Monday, November 23, 2020

POLITICO Playbook: Is the GOP shooting itself in the foot?

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Nov 23, 2020 View in browser
 
POLITICO Playbook

By Anna Palmer and Jake Sherman

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DRIVING THE DAY

BREAKING … AP/LONDON: "AstraZeneca said Monday that late-stage trials showed that its COVID-19 vaccine with Oxford University was up to 90% effective in preventing disease."

YA GOTTA WONDER when Republicans are going to figure out that they shouldn't undermine the voting process in Georgia when … they need Republicans to trust the voting process in Georgia to reelect Sens. DAVID PERDUE and KELLY LOEFFLER and keep the Senate majority. The stakes literally could not be higher for Senate Republicans.

TODAY'S BIG STORY… DETROIT FREE PRESS/LANSING: "For what is believed would be the first time in history, Michigan's elections board could deadlock Monday on certifying the state's presidential election results.

"By law and by practice, certification by the Board of State Canvassers — comprised of two Democratic appointees and two Republican ones — is supposed to be a routine sign-off. Certification acknowledges that Michigan's unofficial results match the tabulated vote counts. It follows a two-week period of double-checking in Michigan's 83 counties, where some inaccuracies in the unofficial numbers, as is normal, were found and corrected.

"But these are not normal times. The climate is hyper-partisan, disinformation is rampant, and Republican President Donald Trump and his team of lawyers are spreading false claims, working to somehow overturn election results in Michigan and other key states, and upend President-elect Joe Biden's victory in the Electoral College, where Biden rung up 306 electoral votes to Trump's 232. …

"If the board showed no signs of acting to certify, someone would almost certainly sue in the Michigan Court of Appeals, seeking an order requiring the board to do so. Such an order could then be appealed to the Michigan Supreme Court. Once court proceedings are concluded, preferably before the Dec. 8 'safe harbor' date by which Congress is required to accept Michigan's electoral votes, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer would certify the state's 16 presidential electors ahead of the Dec. 14 convening of the Electoral College." Knowing the members of the board, via the NYT

WAPO'S DAVE WEIGEL'S THE TRAILER: "All the votes Trump and his allies are challenging"

ON SUNDAY NIGHT, Reps. BRYAN STEIL (R-Wis.) and JOE COURTNEY (D-Conn.) both announced they have tested positive for the coronavirus. … STEIL was at Capital Grille on Wednesday night, along with many other members. We've lost count of all the members who have now gotten the coronavirus this month. You gotta guess that it will be tough for the House to come back into session with this winter coming, and proxy voting in place.

TESTING BIDEN'S METTLE WITH THE HILL: JOE KNOWS CONGRESS and his team are putting out the word that he is pressing senior Democratic leaders to cut a stimulus deal with Senate Republicans -- even if it is smaller than Democrats have hoped for. THE NYT'S JIM TANKERSLEY and EMILY COCHRANE have a good story on this today.

-- CUTTING A DEAL LIKE THAT would be a complete reversal of the Democrats' position, and would represent a fold, of sorts, by Speaker NANCY PELOSI and Senate Minority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER, who have, for months, said that no deal is better than a half deal. In fact, we asked PELOSI a few weeks ago if her position on Covid relief had changed since the election. She said no.

-- CAN PRESIDENT-ELECT JOE BIDEN CONVINCE PELOSI and SCHUMER to do this? And furthermore, will he call Senate Majority Leader MITCH MCCONNELL at some point to press him to make this happen?

ALSO: THE NDAA -- the defense authorization bill -- has passed every year for nearly six decades. TRUMP is suggesting he'll veto it because he wants to keep Confederate namesakes of military installations. NBC

BIDEN'S CABINET … BLOOMBERG SCOOP: "Biden to Name Longtime Aide Blinken as Secretary of State," by Tyler Pager, Jennifer Epstein and Saleha Mohsin: "President-elect Joe Biden intends to name his longtime adviser Antony Blinken as secretary of state, according to three people familiar with the matter, setting out to assemble his cabinet even before Donald Trump concedes defeat.

"In addition, Jake Sullivan, formerly one of Hillary Clinton's closest aides, is likely to be named Biden's national security adviser, and Linda Thomas-Greenfield will be nominated to serve as Biden's ambassador to the United Nations. An announcement of the president-elect's top national security advisers is expected for Tuesday, the people said."

SULLIVAN and BLINKEN are "good friends," the NYT says. And BLINKEN and MICHÈLE FLOURNOY -- a candidate for Defense secretary -- have a strategic advisory firm together.

