Friday, December 13, 2024

Should Investors Avoid Tesla After Its Recent Surge?

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Should Investors Avoid Tesla After Its Recent Surge?

Anthony Summers, Director of Trading, The Oxford Club

Anthony Summers

Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA), the electric vehicle pioneer that's revolutionizing transportation, has been on quite a journey. From its early days as a niche luxury carmaker to its current position as a global automotive powerhouse, the company has transformed how we think about cars, energy, and technology.

I evaluated Tesla in April and gave it an "Appropriately Valued" rating... but a lot has changed since then.

The stock's recent performance has been nothing short of explosive. After hitting a low near $110 in early 2023, shares have skyrocketed nearly 300% to around $427. The stock has doubled over the past couple of months as investors have bet big on the company's artificial intelligence initiatives and autonomous driving potential.

Chart: Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA)
View larger image
 

But with such a dramatic rally, the key question is: Has Tesla's stock gotten ahead of itself?

Let's run it through The Value Meter to find out.

First, let's look at Tesla's enterprise value-to-net asset value (EV/NAV) ratio, which tells us how much investors are paying for the company's assets. Tesla's EV/NAV sits at 13.52 - more than double the average of 6.22. In other words, investors are paying more than twice as much for Tesla's assets.

However, that premium isn't necessarily unreasonable when you consider Tesla's ability to generate cash.

The company has churned out positive free cash flow in three of the past four quarters - no small feat given the capital-intensive nature of auto manufacturing. Its free cash flow averaged 1.39% of its net assets during this period, which is about one-third of the 4.12% average among similar companies.

These metrics paint an interesting picture...

Finish Reading and Get My Value Meter Score

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