Sunday, August 28, 2022

Who’s reading the Mar-a-Lago docs — and who’s about to

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POLITICO Playbook

By Eli Okun

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FILE - Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines testifies during a Senate Armed Services hearing to examine worldwide threats on Capitol Hill in Washington, May 10, 2022. Haines told lawmakers recently that intelligence officials will review how they assess a foreign government's will to fight and capacity to fight. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana, File)

DNI Avril Haines said the intelligence community will examine potential national security ramifications from the documents Donald Trump took to Mar-a-Lago. | Jose Luis Magana, File/AP Photo

DRIVING THE DAY

The revelations keep coming about what may be in the documents the FBI retrieved from DONALD TRUMP's Mar-a-Lago earlier this month — and new developments this weekend preview where the inquiries may be headed next. Here's the latest:

— The intel community: DNI AVRIL HAINES told congressional committee chairs in a letter Friday that the intelligence community will examine potential national security ramifications from the top-secret documents Trump took to his Florida residence, Andrew Desiderio and Nick Wu scooped Saturday. The investigation is expected to dive into whether anybody was able to access the classified information who wasn't authorized to do so.

Haines' office and the Justice Department are completing a "classification review" of the materials, separately from DOJ's criminal probe, she wrote to House Oversight Chair CAROLYN MALONEY (D-N.Y.) and House Intelligence Chair ADAM SCHIFF (D-Calif.). She sent a similar letter to the Senate Intelligence leaders.

"The correspondence represents the Biden administration's first known engagement with Congress on the issue," Andrew and Nick write. "It's also the first known acknowledgment by the intelligence community of the potential harm caused by the missing documents."

— A special master: The other big news Saturday was an order from U.S. District Court Judge AILEEN CANNON, who signaled that she's likely to appoint a special master to independently oversee the handling of the materials, as Trump's team requested in a Friday filing. Cannon, a Trump appointee, didn't weigh in on the merits of the FBI's search or of Trump's claims about them.

What comes next: Cannon told DOJ to file a more in-depth inventory of what they took from Mar-a-Lago by Tuesday. She'll hold a hearing to determine whether to tap a special master on Thursday in West Palm Beach. More from the NYT Read the order

— The Archives: WaPo's Jacqueline Alemany, Isaac Arnsdorf and Josh Dawsey go deep on Trump's yearlong records battle with the National Archives, which has yielded a spate of recent threats against the agency after spilling into public view this month. The Archives' missives asking Trump to return government documents began while he was still in office, and his refusal to cooperate after an extended back and forth ultimately led the agency to make a referral to DOJ.

The former president tapped partisan allies to negotiate with the Archives, rather than the usual apolitical representatives — "yet another norm that Trump broke," they write. And the Archives is now grappling with the security fallout: On Friday, after Trump made false claims about BARACK OBAMA's records, local police had to increase security at an Archives outpost in Illinois.

Good Sunday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop me a line at eokun@politico.com, or reach out to the rest of the team: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza.

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STORY OF THE DAY — "Glory Days: In Michigan, Nostalgia For A Romanticized Past Outstrips The Reality of An Economic Rebirth," by Gavin Bade in Flint, Mich., for a POLITICO special report: "While incentives from Washington and state capitols have helped to jumpstart some factories, those jobs are not filling the social expectations — in health care, retirement, education and the like — that industrial employment set decades ago. Democratic leaders here fear that if they cannot revive some of those aspects of American social life through their spending plans in Congress, they'll lose the region to the populism of Republicans, just as in 2016."

POLL OF THE DAY — CBS' latest poll finds President JOE BIDEN's approval rating ticking up to 45%, in line with other surveys late last week. Its battleground tracker also predicts Republicans will flip the House, though with an increasingly small majority.

AROUND THE WORLD — "U.S. Warships Sail Taiwan Strait, Defying Chinese Pressure," NYT … "Iran Says Talks to Revive Nuclear Deal Extend Into September," Bloomberg … The head of Mossad will be in D.C. next week for talks about the Iran deal, per Axios' Barak Ravid.