-- AXIOS' HANS NICHOLS on THOMAS-GREENFIELD: "Democrats close to President-elect Biden expect him to name Linda Thomas-Greenfield as ambassador to the United Nations, looking to a Black woman and respected diplomat to restore morale. … The decision would be in line with Biden's pledge to name a diverse Cabinet. It's likely he will pick a woman or a person of color — or both — as his White House press secretary, and Democrats are urging him to nominate several Latinos to high-profile Cabinet positions."

Good Monday morning. California Gov. GAVIN NEWSOM and his family are quarantining for 14 days after his children were exposed to a police officer with the coronavirus. L.A. Times

THE PRESIDENT and VP MIKE PENCE have nothing on their public schedule. WaPo's Josh Dawsey on Trump's relative quiet since his defeat

BIDEN and VP-Elect KAMALA HARRIS will meet with the U.S. Conference of Mayors virtually in Wilmington, Del.

 

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BREAKING OVERNIGHT … AXIOS' BARAK RAVID: "Israeli PM flew to Saudi Arabia for meeting with Pompeo and crown prince": "Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu traveled in secret Sunday to the city of Neom on Saudi Arabia's Red Sea coast for a meeting with Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Israeli sources tell me. … Israel and Saudi Arabia had a secret relationship for many years, but this is the first time such a high level meeting has been reported — even though neither side confirmed it officially."

-- ON THE ROAD WITH O'BRIEN … BLOOMBERG'S @JenniferJJacobs at 4:23 a.m.: "Trump adviser @robertcobrien in brief interview declined to comment just now on Israeli news reports that Netanyahu secretly flew to Saudi Arabia to meet with MBS and Mike Pompeo. O'Brien declined to give an update on efforts to normalize ties between Saudi Arabia and Israel."

BIDEN CAMP ON COVID -- "Biden to spotlight CDC officials shunned by Trump," by Alice Miranda Ollstein and Adam Cancryn: "President-elect Joe Biden is putting scientists in charge and back on the stage to restore trust in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The plans include immediately reviving regular media briefings and giving a central role to long-sidelined career officials including Nancy Messonnier, the public health official who first warned of the 'severe' impact of the Covid-19 back in February.

"The goal, said Biden's advisers, is to send a tightly coordinated message that, nearly a year into the coronavirus crisis, the federal government is prioritizing science over politics in driving its pandemic response." POLITICO

SEVEN LETTER, the public affairs firm, is launching its own polling operation, SEVEN LETTER INSIGHT. SOME SNIPPETS from its first poll: 56% of TRUMP voters don't believe their vote was recorded accurately. … 83% of TRUMP voters believe the media is the enemy of the people. 35% of Democrats see BIDEN as their grandfather, and 33% of Republican voters see TRUMP as their boss. The full poll

-- WSJ EDITORIAL BOARD on polling.

TRUMP'S LAST-DITCH LEGAL EFFORTS -- "Trump campaign files narrow appeal in Pennsylvania," by Josh Gerstein: "President Donald Trump's campaign filed a narrow appeal Sunday in its longshot bid to have Trump declared the victor in the presidential race in Pennsylvania despite lagging more than 71,000 votes behind President-elect Joe Biden.

"With Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar set to certify the results of the election as soon as Monday, the Trump campaign filed an emergency motion with the Philadelphia-based 3rd Circuit Court of Appeals asking that court to compel a lower court to accept a redrafted complaint contending that election officials excluded observers as part of an effort to process thousands of flawed mail-in ballots that largely favored Biden.

"The campaign did not seek an immediate order from the 3rd Circuit to block certification of Biden as the winner. Instead, the motion filed with the court Sunday evening said the campaign might seek decertification of the results 'if already certified.'"

-- "In last-gasp maneuver, Trump campaign tries to invalidate thousands of votes as Wisconsin recount gets underway," by WaPo's Rosalind Helderman and Dan Simmons

MEET THE UNDERSIDE OF A BUS … "Trump campaign cuts Sidney Powell from president's legal team," by Kyle Cheney: "President Donald Trump appears to have cut ties with Sidney Powell, a key member of his legal team who also represents former national security adviser Michael Flynn in his long-running attempt to unravel a guilty plea for lying about his 2016 contacts with Russia. The abrupt shake-up came in a terse Sunday-evening statement from the Trump campaign that offered no explanation for Powell's removal.

"'Sidney Powell is practicing law on her own,' Trump's personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani and campaign lawyer Jenna Ellis said in the statement. 'She is not a member of the Trump Legal Team. She is also not a lawyer for the President in his personal capacity.'"

