Wednesday, November 4, 2020

About last night

Biden looks to be in good shape to win the presidency, as are the Republicans to hold the Senate.

 

Tonight's Sentences was written by Benjamin Rosenberg.

TOP NEWS
No clear winner in the presidential election; key states remain close
Win McNamee/Getty Images
  • Several key states in the presidential election remain too close or too early to call, as President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are locked in a very close race. The election could come down to Pennsylvania and Arizona. [Vox / Andrew Prokop]
  • Biden had hoped for a decisive victory, buoyed by strong showings in Southern states like Florida and North Carolina. That did not happen — Trump won Florida by a greater margin than in 2016, and he leads in North Carolina and Georgia, though neither has been called. [CNN / Stephen Collinson and Maeve Reston]
  • Democrats had even thought they had an outside chance to flip Texas, which has been reliably red for several decades. But Trump won rather decisively there, and won with relative ease in Ohio and Iowa. The result: There was no clear repudiation of the Trump administration. [Washington Post / Monica Hesse]
  • Biden still has more paths to 270 electoral votes than Trump, however. He won Wisconsin and Michigan and is leading in Arizona, all states Trump carried in 2016. His campaign is also optimistic about his chances in Pennsylvania and Nevada. [NYT / Reid J. Epstein and Glenn Thrush]
  • The path for Trump involves holding on to both Pennsylvania and Arizona, states he would need if Biden wins in Nevada. In remarks early Wednesday morning, Trump falsely claimed he had already won the election, even though many votes remain to be counted. [MSNBC / Steve Benen]
  • Biden made remarks earlier in the evening from his hometown of Wilmington, Delaware, expressing confidence that he would win but saying it is not his or Trump's place to declare a winner. "We're feeling good about where we are," he said. [WHYY / Mark Eichmann]
  • Trump has continued to make baseless claims about voter fraud issues with mail-in ballots, especially in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Down by roughly 20,000 votes in Wisconsin with all but 1,000 or so counted, the president demanded a recount in the state. [The Hill / Morgan Chalfant]
  • This was not the "blue wave" election that many Democrats were hoping for and the polls suggested was a real possibility. Cuban Americans in the Miami area helped deliver Florida to Trump, and the president also did well among Hispanic voters in Texas. [Vox / Dylan Scott]
  • Voter turnout reached its highest rates since 1900, with at least 159.8 million Americans casting ballots. More than 100 million of those votes were cast in the early voting period, in large part a response to the difficulties posed by the Covid-19 pandemic. [CNBC / Hannah Miao]
 
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Republicans are in a good position to retain their Senate majority
  • Going into Election Day, FiveThirtyEight gave Democrats a 3 in 4 chance of flipping the Senate. But Republicans outperformed the polls by significant margins, holding on to seats in states like Iowa, Montana, and — surprisingly — Maine. [Vox / Dylan Scott]
  • Maine is the biggest blow for Democrats, and it was a seat they widely expected to win. But Susan Collins, the Republican who has most often broken ranks with President Trump, was elected to her fifth term, defeating state House Speaker Sara Gideon. [CNBC / Tucker Higgins]
  • Democrats picked up a seat in Colorado, where former Gov. John Hickenlooper defeated Cory Gardner, while Republicans flipped a seat in Alabama, with Tommy Tuberville defeating Doug Jones. [CNN / Clare Foran]
  • Democrats still have a path to the majority, albeit a narrow one. Gary Peters will have to hold on to his seat in Michigan, and he is in a close race against Republican John James. And in North Carolina, Cal Cunningham will likely have to unseat Sen. Thom Tillis. [AP / David Eggert]
  • Neither of Georgia's two Senate races, including a special election, has been called. Incumbent Republican Kelly Loeffler will go into a runoff against Democrat Raphael Warnock, and fellow incumbent Republican David Perdue holds a narrow lead over Democrat Jon Ossoff. [Atlanta Journal-Constitution / Brian O'Shea]
MISCELLANEOUS
Republicans also performed better than expected in governor's races. Democrat Roy Cooper held on to his position in North Carolina, but Greg Gianforte's win in Montana flipped that seat into Republican hands.

[The Hill / Morgan Gstalter]

  • Democrats held their majority in the House of Representatives, but Republicans cut into it more than they were expected to. Several races are still uncalled, but as of Wednesday afternoon, not a single GOP incumbent had lost. [Politico / Heather Caygle, Sarah Ferris, and Ally Mutnick]

  • In Delaware, Sarah McBride became the first openly transgender state senator in the country. Other trans candidates won their races as well, nearly doubling the number of trans state lawmakers nationwide. [Vox / Anna North]

  • Rapper Kanye West, who announced via Twitter this summer that he planned to run for president as an independent, received around 60,000 votes across the 12 states where his name appeared on the ballot. He responded to the news of his defeat with a tweet reading "KANYE 2024." [NYMag / Charu Sinha

 
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VERBATIM
"Keep the faith, guys. We're going to have to be patient until the hard work of tallying votes is finished. And it ain't over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted."

[Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden]

WATCH THIS


The social network tried to keep conversations focused on local issues. But as Recode's Rebecca Heilweil explains, national politics took over. [Spotify / Rebecca Heilweil]

Read more from Vox

 

Trump already wants a recount in Wisconsin, but his odds of winning it are very small

 

What's really going on with the mail-in ballots the US Postal Service can't trace

 

What if Trump refuses to concede the election?

 

Trump made gains with Black voters in some states. Here's why.

 

Election Day fears of voter intimidation largely didn't come to pass

 

 
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