SUNDAY BEST …

— Sen. ROY BLUNT (R-Mo.) on whether Trump should have taken the documents to Mar-a-Lago, on ABC's "This Week": "What I wonder about is why this could go on for almost two years, and less than 100 days before the election suddenly we're talking about this rather than the economy … I understand he turned over a lot of documents. He should have turned over all of them. I imagine he knows that very well now as well."

— Sen. ELIZABETH WARREN (D-Mass.) on the Fed doubling down on fighting inflation, on "State of the Union": "Do you know what's worse than high prices and a strong economy? It's high prices and millions of people out of work. I'm very worried that the Fed is going to tip this economy into recession."

— Rep. TIM RYAN (D-Ohio) on why he opposes Biden's student loan relief, on CNN's "State of the Union": "The cost of college is outrageous. But there's nothing in here to control that cost. And again, I think we can get a significant way down the road by allowing them to renegotiate down the interest rates … If it's part of a broader package, we can certainly talk about it … The general tax cut's the best way to go."

— NASA Administrator BILL NELSON on the Artemis test flight to the moon that's launching Monday, on NBC's "Meet the Press": "We test it, we stress it. We make this rocket and the spacecraft do things that we would never do with a human crew. The main purpose of the flight is to test the heat shield, because you can't test that in a lab. So if the heat shield survives and does what it is expected to do, it's a successful test. So then we're ready in two years."

 

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TOP-EDS: A roundup of the week's must-read opinion pieces, curated by Zack Stanton.

All politics …

Student loans … 

Abortion … 

Other policies … 

Big ideas … 

BIDEN'S SUNDAY — The president has nothing on his public schedule.

VP KAMALA HARRIS' SUNDAY — The VP will leave Los Angeles at 2:40 p.m. Eastern to travel to Orlando, Fla.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 

PHOTO OF THE DAY

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 27: Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States Oksana Markarova speaks during an event to celebrate the Independence Day of Ukraine at Lafayette Square near the White House on August 27, 2022 in Washington, DC. The event was held to mark the 31st Independence Day and six months after Russia's invasion of the country.  (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Ukrainian Ambassador Oksana Markarova speaks at a Ukrainian independence day celebration outside the White House on Saturday. | Alex Wong/Getty Images

PLAYBOOK READS

9 THINGS FOR YOUR RADAR

1. THE VIBE SHIFT: Could Democrats actually hold the House? The party is beginning to dream — and to act on that hope, pumping more money into going on offense, report WaPo's Annie Linskey and Michael Scherer. Though Dems acknowledge they're underdogs and are still investing in defending many of the seats they already hold, strategists have moved some incumbents out of the danger zone.

Republicans are still confident they'll flip the chamber. But if the GOP's margins are slim, they're bracing for governing headaches, CNN's Mel Zanona and Manu Raju report this morning. The House Freedom Caucus could play an outsize role in Minority Leader KEVIN McCARTHY's path to the speakership and his actions once he attains it. And some Republicans worry that they haven't sufficiently countered the Democratic momentum: "Roe caught Republicans off guard and we haven't used it to paint the left as extreme nor shown any sort of compassion on the issue," one GOP member of Congress says. "Republicans want to say, 'inflation,' as if that solves all our problems. It doesn't."

But, but, but: WaPo's Paul Kane takes a look at the history of parties thinking the momentum has suddenly swung their way just before a midterm election — and has some cold water for Democrats. KEN SPAIN and MEREDITH KELLY recall the respective moments in 2010 and 2018 when they feared their parties' predicted gains might wash out; neither did.

2. DEBT RELIEF BLOWBACK: Republican state attorneys general and conservative groups are plotting how best to challenge Biden's student debt relief plan in court, the Washington Examiner's Zachary Halaschak and Kaelan Deese report this morning. Americans for Tax Reform's GROVER NORQUIST is looking to work with think tanks to build an argument that only Congress could constitutionally take such action. Missouri AG ERIC SCHMITT and West Virginia AG PATRICK MORRISEY are exploring options. And the Job Creators Network is seeking plaintiffs with standing.