 

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NYT'S BEN SMITH: "Get Me Meacham! Biden Brings Back the Media's Good Old Days": "[I]f you'd asked me earlier this year who would be the most politically relevant American writer of 2020, I would not have picked Jon Meacham.

"But Joe Biden did. The former vice president won the presidency despite reporters' bored skepticism and editorial board snubs. And Mr. Meacham, a Pulitzer-winning historian whose books have lionized figures like President George H.W. Bush and Representative John Lewis, is the media figure he's closest to, an occasional source of historical advice who helps with his biggest speeches. (This revelation cost Mr. Meacham a formal MSNBC contributor job when it was reported in The New York Times this month.) Mr. Meacham's surprising turn at the center of American politics is a reflection on Mr. Biden's relationship with the news media, one very different from his predecessor's, and a hint at the future."

MCCONNELL'S NEXT HURDLE -- "Republicans dash to defend perilous 2022 Senate map," by Burgess Everett and John Bresnahan: "Sen. Chuck Grassley will be 89 when the 2022 midterm campaign rolls around. Republicans are counting on him to run for an eighth term. 'I hope Chuck Grassley comes back. He's very healthy and I hope he comes back really strong. That will be really important,' said incoming National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Rick Scott of Florida in an interview. 'I don't think Chuck Grassley is beatable.'

"Grassley … hasn't decided. But his lock on Iowa's Senate seat — and the prospect that he could retire — hits directly at the challenge facing Scott and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who must defend at least 20 seats to Democrats' 13. …

"Meanwhile, Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) says he's not interested in a Senate bid and seems more curious about a presidential race in 2024. But several Maryland Democratic sources say Sen. Chris Van Hollen (Md.) is 'very concerned' about a potential Hogan candidacy and is watching Hogan closely. 'I think Larry could [run],' Scott said. 'People perceive him to be a successful governor. And I think he likes the political process. I think he likes trying to do good things. You could see him doing it.' …

"Eighty-year-old Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt. ), the longest-serving senator, said he will make up his mind on his future in the fall of 2021. 'I'll talk to you after January,' added Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.), the 86-year-old chairman of the Appropriations Committee. 'They're trying to get me to run, but it's my sixth term. Let's talk after January.'"

 

DON'T MISS THE MILKEN INSTITUTE FUTURE OF HEALTH SUMMIT 2020: POLITICO will feature a special edition Future Pulse newsletter at the Milken Institute Future of Health Summit. The newsletter takes readers inside one of the most influential gatherings of global health industry leaders and innovators determined to confront and conquer the most significant health challenges. Covid-19 has exposed weaknesses across our health systems, particularly in the treatment of our most vulnerable communities, driving the focus of the 2020 conference on the converging crises of public health, economic insecurity, and social justice. Sign up today to receive exclusive coverage from December 7–9.

 
 
PLAYBOOK READS

A Southwest Airlines passenger jet crosses the sky above Kansas City, Kan., as the moon looms in the distance, Sunday, Nov. 22, 2020.

PHOTO DU JOUR: A Southwest Airlines passenger jet crosses the sky above Kansas City, Kan., as the moon looms in the distance, on Sunday, Nov. 22. | Charlie Riedel/AP Photo

THE FUTURE OF THE GOP? -- "Republicans Rewrite an Old Playbook on Disenfranchising Black Americans," by NYT's Jim Rutenberg and Nick Corasaniti: "Mr. Trump's fruitless and pyromaniacal campaign to somehow reverse President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.'s victory in the election rests on the wholesale disenfranchisement of hundreds of thousands of voters, a disproportionate number of them Black Americans living in the urban centers of Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan.

"Notably absent from the effort has been any focus on predominantly white suburban areas where the president performed better, but where he lost ground compared with four years ago and arguably lost the election. The campaign is not Mr. Trump's alone. He has had help from supporters and allies throughout the country, as well as from the Republican National Committee and its state branches."

MARKET WATCH -- "Bank Stocks Already Had a Wild 2020. Then November Got Even Crazier," by WSJ's David Benoit

 

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BEYOND THE BELTWAY -- "Newsom faces new pressure to fill Harris seat with woman of color instead of presumed favorite," by Carla Marinucci in Oakland, Calif.: "As speculation grows that Gov. Gavin Newsom is leaning toward California elections chief Alex Padilla to fill the U.S. Senate seat of Vice President-elect Kamala Harris, a crowd of top Democratic donors and former San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown are launching an aggressive campaign to argue that another woman of color should fill that seat instead.

