Monday, November 18, 2024

Scoop: Senate Democrats’ farm bill plans

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Nov 18, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Grace Yarrow and Meredith Lee Hill

Presented by Bayer

The U.S. Capitol building is seen.

Ag lawmakers are preparing for farm bill talks to be pushed into 2025. | Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO

QUICK FIX

— Scoop: Senate Ag Chair Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) is releasing her farm bill text this morning, after meeting with her panel members Sunday evening to lay out her plans for a lame duck farm bill push.

— Food industry lobbyists are closely watching and starting to push back against Donald Trump’s tapping of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for HHS Secretary.

— House Democrats who outperformed Kamala Harris in ag-heavy districts have some advice for the party: Show up for rural voters.

IT’S MONDAY, NOV. 18. Welcome to Morning Agriculture. We’re your hosts Grace Yarrow and Meredith Lee Hill. Send tips which agriculture celebrity lookalike competition you’d like to see to gyarrow@politico.com and meredithlee@politico.com and follow us at @Morning_Ag.

 

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Driving the day

FARM BILL CRUNCH TIME: Congressional ag leaders are running out of time to secure a farm bill deal by the end of the year.

A Hail Mary: But Senate Ag Democrats appear to be trying to spark some movement, or at least force a floor vote before lawmakers ultimately add an extension to a year-end funding package.

Retiring Chair Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) met virtually with her panel Democrats late Sunday evening and told them that she will release the text of her own farm bill, as Meredith reported.

Remember, Stabenow pressed House Democrats to back her own farm bill framework over the House GOP farm bill legislation back in May. But she never released the text of her own bill.

First in MA — the details: The full bill text largely aligns with Stabenow’s bill framework she put out at the beginning of May, according to a summary of the bill obtained first by MA.

But it builds on that May proposal with $39 billion in additional resources, a boost paid for using a similar method of restricting USDA’s Commodity Credit Corporation as the House bill, though the Senate bill wouldn’t make that permanent. That $39 billion includes what appears to be additional funding for crop reference prices — something Republicans want.

As in her May framework, Stabenow’s bill would permanently authorize conservation programs (something Republicans are ready to fight over) and bring all of the Inflation Reduction Act’s climate-smart ag money into the farm bill. The bill now includes a permanent disaster assistance structure to get future aid to farmers quicker, per the new outline.

IN THE HOUSE: Ag Chair G.T. Thompson (R-Pa.) told reporters last week that farm bill negotiators are going to “be prepared for an extension.”

“We can't go past Dec. 31,” which is when most major ag programs authorized under the bill would lapse, he said. “So I think we're ready for an extension.”

Still, he added: “I'm not giving up on really doing our job.”

It’s still hard to see how any new farm bill reauthorization could clear Congress before the end of the year, even if Republicans in the Senate hammer out a deal with Stabenow. Any lame duck farm bill would need to pass via suspension of the rules in the House, given long-standing opposition by ultraconservatives.

That means it would need a significant number of Democratic votes. It isn’t clear whether Speaker Mike Johnson would even put it up for a vote at this point, with his job in the balance.

For now, the more likely scenario is that lawmakers add a one-year farm bill extension to a federal funding stop-gap measure or another must-pass bill before the end of the year. (Over the weekend, Speaker Mike Johnson signaled that House Republicans will punt appropriations bills into early 2025.) Senate Democrats may try to force a floor vote on Stabenow’s bill in the meantime.

Current Senate Ag ranking member John Boozman (R-Ark.), who is poised to hold the gavel next year, told MA last week that “sooner is better” to get a farm bill done.

House Ag member Max Miller (R-Ohio), meanwhile, told us that while he’s “disappointed” in the farm bill’s delay. “I do believe it'll get through in the first six months” of 2025 under the GOP trifecta,” Miller boldly predicted.

Klobuchar’s view: Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), who’s gearing up to take over as the top Democrat on the committee after Stabenow retires, has been urging passage of a new farm bill before 2025. She told our Marcia Brown that Congress will need to focus on tax reforms next year and will be pressed for time to hammer out major nutrition and climate programs that need to be authorized in the farm bill.

Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), a farmer himself, told MA it “would be great to have the certainty” the farm bill provides for farmers. “I've said from the beginning, this can get done, we just gotta make it a priority … I think Debbie's working hard to get it done.”

EYES ON DISASTER AID: Lawmakers are anticipating the Biden administration sends them a disaster aid request this week outlining needed relief following hurricanes Helene and Milton, our Jennifer Scholtes reported.

A letter sent by the White House’s Office of Budget Management obtained by POLITICO highlighted rural needs for extra funding to assess damage and restore infrastructure and for farmers to receive extra government support for crop losses.

Congressional leaders aim to then finalize and pass a bipartisan assistance package sometime after Thanksgiving that could total more than $100 billion. Ag lawmakers in particular are pushing for that package to include relief money for farmers hit by Hurricane Helene and other natural disasters.

 

The lame duck session could reshape major policies before year's end. Get Inside Congress delivered daily to follow the final sprint of dealmaking on defense funding, AI regulation and disaster aid. Subscribe now.

 
 

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Trump Transition

AG SECRETARY UPDATE: Senate Ag member Cindy-Hyde Smith (R-Miss.) says she plans to stay in Congress, after we reported some Trump allies raised her name as a possible USDA chief pick.

Hyde-Smith hadn’t been on previous shortlists. Some of her GOP colleagues (who don’t see eye-to-eye with her on key ag issues) also quietly lobbied Trump officials to pick someone else for the role, two people familiar with the transition conversations tell Meredith.