3. FROM 30,000 FEET: "Biden's Big Dreams Meet the Limits of 'Imperfect' Tools," by NYT's Jim Tankersley: "Experts warn that schools could easily game the new structure Mr. Biden has created for higher education financing, cranking up prices and encouraging students to load up on debt with the expectation that it will never need to be paid in full. It is the latest example, along with energy and health care, of Democrats in Washington seeking to address the nation's most pressing economic challenges by practicing the art of the possible — and ending up with imperfect solutions."

4. BATTLE FOR THE SENATE: A big challenge for Wisconsin Lt. Gov. MANDELA BARNES' Democratic Senate campaign is whether he can drive Black turnout higher in Milwaukee and Madison, where it's been dropping in recent years, NBC's Adam Edelman reports. Democrats are investing in voter outreach, community leader engagement and a ground game — Souls to the Polls Wisconsin, for one, has set a goal of 200,000 door knocks, higher than past years. But activists warn that Barnes' race won't be enough to get Black people to vote for him, and GOP Sen. RON JOHNSON is targeting the community, too.

 

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5. GEORGIA ON MY MIND: Having done the impossible in 2020, Georgia Democrats are trying to repeat history in November by embracing their record and hammering Republicans, AP's Bill Barrow and Jeff Amy report. But STACEY ABRAMS, Sen. RAPHAEL WARNOCK and other Dem candidates are weighed down by an unpopular party brand. They're hoping to keep turnout levels high and avoid January runoffs. Abrams, for one, is campaigning a lot in rural, white areas where Democrats have lost ground in recent decades.

— Abrams is also looking to use the fight over abortion rights to rally women and liberal voters behind her, Georgia Public Broadcasting's Riley Bunch reports.

6. WILD STORY: "Motorist charged with threatening Utah Senate candidate with gun," by CNN's Jim Acosta: "[EVAN] McMULLIN accused the motorist, JACK AARON WHELCHEL, of making unprovoked threats that included forcing the couple's car into oncoming traffic, before aiming a firearm in a threatening manner [in the April incident]. … Whelchel's attorney, BRIXTON HAKES , said his client disputes McMullin's version of events … McMullin pointed to Whelchel's social media presence, which he said included accusations against politicians he opposes and about 'guns being the tools with which to carry on this war against those he opposes politically.'"

7. SUNSHINE STATE LATEST: Newly crowned the Florida Democratic gubernatorial nominee, Rep. CHARLIE CRIST on Saturday tapped KARLA HERNÁNDEZ-MATS as his running mate, as CBS Miami's Jim DeFede scooped. Hernández-Mats is the head of the Miami-Dade County teachers union, and her selection signals Crist's intention to take the fight to Gov. RON DeSANTIS on education, an arena where the incumbent has steamrolled. "Are you tired of the culture wars and the extremists that are dictating what we can say and do?" Hernández-Mats said in a preview of Dems' efforts to flip the script. But Republicans quickly attacked her for her advocacy for masks in schools.

— Crist faces an uphill battle: After making it through a contentious primary, he has little money on hand — compared to DeSantis' $132 million war chest, CNN's Steve Contorno reports. And Democratic donors have gotten gun-shy in the state. The Democratic Governors Association isn't expected to make big investments. "I don't know what I'm going to do," says donor JOHN MORGAN. "I think Charlie has a very, very tough road to hoe. And I've pissed money away before."

8. SOCIAL INSECURITY: Certain Republicans this year, including Wisconsin's Johnson and Arizona's BLAKE MASTERS, have been willing to touch the "third rail" of talking about entitlement reform — and Democrats are wasting no time in going on the attack, NBC's Sahil Kapur reports. Some in the GOP view changes to Social Security and Medicare as financially prudent and necessary in the long term. But "Democratic strategists have long viewed conservative calls for cutting the program as electoral dynamite, mainly with older voters."

9. WARNING SIGNS: "How a Major COVID Relapse Could Soon Hit America — and the World," by The Daily Beast's David Axe: "With the impending end of government funding, Americans would have to start paying for their own COVID shots. … Another likely victim is COVAX, the international vaccine consortium that buys jabs for poorer countries. … Finally, an erosion of federal funding could delay or even kill off efforts to develop new, universal coronavirus vaccines that could work against current and future variants. … Politics are to blame for the coming cash crunch."