"Brown, the former longtime speaker of the California Assembly, said he's launching a drive Monday to organize Black churches, pastors, civic leaders, fraternal organizations and prominent members of the Black press statewide to urge Newsom to consider leading Black women for the seat. Among the leading choices, he said, are Reps. Barbara Lee, Karen Bass and Maxine Waters; San Francisco Mayor London Breed; and state Sen. Holly Mitchell.

"'There's no way that Gavin Newsom should allow anyone other than a Black woman to fill the seat of Harris, who's only the second Black woman in the history of the U.S. Senate,' Brown told POLITICO on Sunday. 'There should be no contest.'"

 

TUNE IN TO OUR GLOBAL TRANSLATIONS PODCAST: The world has long been beset by big problems that defy political boundaries, and these issues have exploded in 2020 amid a global pandemic. Global Translations podcast, presented by Citi, unpacks the roadblocks to smart policy decisions and examines the long-term costs of the short-term thinking that drives many political and business decisions. Subscribe for Season Two, available now.

 
 
PLAYBOOKERS

Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.

MEDIAWATCH -- Kadia Goba is the new politics reporter at Axios covering Congress, and a co-author of the Axios Sneak Peek newsletter. She previously covered the Trump campaign, the White House and Congress at BuzzFeed.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK -- WHITE HOUSE ARRIVAL LOUNGE: Max Miller has returned to the White House, where he is now a senior adviser and a deputy assistant to the president. He most recently was deputy Trump campaign manager for presidential operations.

TRANSITION -- Meaghan Rose Smith is joining the Biosimilars Forum as its first executive director. She most recently led the health care practice at SKDKnickerbocker, and is an Obama HHS, Brian Schatz and Senate Finance alum.

ENGAGED -- Tommy Andrews, special assistant to the president for legislative affairs, and Mollie Thorsen, founder of the Little Burros and U.S. director of advocacy for A21, got engaged Saturday afternoon in Old Town. They met almost three years ago at the Boehnerland wedding of their close friends, Adam and Annie Wolf. Pic Another pic

-- Megan Cassella, a POLITICO reporter, and Andrew Magod, a senior partner relationship manager with Credible Inc., got engaged at their Adams Morgan home Saturday. They met in a D.C. kickball league in 2017. Pic

-- John Twomey, chief of staff in the office of the assistant HHS secretary for legislation, proposed to Meghan Dugan, press secretary for Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio), at the Homestead resort Friday. Both are from Georgia and are Tom Price alums, which is how they met. Pic

BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Richard Hunt, president and CEO of the Consumer Bankers Association. What he's watching for in the Biden presidency: "Will he be the Joe Biden we have known over the last 40 years, or will he be the Joe Biden held captive by the far left?" Playbook Q&A

BIRTHDAYS: Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer is 7-0 … Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.) is 67 … Rep. Bobby Rush (D-Ill.) is 74 … Rep. Sean Casten (D-Ill.) is 49 … Carolyn Ryan, NYT deputy managing editor … ABC's Pierre Thomas … former Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) is 65 … Amy Schatz, VP at Glen Echo Group … Geoff Mackler … RNC's Rick Gorka … Matt Dennis … Katie Wall, the White House National Space Council's chief of staff … Danny Cevallos … BBC's Suzanne Kianpour … Adam Belmar … AFP's Bill Riggs … Nancy Ortmeyer Kuhn … Jeremy Slevin, senior comms director/strategist for Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) … Colby Nelson … Charlie Goodyear … Sheara Braun, producer for MSNBC's "All In" … Matt Farrauto … HuffPost overnight editor Jade Walker …

… Robin Roberts is 6-0 … Amir Afkhami … Emily Jansen … POLITICO's Ryan Niblock … John Marshall … Brittany Griffin … Diane Begala … former Wisconsin Gov. Jim Doyle is 75 … Joe Shannahan … Carol Pensky (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … Geoff Morrell, EVP for comms and advocacy at BP … Patrick Pfingsten … former Labor Secretary William Brock is 9-0 … Joey Francilus … Sheria Clarke, of counsel at Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough … Emily Zoda … Josh Levitt … Meghan Womack … Mary Rutherford Jennings … Julia Gill Woodward … Will Glasscock … Austin Shafran … Laura Chavez … Melissa Pardue … Liz Victorin … Chris Dovi … Kyunghan Kim … POLITICO Europe's Virginie Dandoy … Andrea Lavin Solow … Washington Football Team owner Dan Snyder is 56

 

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