Wednesday, December 23, 2020

Axios PM: 🚨 Pistol-packing freshmen trigger debate — Million-dose milestone

1 big thing: How 2020 enters the history books | Wednesday, December 23, 2020
 
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Axios PM
By Mike Allen ·Dec 23, 2020

Good afternoon: Today's PM — edited by Justin Green — is 499 words, a 2-minute read.

🚨Situational awareness: President Trump vetoed the $740 billion defense spending bill, which passed Congress by veto-proof majorities.

  • The House will vote Monday on whether to override Trump's veto, Speaker Pelosi said.
 
 
1 big thing: How 2020 enters the history books

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

2020 could go down as the worst year since 1918 for the metric that counts most, even if it pales in comparison to pre-Industrial examples.

The big picture: 400,000 more Americans are expected to die in 2020 than 2019, a 15% spike surpassed only by 1918's astounding 46%, writes Axios' Bryan Walsh.

  • In 1918 it was the trenches of WWI and the Spanish flu.
  • In 2020 it's COVID-19 and drug overdoses.
  • Life expectancy dropped by nearly 12 years in 1918, compared to a likely three-year decline in 2020.

By the numbers: The global economy is projected to contract by more than 4% this year, and as many as 115 million people could fall back into extreme poverty.

  • That would still leave an economy twice as large as 30 years ago, when more than a third of the world's population was in extreme poverty.
  • Today, even with COVID-19, that figure is closer to 9%.

The big picture: 2020 will enter the history books among other anni horribili, which tended to concentrate disease and starvation.

  • Take 1816, known as the "Year Without a Summer" thanks to a massive volcanic eruption in 1815, which caused what one historian called "the last great subsistence crisis in the Western world."
  • Or 1349, perhaps the worst year of the Black Death pandemic, which would eventually kill a third or more of Europe's population alone.
  • Don't forget 536, which the journal Science memorably called "the worst year to be alive." A volcanic eruption in Iceland early that year cast Europe and parts of the Middle East and Asia into a literal dark age.

The bottom line: As 2020 has painfully demonstrated, just because life has been getting better all the time doesn't mean it will continue to do so.

  • Industrialization enabled us to escape the Malthusian trap, but it also put us on the path to catastrophic climate change — likely the biggest headwind we'll face in the decades ahead.
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2. Pic du jour
Photo: Go Nakamura/Getty Images

Staff members treat a patient in the COVID-19 intensive care unit at the United Memorial Medical Center in Houston.

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The internet has changed a lot in 25 years. But the last time comprehensive internet regulations were passed was in 1996.

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3. Catch up quick

Mateo, a young lion, is pictured through a glass window at the Berlin Zoo as he receives a Christmas treat of his favorite food. Photo: Annegret Hilse/Reuters

 
  1. Americans filed 803,000 initial unemployment claims last week, a drop of 89,000 from the week prior. Go deeper.
  2. Scoop: Several incoming House freshmen have inquired about carrying guns into the Capitol, reports Axios' Kadia Goba.
  3. The U.S. is considering quickly closing its embassy in Baghdad after a series of rocket attacks on Iraq's Green Zone by Iranian-backed militias, Jonathan Swan and Glen Johnson report. Go deeper.
  4. All U.K. travelers going to New York City will now be required to quarantine or face a daily $1,000 fine. Go deeper.
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4. 1 smile to go: Million down, millions to go

Photo: Hyoung Chang/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images

 

Help is here: More than a million Americans have received the first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine and 10 million doses have been distributed, the CDC said today.

  • Why it matters: Every shot gets us closer to normal, protecting people on the front lines and the most vulnerable.

P.S. There' s more 💉 coming: The U.S. is buying another 100 million vaccine doses from Pfizer.

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