THIS YEAR'S SIDE EVENTS LINEUP

COMPETING HONORS: There's a scramble to "honor" various big names this week with multiple events taking place across the city. In the financial district tonight, the Atlantic Council is commemorating assassinated former Japanese PM Shinzo Abe.

Outgoing Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi will also be recognized at the 57th Appeal of Conscience Annual Awards Dinner

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and U.N. Secretary-General Guterres will be celebrated for their role on a deal allowing grain exports out of Ukraine's Black Sea ports by the American Academy of Achievement and the Global Hope Coalition. Meanwhile, French President Emmanuel Macron will meet Guterres for dinner tonight.

ALL YOU CAN EAT BUFFET OF SIDE SUMMITS

The Clinton Global Initiative is back at UNGA after shutting down in 2017, but the events landscape here has changed dramatically since then.

The CGI has bagged Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who will be speaking to former U.S. President Bill Clinton about refugees at the Tuesday morning plenary session — a signal from CGI that they're coming back with a bang.

Why this matters: CGI used to be the blockbuster side event rallying governments and corporations to solve global challenges. Today, the challenges have spiraled out of control and the event itself is forced to compete head-to-head with the three-day Concordia Summit, which will close out with two people who seem like a perfect CGI fit: former British PM Tony Blair, and Washington's first lady Jill Biden.

Also competing on this landscape are the five-day Goals House (which headed back to Tavern on the Green in Central Park); a tech conference with 2,500 participants called Unfinished Live at The Shed from Wednesday to Friday; and NYC Climate Week, which features much of its programming at the Javits Center's green roof, from Wednesday to Thursday.

The organizers of the Bloomberg Global Business Forum — which served as a proxy for CGI during its absence — have seen the writing on the wall in this very crowded space, and switched to a pared-back program on Wednesday only, showcasing Prince William's Earthshot Prize.

The buzz and the bereavement: While the prince really is committed to climate action, his visit was also designed as a hedge against the publicity his brother Harry was expected to ignite around his forthcoming book, but the queen's death has put that on hold, changing the entire dynamic.

The Leaders on Purpose CEO Summit takes place Thursday at the Javits Center in partnership with diplomacy champions from the Meridian Center.

THE INSIDER VIEW

Ryan sat down with some thought-leaders ahead of this year's UNGA, Here's what David Miliband, CEO of the International Rescue Committee, had to say.

"There are 345 million people in acute hunger. That is a symptom of a disordered, and undermanaged world. The challenge for UNGA is to point a route towards order," Miliband said.

Given we're not going back to an era of empires or to a unipolar world, Miliband said: "The challenge is to carve space for global cooperation amid greater competition between states. That applies to the climate, to pandemics, to food security."

He added: "It's not autocracy versus democracy, it's order versus impunity. The stakes are high."

But "UNGA has become a plurilateral gabfest" and that isn't a solution to these challenges," he said.

"Let's not lose sight of the legitimacy and authority and responsibility that attaches to nations. If the multilateral system doesn't work, everything else is compensating for that."

At the same time, Miliband said "the imperative of solution-making can't be limited to governments. Because governments can fail, and in that case others need to step in."

"At the moment we are getting towards a system failure. Time is not on our side for some of these problems."

TOP UNGA SURVIVAL TIPS

POLITICO recommends ...

Cushion inserts for your shoes ...

Sunscreen — it's hot out there!

Electrolyte sachets, for adding to any water you can get your hands on ...

— An out-of-office reply: You aren't going to respond to everyone in real time ...

— Hanging all your badges and passes on the same coat hook at end of the day.

The most common recommendation we saw from tips sent by POLITICO readers was to download a meditation app on your phone for 5-minute breaks — when or if you can get them. Here's the best of the rest:

Kereeta Whyte, Barbados' deputy U.N. ambassador, said to bring a phone charger and/or battery pack. Also nutrition bars.

Strategist Lauren Dobson-Hughes suggests "those comfy Kate Middleton trainers that look fancy enough for meetings." Also masks.

Richard Gowan, head of the Crisis Group's advocacy work at the U.N., recommended cynicism and a decent gin.

Bidjan Nashat , CEO at Atlas Corps, said to switch to decaf to make sure you don't OD on caffeine after the 15th coffee meeting.

Brianna Fitzpatrick from Caritas Internationalis prescribed Band-Aids for blisters and color-coded calendars for priority setting.

BACKGROUND MUSIC 

Here's some suggested reading to get you in that UNGA mood: 

World Bank sees rising risk of global recession in 2023

Germany seizes Russia's share in three oil refineries

America promises consequences for any "unconventional" Russian weapons

China wants to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027

What to expect in the general assembly hall

AP's explainer on the U.N. General Assembly

Ten Challenges for the U.N. in 2022-2023, by International Crisis Group

QUOTABLE

Former U.S. President Bill Clinton: The U.S. did not do enough to help the world's poor catch up.

ONE FUN THING

The ultimate UNGA quiz , from PassBlue 

Thanks to editor Emma Anderson, Ben Pauker and James Randerson.

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