RFK WATCH: Ag industry lobbyists have been privately preparing for weeks for Trump to give Robert F. Kennedy Jr. a food or health role in his administration. If Kennedy is confirmed by the Senate, the job will give him direct oversight and regulatory reach over FDA and the food supply chain.

“The agriculture industry was very concerned that he was going to be at USDA, and so they're probably somewhat relieved,” one food sector official, who was granted anonymity to candidly discuss the matter, told Meredith last week.

“But if you’re in food or making pesticides or [animal] vaccines or anything like that, this is probably worse,” the person added.

The holdback: Companies don’t want to start off on the wrong foot with Kennedy by coming out “in an extremely adversarial posture,” John Strom, special counsel at the law firm Foley and Lardner who advises health industry leaders on policy issues, told our Daniel Payne.

“It’s prudent to take a wait and see approach,” Strom said, echoing lobbyists working across health and food sectors.

Some health and food industry representatives are even leaning on their allies in the Senate, buttressed by years of campaign contributions and revolving-door hires, to sideline Kennedy before they spend political capital to fight him.

ZIPPY’S TAKE: Meanwhile, the American Farm Bureau Federation is poised to increase its influence in another Trump term. The president-elect has often publicly highlighted the organization to illustrate his support among farmers.

“We had a seat at a table in his first term, and we're looking forward to taking that same seat, if he allows us to do that,” AFBF President Zippy Duvall told your host in an interview last week. Duvall said his group has been in touch with members of Trump’s team and allies on Capitol Hill, though he hasn’t spoken with Trump, himself, yet.

RFK Jr. factor: Even before POLITICO broke the news Thursday about Trump’s selection of Kennedy to lead HHS, Duvall said AFBF is “concerned” about the former presidential contender having a role overseeing agriculture — especially given Kennedy’s history of trying to ban certain pesticides.

“We depend on sound science to give us good advice” on pesticides and “crop protection tools,” Duvall said.

USDA secretary: Duvall declined to comment on whom the Farm Bureau supports for USDA secretary, but he said his members trust Trump’s team to nominate someone who “has great knowledge of agriculture and understands USDA, how USDA really has an opportunity to help push rural America forward.”

Tariff talk: Duvall also echoed worries among some GOP senators about Trump’s plans to impose widespread tariffs and how that could impact farmers and ranchers.

“I'll be real frank with you: Our policy does not support tariffs,” he said. “When we have trade wars, it has a negative effect on American agriculture.”

 

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On the Hill

DEMOCRATS ON RURAL VOTERS: House Ag Democrats — who largely won even tight races in ag-heavy districts — have a message for party leadership and top-of-ballot candidates: Show up for rural voters.

“Just show up for rural communities and they'll show up for you,” said Rep. Gabe Vasquez (D-N.M.).

Rep. Nikki Budzinski (D-Ill.) echoed the same advice: “First, I think it's important that we show up and listen. I did a lot of listening and visiting a lot of the farmers, the growers that are in my district.”

Replicating that connection to House lawmakers’ rural districts isn’t as easy for, say, a presidential candidate like Kamala Harris. In the weeks leading up to the election, rural advocates told our Meredith Lee Hill that they had pushed the Harris campaign to hold at least one farmer-focused or rural event to counter Democrats’ hemorrhaging of support with these voters over the past few decades.

Multiple House Democrats also pointed out that the party should focus on economic issues facing the ag sector and be familiar with the problems that matter to farmers.

“I bet if you talk to a farmer anywhere in the country you're going to hear about input prices,” Budzinski said.

Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) said she’s “most proud” of her out-performance of Harris in rural counties this election cycle.

“There's absolutely no replacing showing up and opening up your ears to these people to let them know that you care about them and the issues that they care about,” Craig said.

“You’re not going to win them all,” Craig said, noting that her district had an “awful lot” of voters who split tickets to vote for her and Trump.

 

Policy change is coming—be the pro who saw it first. Access POLITICO Pro’s Issue Analysis series on what the transition means for agriculture, defense, health care, tech, and more. Strengthen your strategy.

 
 
Row Crops

— Ag Secretary Tom Vilsack will be in Baku, Azerbaijan, this week to participate in the UN’s Climate Change Conference (COP29) and highlight the Biden administration’s climate-focused ag agenda.

— The CDC is warning customers to avoid recalled organic carrots linked to an E. coli outbreak that’s led to 15 hospitalizations and one death in 18 states.

— The wine industry is bracing for the potential effect of Trump’s tariff plans. (The New York Times)

THAT’S ALL FOR MA! Drop us a line and send us your agriculture job announcements or events: gyarrow@politico.com, meredithlee@politico.com, marciabrown@politico.com, abehsudi@politico.com and ecadei@politico.com.

 

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The heartbeat of American agriculture can be heard at every farmer's market and every family's dinner table. The agriculture industry, spanning 880 million acres of farmland and supported by more than 2 million people, contributes $1.5 trillion to our economy.

Thousands of Bayer employees live and work alongside farmers in communities across America, ensuring they have access to breakthrough innovations and the support to implement them effectively, keeping that heart beating strong. Bayer's advanced breeding techniques, innovative crop protection offerings, and emerging digital technologies are reshaping the future of farming. We're more than a partner; we're part of the farming fabric of America, and we're invested in every field, every acre, and every harvest. Because at Bayer, we share the same purpose as American farmers: helping agriculture thrive so we can bring high-quality, abundant, and diverse food to millions of tables and help feed the nation. Learn more at Go.Bayer.com/Purpose.

 
 

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