Friday, October 4, 2024

When climate disaster hits swing states

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By Avery Ellfeldt

Presented by Chevron

The Rocky Broad River flows into Lake Lure and overflows the town with debris from Chimney Rock, North Carolina after heavy rains from Hurricane Helene.

Approximately six feet of debris is piled on the bridge from Lake Lure to Chimney Rock, North Carolina. | Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images

Damaged voting sites. Displaced poll workers. Suspended mail service.

Those are among the challenges facing voters and election officials days after Hurricane Helene tore through the Southeast, raising questions about how the deadly catastrophe will affect the election with just over a month to go until polls close, Ariel Wittenberg, Avery Ellfeldt and Thomas Frank write.

Destruction from the storm was massive in North Carolina and Georgia, two critical swing states with enough electoral votes to determine who becomes the next president.

Helene could “dramatically change who is in the electorate,” said Chris Cooper, a political scientist at Western Carolina University. “Every little tweak to the electorate could be the tweak that makes the difference.”

“It’s right on the razor's edge between red and blue,” he added.

Counties in western North Carolina and eastern Georgia were hit particularly hard, and are largely Republican. The devastation there has the potential to blunt turnout for former President Donald Trump, who in 2020 notched wins in the North Carolina and Georgia counties with disaster declarations post-Helene.

Election officials in both states are racing to send out absentee ballots, reschedule polling trainings and assess damage to voting sites.

In eastern Georgia’s heavily Democratic Richmond County, for instance, the county board of elections’ staff has reached out to all 43 Election Day voting sites to determine how they fared. But director of elections W. Travis Doss Jr. said he still has not heard back from about 30 due to “lack of power, lack of internet, lack of cell service.”

In North Carolina, meanwhile, five county election offices were closed as of Thursday. The Legislature is set to meet next week and could take a range of steps to boost voter turnout. Among them: extending the Oct. 11 registration deadline and the Election Day deadline for mail-in ballots. Lawmakers could also authorize and provide funding to county election boards to move voting sites.

Research has shown major disasters can influence elections — even when officials do intervene.

After Hurricane Michael devastated counties in the Florida Panhandle in 2018, the state consolidated polling places and made it easier to vote via absentee ballots. A 2022 study said voter turnout decreased anyway because people didn’t know where to vote. (Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Marco Rubio still won handily in the GOP-dominated state.)

“You need to do everything possible to erect emergency polling places in generally the same places voters are used to voting,” said co-author Kevin Morris, a voting policy scholar at the Brennan Center for Justice.

 

It's Friday — thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. I'm your host, Avery Ellfeldt. Arianna will be back soon! Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to aellfeldt@eenews.net.

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Donald Trump arrives at a campaign event in University Center, Michigan.

Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump arrives at a campaign event at the Ryder Center at Saginaw Valley State University, Oct. 3, 2024, in University Center, Michigan. | Alex Brandon/AP

Republicans rev up EV rhetoric in Michigan
The Trump campaign is trying to capitalize on the growing backlash against electric vehicles in the pivotal swing state of Michigan, and the former president's message about an "EV mandate" appears to be gaining traction, Gavin Bade reports from St. Clair Shores in the Mitten State.

The campaign is spending almost $1 million in the state, the historic home of the U.S. auto industry, on an ad claiming Vice President Kamala Harris "wants to end all gas powered cars." That and the "EV mandate" are distortions of Biden administration policies meant to curb tailpipe pollution and subsidize the production of EVs in the U.S.

It's an issue that hits home in Michigan, where swings in the auto industry are felt acutely.

Automakers and Democrats “are trying to force [EVs] down the public’s throat,” Kim Langenbach, a retired Ford engineer, told Gavin.

Democrats in the state are trying to blunt the attacks by pointing out that if electric vehicles are going to be made, they should be made in Michigan.

No rules under the sea — yet
The Interior Department expects to finish a draft rule guiding carbon storage off U.S. coasts by the end of the year, more than two years after a deadline ordered by Congress, Carlos Anchondo and Heather Richards write.

Carbon storage in the outer continental shelf was approved in the 2022 infrastructure law, and it has seen other bipartisan support in Congress. But opponents worry that the procedure, which captures emissions from industrial sources and sequesters them, will be used to justify more fossil fuel use.

This puts the final rule in the crosshairs. Investors, including the oil and gas industry, are eager to deploy carbon capture and removal as critics question whether the costly nascent technology should be funded by the government.

“Creating a new regulatory program to assure the American public that carbon sequestration operations on the OCS will be safe and protective of the environment is a complex undertaking,” said John Filostrat, spokesperson for Interior's Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, which is writing the rule along with the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement.

Up next for the Supreme Court: NEPA limits
The Supreme Court will consider changes to a bedrock environmental law when it starts its latest term on Monday, Pamela King writes.

At issue is the National Environmental Policy Act, which requires federal agencies to take a "hard look" at the impacts of projects like pipelines. The justices are being asked to consider new limits on the law. And after the court overturned the similarly weighty Chevron doctrine in a case in June, environmental advocates are not optimistic about the fate of NEPA.

“The Supreme Court has opened up such kind of amorphous ideas and allowed them to affect agencies’ legal decisions, that it invites departure from the text, departure from the purposes, and it flies to pro-industry policy points,” Lisa Heinzerling, a Georgetown Law professor, said recently.

 

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In Other News

Hot topic for winter: Massachusetts regulators ordered National Grid to create a lower rate for households that use heat pumps.

Bury it: The British government is putting up $29 billion for efforts to bury carbon dioxide under the sea.

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A biker navigates a debris-strewn street in Asheville, North Carolina, in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene.

A biker navigates a debris-strewn street in Asheville, North Carolina, in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene. | Sean Rayford/Getty Images

Hurricane Helene smashed the concept of climate havens, but disaster risks are guiding where people move.

Duke Energy says it plans to delay the closure of its largest coal-fired power plant, the Gibson Generating Station in Indiana.

Demand for natural gas is expected to hit an all-time high this year, according to the International Energy Agency.

That's it for today, folks. Thanks for reading, and have a great weekend!

 

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