Monday, December 13, 2021

Axios AM: America’s tornado warning

📷 Plus: Photo flies 130 miles | Monday, December 13, 2021
 
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Axios AM
By Mike Allen ·Dec 13, 2021

Hello, Monday. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,176 words ... 4½ minutes. Edited by Justin Green.

📱Please join Axios editor-in-chief Sara Kehaulani Goo and Russell Contreras tomorrow at 12:30 p.m. ET for a Hard Truths virtual event featuring NAACP president and CEO Derrick Johnson, and author and ESPN commentator Sam Acho. Register here.

 
 
1 big thing: America's tornado warning
A collapsed factory and surrounding areas in Mayfield, Kentucky, yesterday. Photo: Gerald Herbert/AP

Scientists are pointing to increasing signs that climate change is altering tornado outbreaks in ways that appear to make them bigger and more damaging, reports Axios' Andrew Freedman.

  • Why it matters: America repeatedly faced unprecedented weather disasters in 2021 — record fires on the West Coast, frequent hurricanes in the Southeast, and tornadoes this weekend that left whole towns in rubble.

Between the lines: Scientists are becoming increasingly vocal about their longtime belief that the warming planet is making our weather more extreme.

The latest: The tornado's confirmed death toll is in the dozens — not as high as initially feared. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear said yesterday morning that the total could exceed 100.

  • But after an encouraging update from a candle factory, where night-shift workers were in the middle of the holiday rush, he said it might be as low as 50. (AP)
Mayfield, Kentucky. Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images

What's happening: Tornado researchers tell Axios human-caused global warming alters the ingredients that go into spawning monster tornadoes.

  • It's not a coincidence that Friday night's outbreak came on a day of record warmth and high humidity throughout the Mid-South and South.
  • The warm, humid air — more typical of April or May — created a powder keg that, when combined with a roaring jet stream and strong cold front, exploded.

Get the latest.

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2. 🎧 Axios "How It Happened": Trump turns on Bibi

Photo illustration: Annelise Capossela. Photo: Alex Edelman/Bloomberg via Getty Images

 

This story comes from the new season of Axios' "How it Happened' podcast. Subscribe to listen to the whole story, including audio recordings of Barak Ravid's never-before-heard interview with Donald Trump.

Former President Donald Trump tells Axios from Tel Aviv author Barak Ravid that one big reason the "ultimate deal" between the Israelis and Palestinians collapsed is that then-Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu never wanted to make peace.

  • "I don't think Bibi ever wanted to make peace," Trump said in April during a 90-minute interview at Mar-a-Lago for Ravid's new book, "Trump's Peace: The Abraham Accords and the Reshaping of the Middle East" (out now in Hebrew).
  • "I think he just tapped us along. Just tap, tap, tap, you know?"

Keep reading.

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3. Mental-health epidemic fuels labor shortage

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

Almost half of unemployed Americans say health issues are the primary reason they're not working, according to a new survey from McKinsey, shared exclusively with Axios' Felix Salmon.

  • Why it matters: If one of the key drivers of the labor shortage is Americans' physical and mental health, rather than lack of economic growth, that means the Fed isn't well-placed to get millions more people working.

Mental health problems have reached epidemic proportions. McKinsey's American Opportunity Survey polled 5,000 Americans and found that 37% of them had been diagnosed with mental health issues, or sought treatment for their mental health.

  • Of those not working, health was by far the main reason. 15% said it was because of their mental health, and 30% said it was because of their physical health.

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4. 🛰️ Satellite view: A town's trauma
Satellite images Maxar Technologies via AP

Mayfield, Kentucky (population 10,000), before and after the tornado.

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5. 🎬 "Axios on HBO": Lucid Motors CEO sees cheaper electric cars

Lucid Motors CEO Peter Rawlinson speaks with Axios' Joann Muller. Photo: "Axios on HBO"

 

Lucid Motors CEO Peter Rawlinson doesn't "want to be doing wealthy people's cars," he told Joann Muller on "Axios on HBO."

  • Why it matters: Americans are warming up to the idea of electric cars. But the price is still too high for many people.

The $169,000 Lucid Air Dream, while financially out of reach for most people, has an unprecedented 520-mile driving range — efficiency that can be carried over to lower-priced models.

  • "Efficiency's the key, and our technology will drive down the (battery) pack size in this car," Rawlinson said. "And driving the pack size will drive down the cost. And that's where we get to a $25,000 car. And I think that could come three to four years from now."

Watch a clip.

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6. Data of the day: Senior boosters
Data: CDC. Chart: Thomas Oide/Axios

Only about half of nursing home residents have received a COVID booster shot — an ominous statistic as Omicron spreads around the world, Axios' Caitlin Owens reports.

Data: CDC. Chart: Thomas Oide/Axios

Fewer than half of eligible adults 65 and older — 44% — had a booster shot by Thanksgiving, according to CDC data released Friday.

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7. Cable talent wars shift to streaming
Data: MoffettNathanson Research. Chart: Axios Visuals

The vacancies at cable news companies are piling up as networks and journalists begin to eye streaming alternatives, Axios Media Trends author Sara Fischer reports.

  • Why it matters: Primetime cable slots and the Sunday shows are no longer the most opportunistic placements for major TV talent.

"Fox News Sunday" anchor Chris Wallace announced yesterday that he's leaving the network after 18 years to join CNN as an anchor for its new streaming service, CNN+.

  • Wallace will anchor a new weekday show and will contribute to the network's daily live programming, CNN says.
  • Fox News says a rotating cast of journalists will fill Wallace's seat for now, including Bret Baier, John Roberts, Shannon Bream, Jennifer Griffin, Neil Cavuto, Martha MacCallum, Harris Faulkner and Bill Hemmer.

The big picture: Wallace marks the latest in a flurry of cable-news shakeups in the past few weeks.

  • Brian Williams signed off from his 11 p.m. program on MSNBC last week after 28 years with the network.
  • MSNBC's Rachel Maddow is expected to leave her daily program next year as she pursues different types of journalism endeavors with the network, which will leave MSNBC's 9 p.m. primetime spot open.
  • CNN's Chris Cuomo was terminated last Saturday, leaving CNN's 9 p.m. spot open.

What's happening: Major networks are investing heavily to lure talent to streaming alternatives in light of the decline of linear television.

  • CNN hired NBC News veteran Kasie Hunt as an anchor and analyst for CNN+. It's hiring hundreds of new roles for the streaming service, set to launch next quarter.
  • NBC News has filled the majority of the 200+ new jobs it announced over the summer for its new streaming service and digital team, a top executive confirmed to Axios.

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8. 🌪️ Photo flies 130 miles
Photo: Katie Posten via AP

When Katie Posten walked out of her driveway in New Albany, Ind., on Saturday morning, she saw something that looked like a note or receipt stuck to her windshield, AP's Mike Schneider writes.

  • It was a black-and-white photo that had traveled 130 miles on monstrous winds.

Posten, 30, who works for a tech company, posted the image and asked for help finding its owners.

  • "A lot of people shared it on Facebook," Posten said. "Someone came across it who is friends with a man with the same last name, and they tagged him."

That man was Cole Swatzell, who commented that the photo belonged to family members in Dawson Springs, Kentucky — 130 miles from New Albany, as the crow flies, and 167 miles by car.

What's next: A Facebook group was set up after the storms so people could post photos and other items — including an ultrasound — they found deposited in their yards.

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