 

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PLAYBOOKERS

Glenn Youngkin showed off his dance moves at a rally for Tudor Dixon in Michigan.

Pete Buttigieg penned a lengthy reflection on one year of parenthood with Chasten: "[Y]ou go from someone absorbed in your own worries, hopes, and career, to having fully faced just how much in life is outside your control — and how magical it is to spend every day with someone who matters more to you than your old self could possibly have dreamed of."

Jay Inslee and his wife Trudi celebrated their 50th wedding anniversary.

WHAT PLAYBOOKERS ARE READING: A roundup of the most-clicked links from the past week in Playbook.

1. "An Unusual $1.6 Billion Donation Bolsters Conservatives," by NYT's Kenneth Vogel and Shane Goldmacher

2. "Can Tim Ryan Really Win Ohio's Senate Race?" by FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver

3. "DeSantis fighter jet ad conjures 1988 Dukakis tank debacle," by WaPo's Gillian Brockell

4. "Promoting His Memoir, Kushner Offers Tortured Defenses of Trump," by NYT's Annie Karni and Maggie Haberman

5. "See Hillary Clinton Lose a Legal Knowledge Quiz to Kim Kardashian: 'It Was Heartbreaking,'" by People's Sandra Sobieraj Westfall

IN MEMORIAM — "U.S. diplomat struck and killed by truck while riding bike," ABC: "Sarah Joan Langenkamp, 42, was struck by a flatbed truck on the afternoon of Aug. 25 while riding a bicycle at the 5200 block of River Road in Bethesda. Langenkamp was a diplomat at the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv, Ukraine. Numerous offices have cited her as the head of the International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs Section at the embassy."

TRANSITION — Rebecca Dougherty is joining Microsoft's public affairs team in D.C. She previously was an associate and project manager to the global CEO at Brunswick Group.

ENGAGED — Daniel Moskowitz, who works in comms in the strategic initiatives department of the Teamsters, proposed to Jaclyn Rothenberg, director of public affairs at FEMA, at their home Thursday night, followed by a dinner celebration at Capa Tosta. The two grew up together in Atlanta and were in the same Jewish youth group when they were 16, but only started dating when they reconnected in D.C. after she moved back for work. Pic

— Eric Farmer, an account executive at Meltwater, proposed to Stephanie Murray, a senior reporter covering the policy regulation of digital assets at The Block and a POLITICO alum, on Friday in a vintage convertible on the beach in Malibu. They met when he stayed with a family in her Massachusetts hometown to play hockey for the summer. PicAnother pic

WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Devon Kearns, comms manager at Meta and a Planned Parenthood, Mark Begich and Jim Himes alum, and Lennon Duggan, policy lead at TikTok and a Joe Biden, Obama Treasury and Google alum, welcomed Simon Patrick Duggan on Aug. 13.

— Greg Lowman, VP for digital advocacy and policy comms at Fidelity Investments, and Danica Hames, who works in the enforcement division of the Treasury Department's FinCEN, recently welcomed Iris Cedar Lowman, who joins big sisters Ellie and Louisa. PicAnother pic

BIRTHWEEK (was Friday): Justin DillonJim Harris of Bain

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Julia Brownley (D-Calif.) … WSJ's Ken ThomasSheryl Sandberg Pat PelletierEmma Tomaszewski of Rep. Mike Thompson's (D-Calif.) office … DOT's Ben Halle R.C. Hammond … POLITICO's Marty Kady, Drew Botwinick and Rebecca Miltenberger … NBC's Sarah Carlson Brooke … The Hill's Morgan ChalfantMallory Blount of Herschel Walker's Georgia Senate campaign … Gary Shapiro … Twitter's Jessica Herrera-FlaniganEllen RatnerEllen Carmichael Gugenberger Hilary Halpern … former Defense Secretary Bill CohenThomas WinslowHeather Marie VitaleTaylor Bolhack ... Callie Strock ... Ann Marie Jablon ... Robert Simpson ... Lindsay Gill ... Arlet Abrahamian David Youngblood (43) … WaPo's Silvia Foster-Frau Robert Elman Janet McUlsky Jay WegimontEvan LaCross

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